February to April Outlook has Warmth in the West

news image
Special Stories
17 Jan 2019 1:48 PM
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued their new 90 day forecast, covering February to April. Warmer than average temperatures are expected in most of the West, with colder than normal weather for the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. The Ohio Valley and Northwest are expected to see drier than average weather, with above normal precipitation in the Southeast and near the Four Corners. https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1085894736383234050 With drier weather forecast for most of the West, drought conditions are expected to persist or expand through April. Improvement is forecast near the Four Corners, with better precipitation chances over the next three months. https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1085896824857059332 The main forecast influences were global pattern trends and long range model forecasts. An extensively discussed El Nino is underway in the Pacific Ocean, but the atmosphere has been slow to respond. The CPC has become more pessimistic on the topic, stating "it appears that any El Nino that does form will only be of nominal or weak intensity." Observed sea surface temperatures in the Pacific are warmer than normal as expected, with computer models expecting this to continue. Right now, the overall global pattern resembles neutral conditions.  The CPC says "in the near-term, there is no obvious indication that this long-awaited ocean-atmosphere coupling will take place before the end of boreal winter." Based on the latest observations and model forecasts, the CPC still indicates a 65 percent chance for El Nino from now through Spring. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Hurricane Flossie Continues to Weaken

Hurricane Flossie Continues to Weaken

Hurricane FlossieThe National Hurricane Cente

3 Jul 2025 2:50 AM
NHC Monitoring Front in the Southeast Ahead of 4th of July

NHC Monitoring Front in the Southeast Ahead of 4th of July

Later this week, a frontal boundary is expect

3 Jul 2025 1:00 AM
Northern Plains to Upper Midwest Severe Storms Threaten Holiday Travel

Northern Plains to Upper Midwest Severe Storms Threaten Holiday Travel

NORTHERN PLAINS - A frontal system is expecte

3 Jul 2025 1:00 AM
Northeast Severe Threat on Thursday

Northeast Severe Threat on Thursday

NORTHEAST -A shortwave trough will swing thro

3 Jul 2025 12:30 AM
Northwest Heat Met With Thunderstorm Risk

Northwest Heat Met With Thunderstorm Risk

NORTHWEST - Today, portions of Montana are un

3 Jul 2025 12:00 AM
Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

AAA is expecting over 70 million travelers to

2 Jul 2025 6:40 PM
Severe Weather Threat Continues in the Midwest

Severe Weather Threat Continues in the Midwest

It has been an active, severe season across t

30 Jun 2025 9:00 PM