And they'd get away with it to if it weren't for us kids. If this feels familiar, it should. Mario and Lorena had similar fates. Or at least their moisture did. The constant factory of the Eastern Pacific has churned out weekly storms for the better part of the last month, with many forming in similar areas.
The moisture ends up in a spot that a persistent Pacific Ocean trough can take some off of the top. The difference each time: it's ended in different locations after that. This latest bout looks to target Arizona and New Mexico.
Tropical moisture in a desert sounds hard to do but is often a bad mixture. Flash flooding will be possible with areas of southeast Arizona picking up to 5 inches of rain over the coming days. This could help a lackluster monsoon season look better. It will be interesting to see how the drought monitor looks in a week. For now, extreme to exceptional levels of drought are in place.
The heaviest of the rain will arrive Thursday but will linger through Saturday, keeping the flooding threat around. Washes can help direct some heavy rain in the area, but burned lands could have much more difficulty.