Groundhog Day is Quickly Approaching, Will the Groundhog See It's Shadow?

news image
Special Stories
31 Jan 2018 9:24 AM
Groundhog Day is quickly approaching and will arrive on a Friday this year (Friday, February 2nd, 2018). On this day all eyes will be on Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania and Punxsutawney Phil, the world famous groundhog known for forecasting weather conditions for the rest of the winter.  
  Specifically, if Phil does sees his shadow, legend has it to expect six more weeks of Winter. If Phil doesn't see his shadow, legend has it to expect an early Spring. Even members of our WeatherNation team are doing a poll on whether Phil will "see" his shadow (I am "TeamNoShadow"). WeatherNation staff poll of whether Punxsutawney Phil will see his shadow.   Phil has been forecasting since 1887, and over the course those years and with available records, 103 of his forecast have called for 6 more weeks of winter and 18 of have called for an early Spring. Statistically, he has been more accurate when he predicts an early Spring. The last 8 years of Phil's predictions along with weather conditions. (Source: Stormfax.com)   So, what's Phil's accuracy? Accuracy may be tough to calculate, but according to records kept by StormFax.com, and based on the how Phil forecasts (mild or not mild), Phil has an accuracy of roughly 39 percent. And what will he predict this year? Based on past records, its likely that Phil will see his shadow, thus forecasting six more weeks of Winter. We'll find out on Friday what Phil sees and then only time will tell if he is accurate for the rest of this year's winter. Lets go TeamNoShadow! For WeatherNation, I am Meteorologist Marcus Walter.
All Weather News
More
Tropical Moisture Brings Increased Flood Risk to the Gulf Coast This Weekend

Tropical Moisture Brings Increased Flood Risk to the Gulf Coast This Weekend

A broad area of tropical moisture moving acro

6 Jun 2026 9:25 PM
Severe Storms for the Northeast This Weekend

Severe Storms for the Northeast This Weekend

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a seve

6 Jun 2026 9:20 PM
Two Disturbances in the Eastern Pacific Have a Chance of Developing

Two Disturbances in the Eastern Pacific Have a Chance of Developing

It's Hurricane Prep Week on WeatherNation for

6 Jun 2026 9:10 PM
Severe Storms, Flash Flooding Threaten Millions Across the Plains This Weekend

Severe Storms, Flash Flooding Threaten Millions Across the Plains This Weekend

Millions of people across the Plains are prep

6 Jun 2026 2:43 PM
Severe Storms Target the Midwest Overnight

Severe Storms Target the Midwest Overnight

Strong storms have been surging across the Pl

6 Jun 2026 2:20 AM
Hurricane Prep Week 2026

Hurricane Prep Week 2026

HURRICANE SEASON IS HERE!The Atlantic Hurrica

6 Jun 2026 1:00 AM
X-Class Flare Could Spawn Aurora Thursday Night

X-Class Flare Could Spawn Aurora Thursday Night

Charge your camera batteries! Aurora Borealis

5 Jun 2026 2:15 AM