Kevin Schneider

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Atlantic hurricane season is here, and just like that, a non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the southeastern U.S. during the next couple of days. This low has the potential to develop some subtropical or tropical characteristics later this week. But what are those?<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-03 072620-1748957188663.png">As we look ahead, the Climate Prediction Center is highlighting a region (below) with low confidence in the formation of a tropical system in the western Caribbean or southwestern Gulf, also known as the Bay of Campeche. This doesn't indicate a system is expected, so be sure to stay up to date with the 7-Day forecast from the National Hurricane Center.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-01 123126-1748802704758.png"> Better chances for formation around Mid-June are expected in the Eastern Pacific, which <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/an-area-to-watch-in-the-pacific-already">already has one name crossed off the list</a>.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-29 104826-1748537463299.png">A system in the Gulf or western Atlantic is not unusual in the month of June, which typically has warmer water early in the season compared to the MDR in the Atlantic (between the Caribbean and west Africa).<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-29 104849-1748537876634.png">The early season will more often see more tropical storms than hurricanes, but hurricanes can form and impact the United States, so it's <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/hurricane-prep-week-2025">always best to be prepared</a>. Andrea is the first name on the list in the Atlantic in 2025.<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-29 104834-1748537884478.png">Eastern Pacific Ocean</h2>We are monitoring a medium chance for tropical development in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. Conditions look favorable for a slow development by late this week. If you have travel plans, this is something that could impact you.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-01 080357-1748786642556.png">The next name for the Eastern Pacific tropical names will be Barbara. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-01 080532-1748786736866.png">NOAA and Colorado State are expected an above average season in the Atlantic Basin. <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/noaa-predicts-above-average-2025-hurricane-season">Click here to read more.</a>

First Tropical System in the Atlantic Could Form Mid-June, Watching E. Pacific

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Smoky skies will continue to cover portions of the Central and Eastern United States this week, as massive fires in Canada continue to spread. An upper-level trough in the Northeast and Great Lakes is guiding the smoke from north to south, which will eventually bring the smoke as far south as the Gulf Coast.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-03 070320-1748955813193.png">Smoke Overhead</h1>The forecast below shows where smoke will be visible overhead and doesn't necessarily indicate where air quality will be impacted. Think hazy sunrises and sunsets.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/air 1-1748910832558.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Near Surface Smoke / Air Quality Impacts</h1>This model shows where smoke will be thick near the ground, indicating areas where air quality impacts are more likely. Minnesota is expecting more widespread impacts on the Air Quality front. The Minnesota Pollution Control Agency has issued an Air Quality Alert for fine particle pollution. The Air Quality Index (AQI) is expected to reach the Orange or Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups category.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-03 07-05-07-1748955937501.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Air quality alerts have been issued in the Upper-Midwest and portions of Ohio, into Wednesday, as thick smoke lingers in the region.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-03 070603-1748956046211.png">Air quality on Monday evening was impacted in the Upper-Midwest and the Ohio Valley. Be sure to monitor your air quality locally and limit time outdoors if it reaches levels that will affect your health. This won't be until the AQ reaches the "unhealthy" category for most people.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-03 070632-1748956052696.png">For the latest forecast in the Upper-Midwest, tune into the Central Regional Forecast at :30 past the hour, or stream it anytime with the WeatherNation app!

Wildfire Smoke from Canada Impacting the U.S.

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A stubborn mid-level low has been parked along the Gulf Coast over the past few days. That helped generate some heavy downpours in the afternoon on Monday. Those storms brought multiple inches of rainfall to areas in a short period of time.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-03 065822-1748955529428.png">That threat will continue today with more widespread storms, capable of dumping a few inches in a few hours. A Flood Watch covers parts of south Florida, including the Miami metro.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-03 065835-1748955525195.png"><h1>Timing</h1>Strong storms continue through the beginning of the work week. Areas of heavy rainfall and frequent lightning will continue into Tuesday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-03 07-00-51-1748955683373.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>For visitors heading to Florida’s theme parks or beaches, storm safety is critical.Thunderstorms in Florida can form quickly, especially in the warmer months. If thunder is heard, it means lightning is close enough to strike, visitors should immediately seek shelter in a sturdy building or enclosed vehicle. At beaches, never remain in the water during a storm, as lightning can strike well beyond where rain is falling. Lifeguards may post warnings or clear the beach if storms approach, heed all instructions promptly. In theme parks, designated storm shelters and covered areas offer refuge; it is best to pause outdoor activities until at least 30 minutes after the last clap of thunder.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-31 060337-1748693027621.jpg">For the most up-to-date information, tune into our Eastern Regional Forecast at 10 past the hour, every hour. Stay safe and prepared as we track this active weather pattern together.

Heavy Rain Swamps Florida

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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Upper-level energy and frontal boundaries interacting with dryline and upslope flow will trigger more storms over the coming days. Tuesday's risk slides a bit farther east thanks to the eastward progression of this cold front.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/2025-06-03 07-15-49-1748956570543.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The Storm Prediction Center has issued a SLIGHT (level 2 out of 5) risk for severe weather across the Midwest to the Southern Plains. The biggest concerns will be more damaging winds and large hail. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-03 071238-1748956365676.png">By Wednesday, the front slows down through the Great Lakes, bringing the severe threat into Detroit. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-03 071734-1748956695830.png">As this system moves through, some areas, especially Oklahoma and Missouri, can anticipate a LOT of rainfall. The shades of red in our forecast models suggest upwards of 3-6" of rainfall.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/tomer national rain forecast next 3 days-1748890228496.jpg">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Multi-Day Severe Weather for the Plains

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Rain and storm chances are in the forecast for parts of the Desert SW with a cutoff low nearby and remnants of Alvin pushing northward! Heavy rain has already lead to isolated instances of flooding around Arizona, where some places have surpassed 2 inches of rain! So much rain fell in Phoenix to SHATTER the previous daily record. Of course, with so much rainfall, the flooding threat will need to be monitored.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-02 071039-1748869870834.png">This is sorely needed rainfall, though. Let's check out the drought monitor below and you will notice lots of Level 4 and 5 drought across southern California, New Mexico, and Arizona.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/1-1748719349791.png">Today and tomorrow's rain chances will be highest as the cutoff low will be pushed eastward into the Plains. Some of the storms could be severe in Colorado and New Mexico, producing large hail and damaging winds.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-02 122444-1748888703055.png">The stronger storms will favor the afternoons - be weary of blowing dust in the vicinity of any stronger thunderstorm this afternoon.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/06-02_Rsw bams3k 12z-1748888870142.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>This serves as a good reminder: monsoon season begins in less than 2 weeks.

Much Needed Moisture Coming For the Southwest

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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Even through summer is approaching, the northern lights may still dazzle millions into Monday morning. A powerful solar flare erupted from sun late Friday night, with an Earth directed coronal mass ejection (CME) expected to arrive sometime Sunday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/ezgif-51637e8d7b470f-1748712327325.gif">Astronomers are in a wait and see mode for how strong the CME may be, but many are hopeful it will be strong enough to bring aurora borealis down to the mid-latitudes, including a large portion of the north United States late Sunday into Monday. The Space Weather Prediction Center is expected G3 conditions, with the potential for G4 conditions by the 2nd, or early Monday morning. Their latest forecast shows the potential to view the aurora down to I-80 in Iowa and Nebraska.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-31 112223-1748712236698.png">G4 conditions would mean that Aurora viewing would be possible even further south, especially for long-exposure photography. It is worth noting the timing and strength of a CME is difficult to forecast, but satellites away from the Earth will be able to confirm if and when a CME impact is expected with about 30 minutes of lead time for Earthlings. This means if you plan to try to view the aurora, stay up to date with the Space Weather Prediction Center's latest conditions.<h2>Cloud Forecast</h2>Even if the aurora may be visible overhead, it doesn't mean clouds won't ruin your fun. For the northern and mid-latitudes, there will be some cloud cover over the northern Rockies, Great Lakes, and northern New England.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/2025-05-31 11-22-33-1748712624382.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Aurora Borealis Dazzled Over the Weekend

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

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.After a busy afternoon of strong to severe storms, the SPC has maintained a slight risk for portions of Texas tonight and into the overnight hours. Cities like Dallas and Houston have the potential to see a few strong to severe storms overnight. Damaging winds and hail will be the primary concern. We will start to see storms wind down overnight, but the severe threat for the southern plains is in place over the next few days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/hail rthrr-1748829920094.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/tor pf-1748830042774.png">Storms will die off tonight and overnight with the loss of daytime heating, but we do see the potential for more rounds of severe storms across the southern plains over the next few days. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/HHHJJJ-1748829744339.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>For the latest on watches and warnings in your area, be sure to watch WeatherNation, we stream 24/7.

Isolated Severe Storms for TX

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Scattered showers and storms will be impacting the Northeast today and a few storms could be strong and even produce an isolated tornado.
<h2>Severe Outlook</h2>
<img class="alignnone wp-image-93211 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/7day3-14.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-93212 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/7day2-15.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

&nbsp;

Here is the very latest severe outlook for Thursday.  There is a Marginal risk in the Northeast for the risk of large hail, damaging winds and a tornado.  This will not be a major tornado outbreak, but there will be likely some rotating thunderstorms this afternoon.
<h2>Forecast</h2>
<img class="alignnone wp-image-93213 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/7day4-13.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-93214 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/bad-13.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-93215 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/Capture-40.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-93216 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/Capture-41.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

Here is the latest timing for the stronger storms today.  The most dangerous weather will likely be during the late afternoon and early evening.  Keep checking back with WeatherNation for more severe updates.

<a href="https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistPC/">Meteorologist Patrick Crawford</a>

&nbsp;

Isolated Tornado Chance in the Northeast Thursday

Severe Outlook

Forecast

First Tropical System in the Atlantic Could Form Mid-June, Watching E. Pacific

Atlantic hurricane season is here, and just l

Wildfire Smoke from Canada Impacting the U.S.

Smoky skies will continue to cover portions o

Heavy Rain Swamps Florida

A stubborn mid-level low has been parked alon

Multi-Day Severe Weather for the Plains

Upper-level energy and frontal boundaries int

Much Needed Moisture Coming For the Southwest

Rain and storm chances are in the forecast fo

Aurora Borealis Dazzled Over the Weekend

Even through summer is approaching, the north

Isolated Severe Storms for TX

.After a busy afternoon of strong to severe s