Brittany Lockley

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As we near the peak of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, one question on many minds is why it has been so quiet? About two-thirds of all Atlantic hurricane activity typically occurs between August 20th and October 10th. With only a handful of named storms and only one major hurricane through late August, the sluggish pace stands in stark contrast to what many seasonal forecasts had warned would be an active year. So, what's causing the delay?<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 180634-1756339602479.png">Several key factors are at play in this unusually slow start. First, the Main Development Region (MDR) of the tropical Atlantic, where most storms form during peak season, has been cooler than expected. While still slightly above average, it falls short of the record-breaking warmth seen in 2024. Meanwhile, waters in the subtropical Atlantic are significantly warmer, disrupting the usual energy gradient that helps fuel storm formation.Atmospheric conditions have also been unusually hostile to storms. Persistent wind shear across the Gulf and Caribbean has torn apart developing systems before they can organize. On top of that, the upper atmosphere has remained unusually warm and stable, effectively placing a lid on the kind of deep convection hurricanes need to grow. Add in frequent plumes of dry, dusty air from the Sahara, and the result is a storm-suppressing cocktail that’s kept the basin eerily calm.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 072548-1756301167707.png"><h1>Next Few Weeks</h1>However, do not let your guard down. The National Hurricane Center has issued an outlook for a wave off the coast of Africa. The area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is supposed to emerge off the coast of Africa this weekend, and the NHC is giving it 20 percent chance of development in the next 7days. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-28 045902-1756378755631.jpg">All it takes is one hurricane to make it a memorable season. The tropics in the Atlantic have a chance to stay active through the first week of September headed into the second week. While a large-scale Kelvin Wave is not likely to spur activity like it has over the last two weeks, additional tropical waves could develop in the Atlantic and the Gulf/Western Caribbean. During this time of year, any development will need to be monitored closely.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121008-1756318217179.png"><h1>Eastern Pacific</h1>Juliette is also now a post-tropical cyclone in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. Juliette's moisture will move into the desert southwest and bring the potential for flooding across the region as it is accompanied by monsoonal moisture that has been plaguing the region or the past several days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-28 050627-1756379191961.jpg">The Eastern Pacific has been pretty active again. THREE other areas of interest, aside from Juliette. None of these looks like they will threaten land, with the most unique being the one passing south of Hawaii. If it forms past the 140 W line, it will officially knock off ANOTHER name from the Central Pacific basin list, Lala.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-28 050802-1756379293211.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-26 062903-1756211360503.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

A New Area to Watch in the Atlantic

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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SOUTHERN PLAINS - Overnight, there is a risk for flooding across portions of the Southern Plains and Ozarks. The Weather Prediction Center has issued a MODERATE (level 3 out of 4) risk for flash flooding in portions of Kansas and Missouri. Here, rain could accumulate over 4" in some neighborhoods.Moisture will follow this path through the course of the next couple of days. Leading to a flooding risk for some, and for others, a severe potential. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a MARGINAL (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe weather for portions of the Red River Valley on Thursday, and for the South on Friday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 175748-1756339133649.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 175752-1756339139903.png">Storms will continue through Thursday across Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, and Texas before riding the warm front farther southeast into Friday. By Friday, the focus of thunderstorms will be closer to the Gulf Coast. During afternoon heating, we will have the highest chance for some of these storms turning severe.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08-27_rsc bams3k-1756339207773.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Rainfall totals may lead to flash flooding for some, so flood alerts have been prompted for Kansas and Missouri. By Friday, the heaviest rain moves into Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 200357-1756346654581.png">For more details, be sure to join us on WeatherNation!

Rob Bradley

Flood Risk Overnight, Storms Heading South

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Chris Tomer

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Residual moisture from Tropical Storm Juliette hits Southern California, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, and Colorado between Thursday and Friday. This moisture will mix into existing Monsoon moisture across the region.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER SW TS JULIETTE SETUP-1756341436180.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Rainfall</h1>Up to 1 inch of rainfall is possible with Juliette's remnant moisture. Cities like San Diego, Las Vegas, St. George, Salt Lake City, and Grand Junction can expect some rain.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER SW RAIN FORECAST-1756341572817.jpg">Timing</h1>Most of the moisture streams across the Southwest Region between Thursday-Friday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08-27_rsw juliteet-1756346599551.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Drought</h1>The moisture will help many drought-stricken locations.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER SW DROUGHT UPDATE-1756341786689.jpg">

Moisture From Juliette Arrives Thursday-Friday

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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Conditions in the Northwest have been hot and dry. The Flat Fire began on August 21st near Sisters, OR, and has grown to over 23,000 acres (above).There is a risk for isolated dry thunderstorms (with lightning and wind but very little rainfall) through Thursday across the Northwest. In other words, conditions are still dry at the surface, and with thunderstorms that form, the lightning can spark another fire.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/through thursday-1756332492017.png">Monsoonal moisture will be moving into the region, bringing some areas of relief, but also bringing flooding threats.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 075627-1756303010132.png">Flood Watches are in place through Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 180939-1756339786541.png">A few inches of rain are looking likely, especially across portions of ID, WY, and MT. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 200541-1756346749460.png">The bulk of the rain will slow overnight, although some of it will continue into Thursday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08-27 rnwe-1756340915813.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>More details can be found during your Western Regional Forecast :50 past the hour on WeatherNation.

Northwest: Fire Danger and Flooding

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A strong Summer cold front knifed its way through the Northern Tier and Plains. Overnight lows dropped to record levels once again on Wednesday. More record low temperatures are possible through Thursday. Some of these potential records stretch all the way to the Gulf Coast.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121253-1756318398379.png">Across the North Central U.S., temperatures on Thursday morning will mainly be in the 50s.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121334-1756318421539.png">Across the Northeastern U.S., temperatures will mostly be in the low 50s.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121358-1756318445910.png">Another front drops out of Canada later this week. That will keep those temperatures from even THINKING about getting hot.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-26 163533-1756247737898.png">The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has a higher confidence in forecasting below average temperatures for the first week of September.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121426-1756318473083.png">Download the WeatherNation TV app today.

Jackie Brown

More Records Fall Behind Impressive Front

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A surge of monsoon moisture is moving across the West, including CA, NV, and the Four Corners. Many areas are under flood watches through tonight. Flash flooding is possible with the heavy rainfall, with up to two inches expected in a short period of time.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121703-1756318709801.png">During July and August, we watch for surges of Monsoon moisture. During those months, steering winds turn southerly and bring in new moisture from the Gulf and Pacific.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-26 161945-1756246790250.png">Some of the storms that develop from the monsoon moisture can produce gusty winds and hail across Colorado.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121606-1756318728733.png"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08-27 rsw-1756318738779.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Timing</h1>Daily rounds of t-storms with flash flood potential are likely through Thursday. In fact, some of tropical storm Juliette's moisture could get caught up in the southwest bringing rain to the southwest by Thursday and into Friday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08-27 rsw wide-1756318813565.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The best time for storms will be with diurnal heating during our afternoons, but because so much moisture is in place, some morning and overnight storms will be possible. The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has multiple days of Excessive Rainfall Outlooks in place for the threat of flooding.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08-27 rsw eros-1756318819946.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Monsoon Moisture Surges, Flood Risk From California to Colorado

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

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Upper-level high pressure will stay dominant over the western U.S., leading to dangerous heat and dry conditions (and wildfire risk). Heat alerts have come to an end for the southwest, but there are still some in the northwestern U.S.Extreme Heat Warnings and Heat Advisories remain in place across the Northwest, as temperatures are expected to run above average. Seattle has a forecast high of 88° on Tuesday, and normally averages 77°. By Mid-Week and the end of the week, expect temperatures to cool down.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-26 063953-1756212004662.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-26 064016-1756212024058.png">The longer range temperature trend for the last days of August looks warmer than normal in the Pacific Northwest/West Coast and normal across the Four Corners.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-25 123322-1756146822565.png">Tune in to WeatherNation for the latest on your forecast.

Moisture From Juliette Arrives Thursday-Friday

Rainfall

Timing

Drought

A New Area to Watch in the Atlantic

As we near the peak of the 2025 Atlantic hurr

Flood Risk Overnight, Storms Heading South

SOUTHERN PLAINS - Overnight, there is a risk

Moisture From Juliette Arrives Thursday-Friday

Residual moisture from Tropical Storm Juliett

Northwest: Fire Danger and Flooding

Conditions in the Northwest have been hot and

More Records Fall Behind Impressive Front

A strong Summer cold front knifed its way thr

Monsoon Moisture Surges, Flood Risk From California to Colorado

A surge of monsoon moisture is moving across

Heat Alerts Continue for the Northwest

Upper-level high pressure will stay dominant