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<div>Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Colorado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!</div>
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Lucy Bergemann

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<p>An area of high pressure currently over the central U.S. will "retrograde" this week, meaning it will move opposite the typical flow. This will push moisture into the Pacific Northwest where temperatures are running 10-20° above average currently. The increase in moisture will not only drop temperatures back a bit, but also fire off a few showers and storms, some of which could be severe. Just to the south of this ridge is a cut-off area of low pressure in the Southwest, which will enhance shear and the potential of severe weather. For more on the cut-off low and impacts on the pattern in the region, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/cutoff-low-brings-daily-storm-chances-to-the-southwest"><strong><em><u>click here</u></em></strong></a>. </p><h2>Temperatures</h2><p>Highs today and Wednesday will be the warmest throughout the week with widespread 80s and 90s! As moisture and storm coverage increases Thursday and Friday, expect temperatures to drop back into the 70s and 80s. It will still be above average, but not to the same extent as the beginning of this week. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/day 1-1686066327579.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/3 day temps-1686066335279.jpg"></p><h2>Severe Weather Threat</h2><p>The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has highlighted the potential for severe weather over the next three days. The upper level pattern combined with the topography will enhance lift and the damaging wind potential. Today the severe threat is concentrated in northern Nevada and California. By Wednesday the threat migrates into the Snake River Valley. On Thursday the threat is localized to western Montana, northern Idaho and eastern Washington. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/svr-1686066306499.jpg">Thunderstorms develop in the heat of the day over the higher terrain, some of which will be severe. Most, however, will be heavy rainstorms with lightning as well. Expect daily showers and storms that mostly develop over the higher terrain, and while we may only get a quick 0.5" of rain, it can overwhelm the ground. While most storms won't likely reach severe criteria (58 mph winds or 1 inch hail), they will still be capable of producing gusty winds, small hail, and the threat of frequent lightning. Remember, "When thunder roars, head indoors". If you have outdoor plans, the mornings will definitely be your best chance of staying dry.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/2023-06-06 09-43-18-1686066239970.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>For the latest Flash Flood Warnings, download the WeatherNation app. Warnings will always be scrolling at the bottom of the screen. Forecast rainfall totals could exceed 1-4" in localized spots over the next several days with the largest threat of flooding over Central Montana. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/nw rainfall-1686066318809.jpg">For more information and updates with this system, tune into WeatherNation for :50 past the hour for our Western Regional Forecast.</p>

Hot Temps Before a Cool Down & Storm Chances in the Northwest

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<p>An upper-level low is bringing cooler air to the Northeast and helping to transport in plenty of wildfire smoke too. A surface low-pressure system will keep showers around for the Northeast over the next few days while smoke pushes into the Midwest and Upper Great Lakes. Many cities in the northern U.S. are dealing with hazy skies that will continue this week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/setupjpg-1685985534733.jpeg"></p><h2>Smoke</h2><p>With our upper-level ridging in the central U.S. and troughing in the northeast, smokey air will continue to travel down from Canada into the Great Lakes regions. Air quality alerts have been issued (by state health departments) but regardless of if you are under one of those alerts or not, the smoke will be widespread throughout the region. Forecast models show a dense plume of smoke heading for areas like western New York later this week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/Screenshot 2023-06-06 083209-1686061935297.png">Below is the latest on the smoke forecast across the Great Lakes and Northeast. The last several days, the Great Lakes region has been seeing the bulk of the air quality concerns. Over the next few days, there will be a shift more to the northeast.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06061-1686060664395.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>In addition to the wildfire smoke from Canada, northern Michigan along with much of central and eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey have their own fire threats - fire weather alerts have been issued due to dry and windy conditions expected over the next few days.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/Screenshot 2023-06-06 081115-1686060681279.png"></p><h2>Rainfall</h2><p>The same cold front producing gusty winds and the fire danger threat will also bring a few showers to the immediate coastline in New England back towards the Capitol Region of New York. There won't be enough moisture for this front to taper the fire threat today in the mid-Atlantic or around Michigan, and instead we expect winds to gust between 20-30 mph. By no means do these storms look to be widespread, but they will bring much-needed rainfall to the region. Storms look to be a bit more meaningful and widespread later in the period on Thursday when the area of low pressure starts to move back towards the west.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06062-1686060748929.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Temperatures</h2><p>Highs today will actually be at or above normal for cities across the Northeast as the upper level low providing cooler air backs off the influence slightly. That doesn't last long for coastal communities, as highs drop again on Wednesday through the end of the work week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/Screenshot 2023-06-06 081249-1686060775163.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/Screenshot 2023-06-06 081302-1686060788449.png">For more on temperature trend, join WeatherNation for the latest top weather headlines, always streaming 24/7.</p>

Low Pressure Transports Cool Air & Smoke to the Northern U.S.

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<p>South Carolina and western Georgia are in for some stronger thunderstorms today with westerly flow in the upper levels of the atmosphere meeting low-level buoyancy. The combination of these features will help bring in a few stronger thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours.</p><h2>Tuesday</h2><p>Due to our low level lapse rates, our primary risk for Tuesday will be the potential for damaging winds gusts, although hail will be possible in these areas. The Storm Prediction Center has maintained a <strong>MARGINAL</strong> (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe thunderstorms Tuesday. Isolated to at times, scattered, thunderstorms are likely again by this afternoon.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/day 1 -1686061603032.jpg"></p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/2023-06-06 05-53-01-1686052701064.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Wednesday - Thursday</h2><p>Wednesday's severe weather risk is more isolated to coastal South Carolina and Georgia and storms will favor the coast in the morning. However, an incoming cold front Wednesday afternoon will create more widespread showers and storms. The threats remain damaging wind and hail with the potential for a few isolated strong wind gusts. Here's a look at the areas included in Wednesday's marginal risk for severe thunderstorms.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/spc wed-1686052684895.jpg">We see showers and storms continue from Wednesday into Thursday morning along a cold front draped around the I-20 corridor. That same front then pushes south into southern Georgia and northern Florida throughout the day, prompting more storms for the area before it starts to clear the coast late Thursday night. All modes of severe weather are possible on Thursday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/2023-06-06 05-53-25-1686052897961.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>As a result of the severe weather potential with the incoming front, the SPC has highlighted a large area of Georgia and eastern Alabama with the threat of severe weather on Thursday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/spc thu-1686052671607.jpg"></p><p>You can get the latest details on this top weather story along with the Southeast regional forecast, at :10 past the hour on WeatherNation!</p>

Daily Thunderstorms for the Southeastern U.S.

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<p>The multi-day flood threat is back for the Great Plains and Front Range from Denver to Amarillo as a constant stream of moisture works in from the Gulf of Mexico. This moisture then hits the Rockies, producing daily thunderstorms, some of which will be severe. The grounds are overly saturated (above) meaning additional moisture will be difficult to absorb. Denver and Colorado Springs saw their 4th and 6th wettest May, respectively with the Texas panhandle experiencing equally soggy conditions. In fact, Dalhart and Borger saw their wettest May month on record!</p><h2>Flood Threat</h2><p>The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has highlighted the risk for excessive rainfall over the next couple of days, from Wyoming through southern Texas with the marginal risk (lowest threat level) and a <strong>SLIGHT</strong> risk of flooding from El Paso, TX to Denver, CO. Any thunderstorm that develops could quickly put down 1-2" of rainfall, overwhelming soils and creating flood concerns. On Thursday, the flood risk is less widespread, favoring more of the I-25 corridor.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/2023-06-06 06-00-32-1686053137153.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Indications are for anywhere from 1-3" of rainfall over the next three days. While this may not seem like a lot of rain for other parts of the country, this much rainfall in a short period of time in the Great Plains can cause major issues. The other thing we will be watching will be for rainfall over recent area burn scars, especially in New Mexico where rainfall could cause mudslides and debris flow.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/rainfall potential-1686052907140.jpg"></p><h2>Severe Weather Concerns</h2><p>In addition to the flood threat we also have the risk of severe storms, developing along the dryline on both Tuesday and Wednesday. There is a <strong>MARGINAL</strong> (level 1 out of 5) threat for most of New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle both days. Primary threats are damaging winds and hail. Storms don't look to be as intense compared to last week's severe weather, but they will be widespread, meaning the flood concern will be elevated.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/spc nm-1686065401309.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/spc tx wed-1686053359193.jpg">Showers and storms develop in the afternoon and evening hours, using the terrain and the dryline to develop, moving into the Plains as the evening progresses. Some of these storms will linger into the overnight hours, pushing into central Texas as MCS's or Mesoscale Convective Systems, producing heavy rain and lightning. More storms develop in the hills on Wednesday with similar threats. Storms will be widespread at times, bringing torrential rainfall to already saturated soils, increasing the risk of flash flooding. Please do not drive through flooded roadways, "turn around, don't drown".</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/2023-06-06 06-03-38-1686053192462.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>For more on the flood risk and severe weather concerns, join WeatherNation for your central and western regional forecasts, always :30 and :50 past the hour, respectively.</p>

Flood Threat from Colorado to Central Texas this Week

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<p>Hurricane Season is underway in the Atlantic and we have our eyes on potential development in the Northeast Atlantic with a low, but non-zero, threat of development over the next week. We've already had our first named storm of the season - Arlene - named the first day of the Atlantic Hurricane Season. This was our second storm of the season, with a subtropical low from January registering as our first tropical system of 2023. The next name up on the list is Bret if this system in the Atlantic gets organized. The placement of this area of low pressure is a bit unusual for tropical development - we typically see June storms form in the Caribbean and move into the Gulf of Mexico. Not to say development elsewhere in the Basin is rare, its just climatologically not favored.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/june-1685991554952.jpg">As a reminder, both NOAA and forecasters at Colorado State University are calling for a near normal season, balancing the impact of warmer than average sea surface temperatures and the El Nino conditions expected to develop by the peak of hurricane season. They will play tug of war with the potential for storm development this year.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/NOAA-1685991570866.jpg">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest in the tropics throughout hurricane season which runs through late November.</p>

Atlantic Hurricane Season: Watching the Tropics

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<p>A cutoff area of low pressure is migrating from the Pacific into the Four Corners region in the Southwest U.S. This storm system is overall weak but will still provide enough upper-level energy to assist with daily thunderstorm development over the Southwest.</p><h2>Severe Threats</h2><p>Over the next two days, we have the potential for severe weather in the western United States. Tuesday's risk includes northern California and Nevada along with the Snake River Valley with similar storm threats.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/spc tue-1685990909938.jpg">On Wednesday the severe weather threat is centered through northern California, Oregon, Idaho, and western Montana. Winds in the upper level of our atmosphere will be from the east and southeast while at the surface we expect westerly winds. This shear, or turning of wind with height will support storm development, especially over the higher terrain. Our primary threat will be damaging winds but we could see marginally large hail as storms develop.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/spc wed-1685990935283.jpg"></p><h2>Forecast</h2><p>Thunderstorms develop in the heat of the day over the higher terrain, some of which will be severe. Most, however, will be heavy rainstorms with lightning as well. Expect daily showers and storms that mostly develop over the higher terrain, and while we may only get a quick 0.5" of rain, it can overwhelm the ground. While storms won't likely reach severe criteria (58 mph winds or 1 inch hail), they will still be capable of producing gusty winds, small hail, and the threat of frequent lightning. Remember, "When thunder roars, head indoors".</p><h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-05_west fcst rain-1686019865095.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-05_wpc west next 3 days-1686019889094.jpg">Timing</h1><p>Here's a look at the timing of our southwest low driven storms.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-05_18z west through wed am-1686019974702.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>For more on the Southwest forecast, join us for your Western Regional Forecast, always :50 past the hour.</p>

Cutoff Low Produces Severe Weather in the Western U.S.

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<p>We have a small <strong>SLIGHT</strong> risk (level 2 out of 5) of severe storms through south Texas including Corpus Christi, Laredo, and Brownsville. All modes of severe weather are possible, including the potential for an isolated tornado.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-05_rsc ovn-1686010921635.jpg"></p><p>Storms linger into the overnight hours, but most die down by sundown.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/06/06-04_12z tonight-1686010981066.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>For more on the severe weather and flood threats, stay with WeatherNation for the latest in your Top Weather Headlines always streaming 24/7.</p>

Texas Storms Wrap Up Overnight

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A significant fire weather risk today for parts of the Southern Plains.  This includes the states of Kansas and Oklahoma.  Any fires that start could easily become out of control quickly, so people in these areas will need to use extra caution.
<h2>Wind Forecast</h2>
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Strong winds and low humidity will be the big weather story over the Plains and the areas that have not seen much precipitation over the past several months will have the highest fire weather risk today and also tomorrow.
<h2>Fire Alerts</h2>
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Red flag warnings and fire weather watches are in effect for the rest of Wednesday for parts of Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Missouri.  These specific areas are also the same areas that are dealing with extreme drought conditions.

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Please be safe if you are going to be doing any outdoor burnings.  Here are some safety tips for wildfire prevention.

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<a href="https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistPC/"><strong>Meteorologist Patrick Crawford</strong></a>

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Fire Weather Risk for the Southern Plains Today

Wind Forecast

Fire Alerts

Hot Temps Before a Cool Down & Storm Chances in the Northwest

An area of high pressure currently over the c

Low Pressure Transports Cool Air & Smoke to the Northern U.S.

An upper-level low is bringing cooler air to

Daily Thunderstorms for the Southeastern U.S.

South Carolina and western Georgia are in for

Flood Threat from Colorado to Central Texas this Week

The multi-day flood threat is back for the Gr

Atlantic Hurricane Season: Watching the Tropics

Hurricane Season is underway in the Atlantic

Cutoff Low Produces Severe Weather in the Western U.S.

A cutoff area of low pressure is migrating fr

Texas Storms Wrap Up Overnight

We have a small SLIGHT risk (level 2 out of 5