Kevin Schneider

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This is an interesting setup that's been piquing our interest most of the week. A piñata of cold air is lurking in southern Canada, and a clipper will unlock a surge of cold air, dropping temperatures into the 40s-50s in FLORIDA early next week. That radical clash of two different air masses should be enough to spark storms. But will they become severe?<hr><h1>SETUP</h1>A parade of weaker frontal boundaries will be overtaken by the strongest one of the week. Temperatures will likely drop some 20 degrees in many locations, giving folks east of the Rockies the coldest shot of air of the season. It's a fine balance between having too much of one ingredient and not enough of another. This is where the uncertainty in this forecast lives.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 093905-1762361168975.png"><h1>WHAT'S MISSING</h1>As this powerful front drops south, it will slow down a bit. As it moves into temperatures in the 70s-80s, the forward speed will drop. The lift aspect of the front will not be quite as high as it will be further north. On the flip side, with better lift north, there is less energy to tap into, which helps power storms to the severe criteria.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 094216-1762361184074.png">WHAT COULD CHANGE</h1>There is still time to change the outcome. The fast-moving nature of these systems can lead to over- and underestimations of specific ingredients. A faster moving front would increase the severe risk farther south, while a better northward pull of unstable air will expand the threat north. Here's how the latest model has this playing out Friday and Saturday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/2025-11-05 12-56-16-1762372605135.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Brittany Lockley

Mid-South Eyeing Severe Threat Friday

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A series of atmospheric rivers has been responsible for wet, windy, and snowy weather in the northwestern U.S over the last few weeks. Our next system is currently moving through Washington, Oregon, and the northern tier of California, bringing heavy rainfall and snow. Above is the forecast rainfall totals for the next several days. Gold Beach in Oregon has already picked up 2.51" of rainfall in the past 24 hours.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 124205-1762371739660.png">Wednesday looks to be the window with the most widespread rain, which could lead to a renewed round of flooding. Parts of the northern Cascades could receive a foot or more of snow on the highest peaks.With multiple inches of rain on the way, the Weather Prediction Center is monitoring coastal areas at a level 1, MARGINAL, risk for excessive rainfall that may lead to flash flooding.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 095854-1762361963192.png">With such a strong trough ushering the rain onshore, it could also help organize a storm or two. Damaging winds and a brief tornado or two are possible in the afternoon, as the better ingredients line up.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web1-1762340830103.png"><h2>Timing</h2>According to the Weather Prediction Center, the next "strong landfalling atmospheric river" looks to impact the coast of southwest Oregon and northern California, with the heaviest rainfall happening overnight. The peak of this atmospheric river looks to have happened by Wednesday morning across these regions.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/2025-11-05 12-43-15-1762371843078.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Winds will also be strong at times across portions of California, Oregon, and Nevada.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web1-1762341389204.png"><h1>Snow</h1>As some of that moisture makes its way into the higher elevation mountains, it will likely mean heavy snow for the mountains. Places like the Cascades and Northern Rockies are expected to get anywhere from 6" to up to a foot of snow or more!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web4-1762341750785.png">Our in-house model is predicting over 2 feet of snow on the northern Cascades mountain peaks by Friday!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web1-1762341816680.png">Be sure to join us at :50 past the hour for more details during your West Regional Forecast.

Next Big Push of Moisture in the Northwest

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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<h2>Round 1 - Wednesday</h2>A frontal system is moving through the northeast today, bringing rain, gusty winds, and, behind the system, potential snowfall. Some spots, like New York state and New England, have already begun to see rain this afternoon.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/11-05_rne bams-1762371210613.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Most folks will see around a tenth of an inch or less in terms of rainfall. Snow will be possible in the higher elevations. Snowfall totals will be around 1"-3", with localized heavier amounts possible. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 123349-1762371259028.png">With a cold front moving through, the Storm Prediction Center has issued a MARGINAL (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe weather.<h2>Wind + Fire Danger</h2>Widespread wind alerts remain in place through Thursday. Some airports have been experiencing delays because of the strong winds. If you have any travel plans, be sure to check for updates and delays.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 123454-1762371309749.png">Due to some drier conditions further south and the potential for gusty winds, several red flag warnings have been issued. This will come with an elevated risk for wildfires in the highlighted area.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 123501-1762371317120.png"><h2>Round 2 - Friday</h2>Our next frontal system is expected to move into the northeast as we head into the end of the week. The timing looks to favor Friday for the rain and some snowfall.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/11-05_rne next round-1762371404068.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Since this system is fairly fast, the risk for flooding or heavy snow is quite low, with only minor totals showing up in our forecast accumulation.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 123659-1762371443980.png">Make sure to stay tuned to WeatherNation throughout the next few days for all the current updates on your rain on the way!

Windy and Stormy Weather For The Northeast

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NORTHERN PLAINS - As we head into the end of the week, an upper-level trough north of the border will usher cooler air into the northern U.S. With a couple of fronts passing through, temperatures may drop low enough to support some snow. So it’s time to brush up on our winter terminology, early winter snowstorms are here!<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/11-04 RNC-1762216937448.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Starting on Thursday, the first of two cold fronts will drop into the northern Plains. This first front will bring mostly rain to the U.S., with a few flurries possible. Once the second front moves through on Friday afternoon and evening, it should be cold enough to bring snow chances to North Dakota, Minnesota, and the Great Lakes region.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/11-05_rnc round 1 and 2-1762371607292.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Snow Models</h2>Forecast models are struggling with the temperature profile; the position of the freeze line could greatly impact who will see snowfall with these clippers. Our in-house model favors heavier amounts farther north.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 124021-1762371680551.png">Whereas, the GFS (American) Model favors lower amounts, farther south.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 124032-1762371697763.png">Afternoon temperatures in larger cities like Minneapolis should stay warm enough by the end of the week that any flurries that fall will likely melt fairly quickly.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 124145-1762371711470.png"> Those low temperatures will drop quickly, though. Lows down to the teens in some areas are expected over the weekend!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-05 124158-1762371723597.png">For more information, be sure to join us on WeatherNation at :30 past the hour for your Central Regional Forecast.

First Snow Forecast of the Season for the Northern Plains

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

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Another round of records was set today across the southern plains as an area of high pressure dominates! Amarillo, Texas, saw a high of 89°, beating the old record of 85°, which was previously set in 1916. Multiple records were set across Texas and Nebraska. The warmth will continue this week, before a HUGE pattern shift comes in early next week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/record high temps -1762299377819.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-04 105106-1762278692926.png">Temperatures remain above average this week for the southern plains! Temperatures will run 10-15 degrees above average.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-04 105059-1762278702391.png">As we take a look into early next week, a blast of arctic air will bring BIG CHANGES! Monday's lows will plummet into the 20s, 30s, and 40s all the way to the Gulf!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/monday's low temps-1762299738822.png">Take a look at Columbus, Ohio! This week is mild with a high of 67° on Wednesday, and on Monday, there will be a high of only 39°.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/columnn-1762299801846.png">The cooldown even gets all the way down to south Florida, dropping the daytime highs on Friday in Miami to the mid 70s! That's pretty cold by south Florida standards!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web1-1762340235012.png">Get forecast details for your section of the country with our regional forecasts, which air at :10, :30, and :50 past the hour from east to west. You can also watch the latest forecast anytime with the WeatherNation app!

Record Heat This Week, Before Arctic Blast

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Coastal areas will be dealing with intrusions of ocean water, known as coastal flooding, during the week ahead with the return of king tides!<h2>What is a "king tide?"</h2>When the gravitational pull of the sun and moon are both higher than normal, high and low tides become more pronounced, leading to flooding during high tide and potentially low water issues during the low tides.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-02 051621-1762088418982.png">This happens most often from the fall through the spring as the sun's gravitational pull on the earth is the strongest. Despite winter conditions in North America, the sun is actually closest to the earth in early January.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-02 051520-1762088418986.png"> King tides are most pronounced when the moon is at its closest point to the Earth in its orbit, which is known as perigee. This is happening at the same time as the full moon for both November and December, creating what's known as a supermoon. During these supermoon events, the moon will be about 14,000 miles closer to the Earth than normal!<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-02 060337-1762088634156.png">November King Tides</h2>King tides will be ramping up throughout the week ahead. Note how much the tidal range grows in Charleston from now through Wednesday, increasing from about 6 feet to over 7 feet by Wednesday!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web5-1762342398833.png">Tides near Miami (Virginia Key below) will also increase this week, increasing from about 2 feet to 3 feet!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web1-1762342479536.png">Coastal flood alerts will likely be issued as we get closer to the mid-week time-frame, so be sure to check your high tide times locally and avoid areas near the coast during those times. December will also feature a round of king tides with another supermoon!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-02 054718-1762088653776.png">

Adrian Hernandez

King Tides Return to Start the Month

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Powerful storms swept through the Lone Star State Saturday afternoon, leaving behind a trail of reports of MASSIVE hail. <div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1984779336571072529" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1984779336571072529"></div>The Storm Prediction Center was monitoring the area, with a SLIGHT risk of severe storms, centered around Corpus Christi.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-02 051049-1762085595532.jpg">Some of the biggest hailstones grew to the size of baseballs in south Texas! <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-02 051418-1762085717730.jpg">Here's a look back at the timing from Saturday's storms. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/2025-11-02 05-14-55-1762085762661.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Thankfully, the forecast going forward will be much quieter - catch your Central Regional Forecast at :30 past each hour.

Patrick Crawford

How Big Did the Hail Get in Texas Saturday?

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[<a href="https://cpo.noaa.gov/News/News-Article/ArtMID/6226/ArticleID/1845/Atmospheric-rivers-drive-western-US-flood-damages-says-RISA-funded-study" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NOAA</a> by <a href="https://cpo.noaa.gov/News/News-Article/PID/6226/authorid/36/AuthorName/Alison-Stevens">Alison Stevens</a>]   New research recently published in <a href="https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/advances/5/12/eaax4631.full.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Science Advances</a> found that <a href="http://bit.ly/2j5naGw">atmospheric rivers</a> accounted for 84% of flood damages, or $42.6 billion, across the western United States from 1978-2017. Supported by NOAA's Regional Integrated Sciences and Assessments (RISA) and co-authored by <a href="https://cpo.noaa.gov/Meet-the-Divisions/Climate-and-Societal-Interactions/RISA/RISA-Teams/CNAP#739083-risa-teams">California-Nevada RISA</a> PI Alexander Gershunov, the study analyzed 40 years of data from the National Flood Insurance Program to quantify atmospheric rivers’ economic impacts.

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-70827" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2017/01/Atmospheric-River.jpg" alt="" width="3248" height="2229" />

 Not only were atmospheric rivers the primary driver across all 11 states, with annual average damages of $1.1 billion, but they also caused over 95% and even exceeded 99% of flood damages in some coastal areas of northern California and the Pacific Northwest. 

In addition, the authors used a recently developed atmospheric rivers intensity and duration scale varying from 1 (weak) to 5 (exceptional) to assess how flood damages change with each category. They found that each increase in the atmospheric intensity and duration scale corresponds to a roughly 10-fold increase in flood damages. Flood damages from atmospheric rivers are expected to increase in the face of rising population, increased development, and climate change.

Atmospheric Rivers Drive Western U.S. Flood Damages

Mid-South Eyeing Severe Threat Friday

This is an interesting setup that's been piqu

Next Big Push of Moisture in the Northwest

A series of atmospheric rivers has been respo

Windy and Stormy Weather For The Northeast

Round 1 - WednesdayA frontal system is moving

First Snow Forecast of the Season for the Northern Plains

NORTHERN PLAINS - As we head into the end of

Record Heat This Week, Before Arctic Blast

Another round of records was set today across

King Tides Return to Start the Month

Coastal areas will be dealing with intrusions

How Big Did the Hail Get in Texas Saturday?

Powerful storms swept through the Lone Star S