Groundhog Day is Quickly Approaching, Will the Groundhog See It's Shadow?

news image
Special Stories
31 Jan 2018 9:24 AM
Groundhog Day is quickly approaching and will arrive on a Friday this year (Friday, February 2nd, 2018). On this day all eyes will be on Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania and Punxsutawney Phil, the world famous groundhog known for forecasting weather conditions for the rest of the winter.  
  Specifically, if Phil does sees his shadow, legend has it to expect six more weeks of Winter. If Phil doesn't see his shadow, legend has it to expect an early Spring. Even members of our WeatherNation team are doing a poll on whether Phil will "see" his shadow (I am "TeamNoShadow"). WeatherNation staff poll of whether Punxsutawney Phil will see his shadow.   Phil has been forecasting since 1887, and over the course those years and with available records, 103 of his forecast have called for 6 more weeks of winter and 18 of have called for an early Spring. Statistically, he has been more accurate when he predicts an early Spring. The last 8 years of Phil's predictions along with weather conditions. (Source: Stormfax.com)   So, what's Phil's accuracy? Accuracy may be tough to calculate, but according to records kept by StormFax.com, and based on the how Phil forecasts (mild or not mild), Phil has an accuracy of roughly 39 percent. And what will he predict this year? Based on past records, its likely that Phil will see his shadow, thus forecasting six more weeks of Winter. We'll find out on Friday what Phil sees and then only time will tell if he is accurate for the rest of this year's winter. Lets go TeamNoShadow! For WeatherNation, I am Meteorologist Marcus Walter.
All Weather News
More
Severe Storms Return Across the Central Plains Today

Severe Storms Return Across the Central Plains Today

TEXAS - Renewed rounds of severe weather are

30 May 2026 6:00 PM
Heavy Rain and Flooding Threat Continues Across the South

Heavy Rain and Flooding Threat Continues Across the South

More rounds of heavy rain are expected to mov

30 May 2026 4:40 PM
Cooler and Wetter Across the Northeast This Weekend

Cooler and Wetter Across the Northeast This Weekend

It was clear skies on Thursday for Manhattanh

30 May 2026 4:30 PM
Severe Storms Possible in the Pacific Northwest

Severe Storms Possible in the Pacific Northwest

SET-UPAn upper low is sitting and spinning ov

29 May 2026 6:00 PM
Northern Plains Heat Pushes into Upper Midwest

Northern Plains Heat Pushes into Upper Midwest

Record high temperatures have been breaking s

28 May 2026 7:15 PM
Severe Storms Threaten Nation's Capital

Severe Storms Threaten Nation's Capital

The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a

27 May 2026 11:35 PM
Severe Storms, Heavy Rain Target the Southeast

Severe Storms, Heavy Rain Target the Southeast

WHAT TO EXPECTHeavy rain has already hit nume

24 May 2026 8:00 PM