Kevin Schneider

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It has been 10 days since the devastating floods swept through the Texas Hill Country, and our hearts remain with the communities still recovering. The thought of more heavy rain is the last thing anyone wants to hear right now, but unfortunately, we are monitoring more rainfall. Sunday morning, parts of Texas have seen over 6" of rainfall. For the San Saba area, over 9" of rain was recorded in the last 24 hours.With more rainfall in the forecast today, the Weather Prediction Center is highlighting a MODERATE risk along the Big Bend of Texas. Localized heavy rain will be possible on top of the already saturated soils, bringing more flooding concerns.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 130259-1752519848032.png">Flood Watches continue for Texas for the potential of continued heavy rain. Additional watches have been issued for eastern Oklahoma and Arkansas too.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 180859-1752538147265.png">Although rain will be limited, there will be some localized rain possible as a trough lingers, adding more rain to the flooding and saturated soils.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/teasc-1752541854955.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Tune in to WeatherNation for live updates throughout the hour.

Jackie Brown

Flash Flooding Threat Continues in Texas

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Storms rumbling through the northeast on Sunday knocked down a few trees with high winds. That same front is slowly pressing east into this afternoon, but will tap into some pretty deep moisture, even for July.<h1>FLOODING RISK</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 130916-1752520320413.png">Areas around the I-95 corridor should expect showers and storms, especially this afternoon. But because there is so much rich moisture in the atmosphere, these storms will be efficient at producing rain. The Weather Prediction Center mentioned Monday morning in their forecast discussion:<blockquote> "...locally 3+"/hr rates are possible"</blockquote>That becomes a problem when you consider the dominant ground cover here, concrete and asphalt. Expect flash flooding to develop with the possibility that a high-end event unfolds, including catastrophic flooding. The Weather Prediction Center has highlighted Washington, D.C., Baltimore, and Philadelphia with areas that are of most concern.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 130939-1752520327525.png">Through mid-week, rainfall totals across the I-95 corridor may reach upwards of 5"+.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 130921-1752520397314.png">FORECAST With the loss of daytime heating, the Storm Prediction Center has dropped the severe threat, but a few isolated thunderstorms will be possible overnight.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/KA-1752542057662.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Flooding Concern Growing in the Northeast

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"Enough of this heat, already" - everybodyIn the middle of July, you don't often get a strong enough system to bring temperatures back some 30 degrees. So enjoy the breath of fresh air where it's available. The Northern Rockies and High Plains are going to be the beneficiaries of this one, breaking the 100 heat in a substantial way. That's the reward for the suffering they go through in the Winter.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 180820-1752538107289.png">Some areas will plummet into the 60s on Tuesday, after the mid-to-upper 90s! That kind of swing means someone is going to get severe weather. Expect strong to severe storms through Wednesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/ova-1752542179226.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 125717-1752519556620.png">The SPC has also issued a marginal risk through Wednesday across the Plains.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 125721-1752519593366.png">Severe storms pushed through the plains today with damaging winds and hail being the primary concern. As an area of low pressure moves through storm chances will continue daily.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/wsv-1752542369967.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Strong July Trough Shakes Up Temperatures

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Tracey Anthony

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The National Hurricane Center has upgraded the chance for tropical formation to "medium" in orange. There's about a 30% chance in the next 48 hours for formation, and a 40% chance in the next 7 days for the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf. This area is denoted the title AL93, or Invest 93L.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-14 08-13-49-1752495281811.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Forecast Models</h1>Since this is an area of investigation, there are forecast models, known as spaghetti plots. According to the NHC, this system is forecast to move west across the Florida Peninsula on Tuesday before moving into the northeastern Gulf mid-week. Conditions remain favorable for additional development, and if it remains offshore, it could become a tropical depression later this week.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer invest 93l spaghetti-1752519569534.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Forecast Factors</h1>Why is the northern Gulf being highlighted for development in the middle of July? Models favor upper-level troughing to develop over the region toward the middle of the week, which is likely to spur lift and heavy rain.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-10 072740-1752155310312.png">At the surface, winds could converge around several boundaries that have the potential to form. This is a process similar to conditions that created Tropical Storm Chantal, which moved onshore in the Carolinas on the July 4th weekend, spurring significant flooding in North Carolina.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-12 054231-1752320579168.png">Warm water is a necessary ingredient for tropical formation, and temperatures in the Gulf are plenty warm to fuel tropical systems. Typically, sea-surface temperatures in the upper 70s are needed for tropical cyclone development.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 2-1752495335806.png">Water temperatures tend to warm more quickly early in the season in the Gulf and western Atlantic. This is more often where we see early-season development.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-10 072757-1752155325910.png">Updated CSU Outlook</h1>Colorado State University updated its seasonal forecast on Wednesday, July 9th.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-10 081155-1752156752337.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-10 081242-1752156788535.png">

Alana Cameron

Monitoring "Invest 93L" Near Florida, CSU Updates Seasonal Forecast

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High pressure is moving off the California coast and building into the Northwest. Heat alerts range from the deserts of California and Nevada to the Pacific Northwest. A lot of people will be outside, so make sure you are practicing heat safety, especially during the hottest parts of the afternoon.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 131429-1752520505869.png"><h1>SOUTHWEST</h1>Some record highs could be possible across parts of California and Nevada. Reno, NV hit 104° on Sunday, which was a daily record high temperature. Whether record temperatures will be broken or not, most all the area will feel temperatures above average by 5-10 degrees to start off the week!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 131530-1752520556365.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 7-1752496451012.png"><h1>NORTHWEST</h1>Temps will be going from Well above average to below average for cities like Spokane and Missoula! Spokane will see a high of 95° on Monday, but on Tuesday the high will dip down to 79°. Missoula, Montana, will jump from 94° on Monday to just 70° on Tuesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 131623-1752520598225.png">Check out the 7-day forecast for Billings, Montana. Talk about a roller coaster! Temperatures will be pushing 100° on Monday, but by Tuesday and Wednesday, we will see temps struggling to make it to 70°.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 9-1752497461811.png">

Strong July Trough Shakes Up Temperatures

Monitoring "Invest 93L" Near Florida, CSU Updates Seasonal Forecast

Dangerous Heat Impacting the Western U.S.

Flash Flooding Threat Continues in Texas

Flooding Concern Growing in the Northeast

Strong July Trough Shakes Up Temperatures

Monitoring "Invest 93L" Near Florida, CSU Updates Seasonal Forecast

Dangerous Heat Impacting the Western U.S.

Flash Flooding Threat Continues in Texas

Flooding Concern Growing in the Northeast

Strong July Trough Shakes Up Temperatures

Monitoring "Invest 93L" Near Florida, CSU Updates Seasonal Forecast

Dangerous Heat Impacting the Western U.S.