Kevin Schneider

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<p>Multiple Flash Flood Emergencies were issued Friday morning and again Saturday morning as heavy rainfall moved through portions of the Texas Hill Country. Several locations accumulated over a foot of rainfall in a short amount of time, including San Angelo, which recorded almost 13" of rainfall. The yearly average of rainfall for San Angelo is around 21".</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941655838403526721" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1941655838403526721"></div><h1>FRIDAY</h1><p>As storms ignited Friday, they were largely anchored in the same position all night. Rainfall rates of 3-4 inches per hour started to pile up. Add into that the topography of the Texas Hill Country and we had a recipe for disaster.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751682972637.png"></p><p></p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941108484847886805" src="https://x.com/NWSSanAngelo/status/1941108484847886805"></div><p>All of the heavy rain that fell became focused into the Guadalupe River that runs through the area.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941126276699619470" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1941126276699619470"></div><p></p><p></p><h1>SATURDAY</h1><p>Another nearly stationary cluster of storms developed overnight. Areas just west of Round Rock have already picked up more than 12 inches of rain since earlier this morning.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-05 162329-1751754216251.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751768546910.png">As rivers rise again, please heed Flash Flood Warnings and get to higher ground as soon as they're issued.</p><h1>WHAT HAPPENED?</h1><p>A mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) was spinning around the area the past few mornings. That helps generate showers and storms - it's its own low-pressure system. That spun its way through a very moist airmass. But without any upper-level winds to help push these storms anywhere, it rained and rained over the same places for extended periods of time.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-05 07-30-23-1751724329889.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Forecast</h1><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/FORECAST-1751836639278.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>The fear today is more slow-moving storms in areas that have been hit hard this weekend. Models seem to keep the activity around through the midday hour as the storms slowly drift southwestward. Models have been struggling with pinpointing the exact areas of the additional heavy rain, however.</p>

Patrick Crawford

Catastrophic Flooding in the Texas Hill Country

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<p style="margin: 0in; margin-bottom: .0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 13.5pt; color: #454545;">Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a></span></p>

Rob Bradley

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<p><strong>NORTHERN PLAINS</strong> - A frontal system continues to move out of the Plains and into the Upper Midwest, sparking showers and thunderstorms. Wind gusts were again significant across the northern Plains on Friday afternoon and evening.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 051018-1751800262403.png"></p><h2>Severe Weather Outlooks</h2><p>Isolated severe storms are possible as the front continues to trek to the east. Michigan through Missouri will have the chance for isolated severe storms, mostly in the afternoon.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 103539-1751819762238.png">The next front moves east into the Midwest by Tuesday, likely spurring additional severe storms from Iowa to Texas.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 051033-1751800275475.png"></p><h1>Timing</h1><p>Afternoons will be the most active as the cold front taps into heat that builds while the sun is up. A few strong storms may persist overnight, with the potential for clusters of storms, known as an MCS, forming.</p><h2>Sunday</h2><p>Storms looks to fire up along the boundary around midday, with convection dropping off overnight.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer midwest futurecast-1751826169023.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Tuesday</h2><p>Storms could reach severe weather limits or higher by Tuesday afternoon, with heavy rain possibly leading to isolated flash flooding.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-06 05-15-11-1751800594416.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Rainfall Forecast</h2><p>While exact totals remain uncertain, localized downpours of 3 inches or more are possible where storms stall or train. Isolated flash flooding is possible. Seek higher ground if a flash flood warning is issued.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 051529-1751802556891.png">Stay safe this holiday weekend, and be sure to check back for the latest updates on storm timing and severity.</p>

Severe Storms in the Midwest Continue To Spoil the Holiday Weekend

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<p>Following the prolific start to the season, the Eastern Pacific remains quite active as the National Hurricane Center is tracking two different areas of interest southwest of Mexico. Invest 96E or the orange highlighted area has a medium chance of development in the next couple of days. The chances have backed off as it appears less likely that something will come together. The region outlined in yellow is for another low pressure system expected to form later in the week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer e pac summar-1751825582462.jpg">The spaghetti plots show 96-E remaining well south of Mexico as it churns westward. This will limit impacts to the west coast of Mexico but interests in Hawaii should keep an eye on this system for the potential of increased rain chances next week. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer e pac spag-1751825637716.jpg">This system could bring stronger currents to Mexico's coast, but if it remains weak before moving farther west impacts should be minimal.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer e pac futurecast-1751825732075.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>For more details on this forecast, be sure to check out the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP1+shtml/020252.shtml"><strong><em>National Hurricane Center's </em></strong></a>website.</p>

Chris Tomer

Eastern Pacific Remains Active

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<p>Tropical Storm Chantal formed earlier Saturday morning, and made landfall early Sunday morning with sustained winds of 50 mph. Winds have knocked down some palm fronds and lead to a foot or two of storm surge so far. But, this is turning more into an inland flooding issue instead of tropical storm-force winds</p><p></p><h1>Forecast</h1><p>Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms into Monday. Isolated Flash Flooding is possible across interior North and South Carolina.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/New Baron Video 3-1751770362244.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>A stripe of heavy rain is the primary concern, falling somewhere in the southern Virginia-North Carolina-South Carolina vicinity. Some areas have already picked up 3-4 inches since the rain started to fall Sunday morning.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 025844-1751792349944.jpg">Catch more details on the southeast during your Southeastern Regional Forecast, :10 past the hour on WeatherNation.</p>

Chantal Weakens After Making Landfall Sunday Morning

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<p>Guess who's back. The heat and humidity will turn up a notch to kick off the week. Some areas will feel close to 100  when you factor in the humidity. As we've seen plenty so far this year, heat and humidity can power some serious storms in the afternoon and evening hours. All we need is something to light the fuse.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 070542-1751807151783.png">A cold front will drop in, helping focus thunderstorm chances each of the next 3 days. The most widespread threat appears to be Monday and Tuesday, however. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 071037-1751807450754.png">Timing will tend to favor the afternoon-evening hours, when temperatures peak. Damaging winds will be the leading threat to watch out for, but some small hail and a brief tornado couldn't be ruled out. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-06 07-13-33-1751807875914.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Hot Weather Brings a Shot at Storms Out East

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<p>AAA is expecting over 70 million travelers to take to the roads and skies over the Fourth of July Weekend. Unfortunately, heavy rainfall could throw a wrench into those plans, as slow-moving systems keep rain chances around.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-30 073837-1751290861562.png">After a hot work week, especially out west, the temperature for the 4th of July will be near seasonal for many. Folks in the Upper-Midwest will see temperatures about 5-10 degrees above average.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 043305-1751625473813.png">A few spots will see some slightly warmer than normal temperatures, with a few cooler than normal!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-03 211458-1751598907955.png">By the evening, time for fireworks, there will be a few areas of potential showers! Plan accordingly for the evening festivities. This is around 9 PM ET.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 043315-1751625481746.png">If you are in Florida, there will be increased chances for showers and storms, with an area of interest being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Related Article: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/hurricane-center-monitoring-florida-for-tropical-development"><strong>Hurricane Center Monitoring Florida for Tropical Development</strong></a></p><p>Did you know this is how fireworks work? Different elements emit different wavelengths of light when heated. That results in the various colors you see when watching a fireworks show!</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/0701-1751375281844.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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<p><strong>NORTHEAST</strong> -A shortwave trough will swing through the Great Lakes and into the Northeast on Thursday, bringing the threat of afternoon thunderstorms along an advancing cold front. Warm and humid air ahead of the boundary will help fuel the risk for damaging wind gusts and isolated hail.</p><p>The SPC has issued a <strong>SLIGHT</strong> (level 2 out of 5) risk for severe storms in these areas.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/PIC 1-1751573415086.jpg"></p><p>Storms look to start during the day in New York State, but the frontal boundary doesn't move towards the I-95 corridor and clear until later into the evening/nighttime frame.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-03 05-06-29-1751540825848.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>This next frontal boundary is coming just a couple of days after significant flash flooding happened in the northeast, so the flooding threat where we have already seen rain may be more sensitive to flash flooding through the end of the week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-03 042835-1751538519921.jpg"></p>

Northeast Severe Threat on Thursday

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Strong sunshine and high humidity will lead to dangerous heat across areas of the South-Central Region this afternoon.  Some areas of Texas could be in record territory with today's highs. Here is the latest heat forecast.
<h1>Heat Alerts</h1>
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Excessive heat warnings and heat advisories are in effect today across Texas and Oklahoma. Areas under the heat alerts could have heat index values from 105° to 115°.  Heat index values this strong could lead to heat related illnesses if you don't protect yourself.

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Today's heat index forecasts will be in the DANGER category with heat exhaustion likely and heat stroke possible.
<h1>High Temperature Forecast</h1>
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<h3>Oklahoma Monday Highs</h3>
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Most of the Sooner State will have highs in the 90s and low 100s, but it will feel even warmer when you include the high humidity!
<h3>Texas Monday Highs</h3>
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Areas in West Texas could have record highs this afternoon when all is said and done for cities like Midland, Odessa and Fort Stockton.
<h1>Heat Safety Tips</h1>
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Just a reminder of some ways to stay safe with today's strong heat.  Keep checking with WeatherNation for more updates with today's hot temperatures.

Dangerous Heat and Humidity for the Southern High Plains Monday

Heat Alerts

High Temperature Forecast

Oklahoma Monday Highs

Texas Monday Highs

Heat Safety Tips

Catastrophic Flooding in the Texas Hill Country

Multiple Flash Flood Emergencies were issued

Severe Storms in the Midwest Continue To Spoil the Holiday Weekend

NORTHERN PLAINS - A frontal system continues

Eastern Pacific Remains Active

Following the prolific start to the season, t

Chantal Weakens After Making Landfall Sunday Morning

Tropical Storm Chantal formed earlier Saturda

Hot Weather Brings a Shot at Storms Out East

Guess who's back. The heat and humidity will

Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

AAA is expecting over 70 million travelers to

Northeast Severe Threat on Thursday

NORTHEAST -A shortwave trough will swing thro