Kevin Schneider

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Severe chances have been easy to find in the past week or two. The month of March was littered with them to close and that's spilling right into April. A slow-moving frontal boundary will focus multiple days of storms, which will lead to a flooding threat. On top of torrential rain, these storms could be packing damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. We're here to break it down by the day.<h1>TUESDAY</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/tomer svr plains tonight-1743549456729.jpg">Today's an interesting one. While this system gets its act together, there are some severe ingredients to work with. This kinda boils down to two different areas to watch: (1) the cold front and (2) the dryline. The cold front will have a better time to generating thunderstorms vs a dryline.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 063753-1743511104968.jpg">IF storms develop in Oklahoma or Texas along the dryline, they will be capable of producing HUGE hail and a strong tornado.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/tomer plains futurecast-1743549411485.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>WEDNESDAY</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 135153-1743537145398.png">As it stands, Wednesday is the closest to a severe weather outbreak this week. A well-built front will gradually slide east throughout the day. By the afternoon, all of the ingredients will be in place, helping power storms capable of large hail, damaging winds, and multiple tornadoes.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 135209-1743537180402.png">Have multiple ways to receive warnings, peak timeframe looks like it will be early afternoon into the overnight hours.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/2025-04-01 06-58-09-1743512321909.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>THURSDAY</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 135315-1743537199748.png">Thursday is when things slow down. The front responsible for the severe chances on Wednesday will run into some opposition. A building high over the southeast will bring the front to a screeching halt for the second half of the week. Usually, this is where a forecast becomes clear as mud. Without a sure-fire bet to trigger storms, it's hard to nail down when/where severe chances might be. Will it be unusually warm and humid ahead of this boundary? Absolutely. Will ongoing rain limit the severe potential? Maybe. The flooding threat will start to sky-rocket, with or without severe storms.<h1>FRIDAY</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 064303-1743511392777.jpg">See Thursday. This will likely turn into a day-by-day adjustment to severe chances. Have back-up plans here if you're trying to get outside. We've got details to iron out between now and then.<h1>SATURDAY</h1>CTRL+C CTRL+V Friday aka Thursday. The flooding threat could be approaching life-threatening levels by now.

Chris Tomer

FORECAST: Relentless Severe Chances This Week

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A strong storm system continues in California through late 4/1 with heavy valley rains and high Sierra snow accumulation. Snow is also likely in Utah's Wasatch, Tetons, and all of Colorado's mountain zones.FORECAST TIMING:<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/tomer west futurecast-1743549608377.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Heavy snow accumulation is likely across the Sierra through late 4/1. The Wasatch, Tetons, and Mountains of Colorado get hit with heavy snow accumulation into 4/3. A few specifics:<ul><li>Tahoe: 10-20 inches. Mammoth: 10 inches.</li><li>Wasatch: 10 inches.</li><li>Tetons: 3-6 inches.</li><li>Colorado All Mountain Zones: 8-16 inches.</li></ul><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/tomer west snow forecast-1743549714410.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/tomer ut co ski forecast-1743549727001.jpg">Strong, gusty winds will accompany this latest system. Widespread Wind Advisories and High Wind Warnings are in place for the southwest.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Web1-1743507342841.png">Keep an eye on this storm in our Western Regional Forecast every hour at :50 past.

Wet & Snowy Western Storm System Through Wednesday

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Tracey Anthony

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Prolonged heavy rain is expected to begin Wednesday as strong storms and a cold front work across the Lower Mississippi and Ohio Valley. Several frontal waves will work through the area between Wednesday and Sunday, prompting a Flood Watch for a widespread region from Texarkana, TX to Columbus, OH.Impressive rainfall totals and rainfall rates 2/3" per hour at times will cause rivers, creeks, and streams to run swollen. Urban flooding will be likely after saturated soils and always remember, Turn Around, Don't Drown. Over half of all flood-related drownings occur when a vehicle is driven into hazardous flood waters.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 122030-1743531646459.png"> <h1>DAY BY DAY</h1><h2>WEDNESDAY</h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 134454-1743537276063.png">60-80% to pick up over 2 inches of rain. Rainfall rates will be around 1-2"/hour during peak intensity; however, 3"/hour have been recorded historically during events with a comparable setup.<h2>THURSDAY</h2>The Weather Prediction Center has upgraded Thursday's risk to HIGH, a level 4 out of 4 risk for flooding. Per the WPC, potentially "catastrophic" flooding is possible in western Kentucky and Missouri.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 143439-1743540134100.png">A higher end MODERATE outlook and some localized spots could be upgraded to a high risk.<h2>FRIDAY</h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 122126-1743531742953.png">Day 3 is also a higher end MODERATE outlook, and some localized spots could be upgraded to a high risk. Now the rainfall will continue to high the same areas that have picked up 2-6" of rain in the last 48 hour period. The ground will likely be saturated and flood planes will be impacted.<h2>SATURDAY</h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 122136-1743531748702.png">

Alana Cameron

Potentially Catastrophic Flooding Likely for the Midsouth

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

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NORTHERN U.S. - Winter weather alerts are expanding across portions of North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, and Minnesota as an upper-level low brings severe weather on the "warm side" and snowy and blizzard-like weather on the "cold side".Heavy snow, upwards of 6-12", is likely in these areas, but what could be the biggest hazard is the wind. Winds may gust up to 35 mph. Blizzard conditions could be an issue, so make plans to avoid travel if at all possible.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 134613-1743536823756.png">Here's a look at our forecast timing: As the day warms, snowy areas turn to rain, and as night falls, rain turns back to snowfall. This will lead to messy conditions on the roadways.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/04-01_rnc bams3k cold side 12z-1743536843409.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Winds will be strong enough to cause concerns about blowing snow. According to the Winter Storm Severity Index, some areas in North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota may experience moderate impacts from the blowing snowfall.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 134738-1743536899050.png">Forecast models have winds blowing stronger than 35 mph at times, and if this is in combination with less than a quarter of a mile visibility, lasting for longer than 3 hours, that would classify this storm as a blizzard<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/04-01_rnc winds-1743536906322.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Heavy, Wet Snow on Northern Side of Severe Weather

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Powerful storms raced through the Midwest and down to the Gulf Coast coming out of this weekend. Sunday afternoon into Monday morning, a strong line of storms spurred numerous Severe Thunderstorm Warnings and quite a few Tornado Warnings. Those storms produced hundreds of reports of damage, with a few tornadoes touching down. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 055103-1743508412691.jpg">One of those was early Monday morning as a segment of the line started to spin in southern Mississippi. Our field correspondents went down and look at some of the damage left behind Monday morning:<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/VO_033125_RSE_NEAR HATTIESBURG, MS_DRONE FOOTAGE OF TORNADO DAMAGE_BRANDON CLEMENT_BH_033125-1743508624363.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>That was later surveyed and assessed an EF-2 rating. Other areas that ended up being surveyed came back with lower-end tornadoes into Monday afternoon. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 055303-1743508532671.jpg">But look at the storms that raced through the Midwest and the Plains on Sunday. Over 90 mph straight-line winds were clocked alongside teacup-sized hail!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 055151-1743508605628.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-01 055134-1743508605630.jpg">

Brittany Lockley

Severe Storms Leave Damage from the Midwest to the Deep South This Week

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

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All modes of severe weather were seen Monday across the south, southeast, and northeast. Multiple tornadoes were confirmed in Mississippi and Georgia. Marion County, MS, confirmed an EF2 tornado that occurred this morning at 6:10 am. The path length of this tornado was 7.4 miles, with peak winds of 135 mph. The National Weather Service will continue to survey damage over the next few days, as this system moves offshore overnight, but more rounds of severe weather are expected this week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/multiple confirieed-1743470014932.png"><h1>Severe Weather Outlook</h1>After another busy day, the severe threat has dropped to a general thunderstorm risk for most of the south. An isolated marginal and slight risk remains overnight for portions of Eastern Virginia and North Carolina as the cold front pushes east and offshore.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/overngitht-1743469263433.png">On the northern side of the front, a SLIGHT risk extends through Philadelphia down to Virginia Beach through the overnight hours. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/overrr-1743469505100.png"><h1>Forecast Timing</h1>A few storms will linger through the overnight hours with the potential to be strong to severe, with tomorrow morning's commute being dry for most.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/webovernighggg-1743469823694.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Slight Risk For Severe Storms Overnight

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GREAT LAKES to NORTHEAST - As the freezing line hovers the international border, an ice storm continues to bring issues from the Great Lakes through the Northeast. Power outages continue to increase, and roads remain icy and slick across these areas. Pictured above, near Rogers City, Michigan, is an incredibly thick amount of ice that has accumulated on tree branches this morning.<h1>Upper Midwest to Great Lakes</h1>Crippling ice has already accreted in parts of Michigan with another batch on the way. Three-quarters of an inch of ice has led to numerous power outages and slippery roads around the Great Lakes.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/tomer power outtages mi wi-1743386582369.jpg">Gaylord, Michigan has received 0.75" of ice already today!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/Screenshot 2025-03-30 132032-1743362571455.png">Ice storm warnings remain in effect through tonight across portions of Wisconsin and Michigan.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/Screenshot 2025-03-30 131904-1743362608324.png">Additional accumulations may still reach up to 0.5", enough to lead to additional power outages and nearly impossible travel. As we time this system out, the surface low will push its way farther north into Canada this evening. As temperatures drop behind this system, ice will transition to snowfall before wrapping up Monday morning. The commute Monday will still be dangerous and slick despite no active precipitation falling.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/tomer mi wi futurecast-1743386654760.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Stay safe in power outages - always remember to run a generator at least 20 feet from windows and doors to avoid carbon monoxide!<h1>New England</h1>The worst impacts for New England were earlier this Sunday morning as temperatures hovered around freezing. Ice accumulations almost rose to an INCH in some locations. The impacts through Monday remain moderate for New Hampshire and Maine, but the warm front has been lifting the freezing line north of the border, providing room for this icy mess to become more of a rainy mess through Monday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/Screenshot 2025-03-30 131634-1743362716600.png">Here's a look at the timing of ice transitioning to mostly rain through Monday. The main cold front arrives Monday as well.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/tomer ne futurecast-1743386738822.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>A few inches of snow could fall where the air is even cooler, mainly across northern portions of New England.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/03/tomer ne ice forecast-1743386782702.jpg">For more details on the rest of your weekly forecast, be sure to join us at :30 minutes past the hour if you live in the Upper Midwest or Great Lakes and :10 minutes past the hour if you live in the northeast.

Ice Storm In the Great Lakes Through New England

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Today meteorologists and research scientists at Colorado State University (CSU) updated one of the season’s earliest and most well-respected hurricane outlooks.

The latest predictions continue to anticipate this year’s hurricane season to be busier than average. Dr. Phil Klotzbach and the Tropical Meteorology Project at CSU anticipate 18 named storms, 8 of which becoming hurricanes and 4 of those becoming major hurricanes.

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Dr. Phil Klotzbach, CSU Research Scientist, explained the reasoning behind the above-average forecast, which includes above average temperatures in the subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and the lack of El Niño conditions expected during the season.

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/1400477877548863494

An El Niño would mean warmer-than-normal water in the central and eastern [tropical] Pacific Ocean. That tends to create more wind shear to tear apart hurricanes in the Atlantic. Because El Niño is not expected to limit development, more hurricanes may form.

Above average temperatures are already present in the sub-tropical Atlantic Ocean. Warmer sea-surface temperatures contribute to tropical cyclone formation and help to fuel the storms.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9mKwg1oj8UM&amp;ab_channel=WeatherNation

In addition to the forecast for an above average number of storms, CSU also predicts an above average season in ACE (Accumulated Cyclone Energy), Hurricane Days, and Major Hurricane Days.

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The CSU forecast probability of at least one landfall for the entire U.S. coastline is 69%, the average for a typical season is 51%.

There are five previous hurricane seasons that compare to this [anticipated] season, according to the CSU report. Those [analog] years are 1996, 2001, 2008, 2011 and 2017.

You can read the report in its entirety <a href="https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2021-04.pdf">here</a>.

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New this year is the updated average number of tropical cyclones and hurricanes. During the 1981 - 2010 climate period, there were 12 named storms in an average year, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. With the new 1991 - 2020 data set, the Atlantic now averages 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and still averages 3 major hurricanes.

CSU Updates Its Outlook for 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

FORECAST: Relentless Severe Chances This Week

Severe chances have been easy to find in the

Wet & Snowy Western Storm System Through Wednesday

A strong storm system continues in California

Potentially Catastrophic Flooding Likely for the Midsouth

Prolonged heavy rain is expected to begin Wed

Heavy, Wet Snow on Northern Side of Severe Weather

NORTHERN U.S. - Winter weather alerts are exp

Severe Storms Leave Damage from the Midwest to the Deep South This Week

Powerful storms raced through the Midwest and

Slight Risk For Severe Storms Overnight

All modes of severe weather were seen Monday

Ice Storm In the Great Lakes Through New England

GREAT LAKES to NORTHEAST - As the freezing li