HIGH PLAINS - The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded to an ENHANCED risk for severe storms through tonight across portions of central and eastern South Dakota, southwestern Minnesota, and northwestern Iowa.
This risk comes along with the threat for significant severe threats of very large hail greater than 2 inches in diameter for a few ionitial supercells and as these storms develop into clusters, the risk of damaging winds greater than 75+ mph are likely.
Our in-house Baron model, favors the strongest storms beneath the low pressure system into the overnight hours across South Dakota and heading east-bound. So storms are likely to maintain, if not strengthen, through the overnight hours.
On Tuesday, the Storm Prediction Center has a SLIGHT risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe storms across the High Plains of North and South Dakota.
These storms follow the stalled out boundary of the same system creating storms today. The jet stream will carry them east into the Midwest where the environment is slightly more favorable for robust thunderstorms that could produce damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes.
On Wednesday, the Storm Prediction Center has another SLIGHT risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms that includes portions of Nebraska, South Dakota, Colorado, and northern Kansas.
Despite multiple days in a row of severe weather chances, the flooding risk remains relatively low across these areas as the repeated severe chances in similar areas do not necessarily guarantee you rain in the exact same spots through Wednesday.
Be sure to join us on WeatherNation for this story during :30 past the hour on your Central Regional Forecast.