Atlantic Hurricane Season 2024 Impacted by La Niña

news image
Special Stories
29 May 2024 12:30 PM

Hurricane season is less than one week away and forecasts are calling for a much above-average season in the tropical Atlantic. Forecasters at NOAA expect 17-25 named storms and forecasters at Colorado State University expect 23 named storms. The official list of hurricane names only has a total of 21 names (A-W) so if we were to see the forecasts pan out, an alternate list of names would be used, starting back at the letter "A". So what is behind this above-average forecast?

It is the ENSO, or El Niño Southern Oscillation, a global sea surface and atmosphere pattern interaction that impacts forecast patterns in the United States. The forecast impacts are most commonly felt during the Winter months in the northern hemisphere, but the ENSO cycle also has impacts on the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season.

According to experts at the Climate Prediction Center, "A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is likely in [June]. La Niña may develop in June-August (49% chance) or July-September (69% chance)". La Niña will likely continue through the end of hurricane season on November 30th. Our most recent La Niña Hurricane seasons were 2020, 2021 and 2022. All three were above average for hurricane activity.

We typically see elevated hurricane activity in the Atlantic tropics during La Niña events because the temperature profiles and interactions between the ocean surface and atmosphere lead to less shear over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Shear rips apart hurricanes, so the less of it, the better the environment is for storms to develop and be sustained.

Remember these are forecasts and projections but no storms have officially been named yet. It is important to stay up to date on the latest tropical conditions throughout the season with WeatherNation.

All Weather News
More
Hurricane Center Monitoring Florida for Tropical Development

Hurricane Center Monitoring Florida for Tropical Development

Residents and visitors to the Southeast will

30 Jun 2025 3:05 AM
Barry Makes Landfall, Watching Flossie Next

Barry Makes Landfall, Watching Flossie Next

While the Eastern Pacific has made most of th

30 Jun 2025 2:40 AM
Severe Weather Threat Continues in the Midwest

Severe Weather Threat Continues in the Midwest

Multiple rounds of severe storms have been mo

30 Jun 2025 2:20 AM
Severe Storms For the East Coast Through Tuesday

Severe Storms For the East Coast Through Tuesday

Frontal systems have been crossing the northe

30 Jun 2025 2:15 AM
Extreme Heat Continues Out West

Extreme Heat Continues Out West

An upper-level ridge is building into the Des

30 Jun 2025 2:00 AM
Thunderstorms Possible in the Southeast Overnight

Thunderstorms Possible in the Southeast Overnight

SOUTHEAST - Strong thunderstorms have develop

28 Jun 2025 2:40 AM
Record Eastern Heat With Relief Coming

Record Eastern Heat With Relief Coming

EAST - Heat Advisories and Extreme Heat Warni

27 Jun 2025 2:35 AM