Groundhog Day is Quickly Approaching, Will the Groundhog See It's Shadow?

news image
Special Stories
31 Jan 2018 9:24 AM
Groundhog Day is quickly approaching and will arrive on a Friday this year (Friday, February 2nd, 2018). On this day all eyes will be on Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania and Punxsutawney Phil, the world famous groundhog known for forecasting weather conditions for the rest of the winter.  
  Specifically, if Phil does sees his shadow, legend has it to expect six more weeks of Winter. If Phil doesn't see his shadow, legend has it to expect an early Spring. Even members of our WeatherNation team are doing a poll on whether Phil will "see" his shadow (I am "TeamNoShadow"). WeatherNation staff poll of whether Punxsutawney Phil will see his shadow.   Phil has been forecasting since 1887, and over the course those years and with available records, 103 of his forecast have called for 6 more weeks of winter and 18 of have called for an early Spring. Statistically, he has been more accurate when he predicts an early Spring. The last 8 years of Phil's predictions along with weather conditions. (Source: Stormfax.com)   So, what's Phil's accuracy? Accuracy may be tough to calculate, but according to records kept by StormFax.com, and based on the how Phil forecasts (mild or not mild), Phil has an accuracy of roughly 39 percent. And what will he predict this year? Based on past records, its likely that Phil will see his shadow, thus forecasting six more weeks of Winter. We'll find out on Friday what Phil sees and then only time will tell if he is accurate for the rest of this year's winter. Lets go TeamNoShadow! For WeatherNation, I am Meteorologist Marcus Walter.
All Weather News
More
MODERATE Risk for Severe Weather Today

MODERATE Risk for Severe Weather Today

Forecast OutlooksA widespread severe weather

18 May 2026 5:30 PM
Severe Storms Leave Trail of Destruction on the Plains

Severe Storms Leave Trail of Destruction on the Plains

A potent setup, fueled by record hot temperat

18 May 2026 5:26 PM
Spring: Where Snow & Severe Storms are in the Forecast

Spring: Where Snow & Severe Storms are in the Forecast

Welcome to May in Colorado! Severe storms and

18 May 2026 4:35 PM
Early Taste of Summer Heat Expands Across the East Coast

Early Taste of Summer Heat Expands Across the East Coast

A big warmup is expected to take hold across

18 May 2026 4:20 PM
Another Extremely Critical Fire Risk Today

Another Extremely Critical Fire Risk Today

An extremely critical outlook has been issued

18 May 2026 2:50 PM
Saturday Severe Storms; Midwest to the Ohio Valley

Saturday Severe Storms; Midwest to the Ohio Valley

Scattered severe storms have been moving thro

17 May 2026 2:30 AM
Hurricane Season Begins in the Eastern Pacific, Atlantic Soon To Follow

Hurricane Season Begins in the Eastern Pacific, Atlantic Soon To Follow

Ready for hurricane season? As a reminder, wa

16 May 2026 1:30 AM