February to April Outlook has Warmth in the West

news image
Special Stories
17 Jan 2019 1:48 PM
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued their new 90 day forecast, covering February to April. Warmer than average temperatures are expected in most of the West, with colder than normal weather for the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. The Ohio Valley and Northwest are expected to see drier than average weather, with above normal precipitation in the Southeast and near the Four Corners. https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1085894736383234050 With drier weather forecast for most of the West, drought conditions are expected to persist or expand through April. Improvement is forecast near the Four Corners, with better precipitation chances over the next three months. https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1085896824857059332 The main forecast influences were global pattern trends and long range model forecasts. An extensively discussed El Nino is underway in the Pacific Ocean, but the atmosphere has been slow to respond. The CPC has become more pessimistic on the topic, stating "it appears that any El Nino that does form will only be of nominal or weak intensity." Observed sea surface temperatures in the Pacific are warmer than normal as expected, with computer models expecting this to continue. Right now, the overall global pattern resembles neutral conditions.  The CPC says "in the near-term, there is no obvious indication that this long-awaited ocean-atmosphere coupling will take place before the end of boreal winter." Based on the latest observations and model forecasts, the CPC still indicates a 65 percent chance for El Nino from now through Spring. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Severe Threat Slices South

Severe Threat Slices South

Another active day Thursday for portions of t

24 May 2024 3:00 AM
Storms Take Aim at Plains Again

Storms Take Aim at Plains Again

Just a couple of days after 23 tornadoes move

24 May 2024 2:55 AM
Hurricane Season 2024: Expected Above Average

Hurricane Season 2024: Expected Above Average

Atlantic Hurricane season starts June 1 and r

24 May 2024 2:50 AM
More Storms this Weekend in the Hard-Hit Plains

More Storms this Weekend in the Hard-Hit Plains

This weekend brings yet another threat of sev

24 May 2024 2:40 AM
Mid-South: Multiple Days of Severe Weather

Mid-South: Multiple Days of Severe Weather

The theme of this Spring has been non-stop se

24 May 2024 2:05 AM
Hurricane Season Around the Corner: Eyes on the Atlantic

Hurricane Season Around the Corner: Eyes on the Atlantic

Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins o

24 May 2024 2:00 AM
Severe Weather Hits the Northeast Today

Severe Weather Hits the Northeast Today

Storms are possible today along the entire ea

23 May 2024 4:50 PM