Adrian Hernandez

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A wave of energy pushing in from Canada will begin stirring up active weather across the Plains by the middle of the week, setting the stage for increasing storm chances and changing conditions across the region. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-11 040813-1778494102699.png"><h1>What to Expect (Tuesday):</h1>Heavy showers are expected ahead of the frontal boundary Tuesday afternoon. Thunderstorms are possible, but severe weather is more likely along the front going through the evening hours.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/2026-05-11 04-10-22-1778494240491.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video> The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a MARGINAL (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe weather on Tuesday. All threats are possible, with a small outlook for an isolated spin up tornado or two.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-11 041629-1778494676326.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-11 041618-1778494676325.png"><h1>What to Expect (Wednesday):</h1>Eventually, all of this energy will slide out east. The Northeast likely picking up the heaviest of the activity by Wednesday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/2026-05-11 04-24-41-1778495122488.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video> We can expect good coverage when it comes to rainfall across much of the Ohio Valley going into Wednesday morning. If you're living along the coast, this moisture takes a little bit longer to get to you. The front is expected along the coastline closer to 10 PM.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/2026-05-11 04-26-42-1778495312547.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Another MARGINAL (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe weather is in place for Wednesday. While not a high end threat, a few isolated wind gusts are definitely possible.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-11 042849-1778495570186.png">When all is said and done, the northeast is likely going to walk away with the heaviest of the rainfall. Some totals in the Empire State could get upwards of 1.5 - 2"!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-11 043652-1778495872211.png">Make sure to stay tuned to WeatherNation for the latest on your midweek forecast!

Midweek Front Brings Severe Weather to the Plains and Northeast

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Kevin Schneider

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WEST - Denver received 5.8" of snowfall from May 5-6 and is now in store for well-above-average temperatures heading into early this week. In fact, highs could threaten 90 for the Mile High City, not even a week after almost 6" of snow!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-06 164523-1778107597662.png">So, what’s causing this rapid warming trend? An upper-level ridge. As the ridge moves onshore, temperatures will begin to climb heading into the weekend. Dozens of records are expected to fall starting on Mother’s Day and continuing into next week. Each city represented by a pink dot is a location where record highs could be broken or tied.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-11 035601-1778493378342.png">Temperatures on Sunday for cities like Las Vegas and Phoenix are expected to soar into the triple digits, around 15 degrees above average for this time of year. Excessive Heat Warnings and Advisories have been issued into early next week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-11 035659-1778493433036.png">Record highs are likely in cities like Las Vegas and Phoenix.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-11 035813-1778493507687.png">The heat continues into the long-range forecast as well, with the Climate Prediction Center showing high confidence that the Southwest will remain above average through the middle of May. Notice how by mid-May the dome of heat will shift East into the Plains.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-10 095235-1778421165091.png">For more details on just how hot your Southwestern city could get, be sure to join us at :50 past the hour for more in your Western Regional Forecast.

Warm Week in Store Out West

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A widespread stretch of wet weather is continuing to impact millions of people across the southern and eastern United States, bringing the threat of flooding rain and strong thunderstorms from the Gulf Coast to the Northeast.&nbsp;In the last 3 days, Louisiana saw several flood reports, and some spots got over <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-11 034156-1778492531507.png"><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2052184135439901068" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2052184135439901068"></div><h3>WHAT TO EXPECT:</h3>Heavy rain and strong storms will develop along a frontal boundary as it moves east/southeast. Expect storms to form along and bring the threat for severe weather, especially with daytime heating during your afternoon hours.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/FTONAL BOUNDDD-1778464768663.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>SEVERE THREATOvernight, cities like Jackson and Shreveport are at risk of strong to severe storms. The threat moves east on Monday, for cities like Savannah, Augusta and Jacksonville.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-11 035006-1778493036592.png">98.9 % of the Southeast is in a moderate to exceptional drought. So much of the recent rainfall has been beneficial, as long as it doesn't cause flooding. Residents in flood-prone areas are encouraged to stay weather-aware throughout the weekend and monitor forecasts closely for possible flash flood watches and warnings.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-09 044036-1778323255115.png">

More Storms Move Through the Southeast

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<h1>Severe Outlooks</h1>Texas has been active today, with damaging winds and large hail being the main severe reports from today. Cranfills Gap, Texas, saw hailstones up to 4.00" in diamter, which is comparable to a softball!!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/texas hail reports -1778465088562.png">The severe threat continues into the overnight hours with large hail and gusts up to 80 mph possible. Make sure to have mulitple ways to get alerts especially into the overnight hours!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/WIND AND HAIL-1778464151903.png">There is a 2% tornado probability for portions of central Texas through the overnight hours.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/IVER-1778464168484.png">Forecast</h1>Some strong storms may hold together through the overnight hours. There will be some rain to start the day for cities like Houston and Corpus Christi.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/into-1778464309690.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>We are anticipating some heavy rain with the repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Models are forecasting up to 1-3" of rain with some isolated heavier totals before drier air arrives on Monday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-10 095817-1778421517777.png">

Jackie Brown

Storms Zero In on the Lone Star State Today

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WeatherNation Meteorologists

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Ready for hurricane season? As a reminder, waters here tend to warm faster than in the Atlantic; thus, the season starts about two weeks earlier in the Eastern Pacific. If a storm were to form and reach tropical storm status, it would be named Amanda. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-02 080308-1777731407202.png">Ocean heat content has been rapidly increasing in the Eastern Pacific this Spring, which is not surprising. You might've heard about the potential for a "super" El Niño this summer. Well, the warm water created in the Eastern/Central Pacific by El Niño can lead to supercharged hurricane seasons in those regions.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-02 080401-1777731353504.png">Global circulations influenced by El Niño tend to create less disruptive wind shear in the Eastern Pacific as well. Weak upper-level winds combined with warm waters tend to lead to many tropical systems. At the same time, wind shear tends to increase in the Caribbean during these events, leading to a tougher environment for tropical systems to form and survive.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-02 080343-1777731377186.png">Last season was quite active in the Eastern Pacific, with 20 named storms and 5 major hurricanes. The Mexican National Meteorological Service issued an early outlook for the 2026 season in April, calling for another active year with roughly 20 named storms.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-02 081157-1777731386253.png">El Niño typically increases wind shear in the Atlantic, which is a primary reason why some forecasts are calling for a slightly less active season. The Atlantic averages 14 names storms a season but, despite the El Niño, the forecast is barely below average with 13 names storms. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-08 065820-1778245110818.png">We're going to get you ready for hurricane season at the beginning of June. Be sure to tune in for updated forecasts, information, and tips to prepare!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-02 083105-1777732279156.png">

The Countdown to Hurricane Season

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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<h1>Wednesday</h1>A cyclic supercell produced a damaging tornado across a large swath of southwestern Mississippi on Wednesday afternoon. The tornado caused damaged to homes in several towns, including Purvis and Brookhaven. WeatherNation field correspondent Brandon Clement was in the town of Brookhaven shortly after the tornado went through, showing significant damage to one neighborhood. The Brookhaven tornado was given a preliminary rating of EF-3, but surveys are expected to be finalized on Friday so check back for the final report.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2052365331382108233" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2052365331382108233"></div>Two supercells raced across Southern Mississippi Wednesday. These cells both took on the classic supercell appearance at times, including showcasing hook echoes and a donut signature. Both cells produced damaging tornadoes.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/2026-05-07 07-07-38-1778159496391.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Friday- Sunday</h1>The severe weather risk will persist along the Gulf coast through at least Sunday as multiple fronts move across the region and stall. Wind and hail are expected to be the primary threats, but a tornado or two will be possible.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/BARON 5-1778292623471.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Storms look to have the greatest severe weather potential in the afternoon and evening hours. However, some strong storms could linger into the overnight hours through the Mother's Day weekend.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/BARON 5-1778292777795.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Along with the severe weather chances, heavy rain is likely across the Deep South. The forecast is calling for 2-4" of rain with some locally higher amounts up to 7". Flash flooding is possible as rainfall rates will be quite high, over 2" per hour at times. We are slowly trying to put a dent in the drought for the South, as it will take more consistent rains over the next few months to make some significant changes.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/1-1778292685768.png">

Jesse Kelley

Tornadoes Cause Damage in Mississippi, Strong Storms Linger in the South

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Parts of Colorado and Wyoming received up to two feet of snowfall since yesterday, with Estes Park receiving some of the highest amounts at 28" so far.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-06 160827-1778105324524.png">The Denver International Airport accumulated 5.8" of snowfall, which was the 12th highest 2-day May snow total.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-06 160832-1778105401858.png">Our Meteorologist Rob Bradley had some fun in the Denver area during this snow day, before we start to warm back up through the end of the week.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2052093538314436924" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2052093538314436924"></div>Watch the roads tonight, as freeze warnings have been issued for the I-25 corridor. Roads that are wet could be frozen in the morning which could cause difficult travel for the morning drive.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-06 161118-1778105490776.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-06 161123-1778105495430.png">For Denver, only 33.1 inches of snow have accumulated so far this season. On average, year-to-date snowfall totals should be around 50 inches. This is much-needed moisture for the Mile High City.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/05/Screenshot 2026-05-05 033530-1777973743777.png">Follow along for more information this week, @WeatherNation!

CO May Snowstorm Could Lead to Icy Thursday Roads

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High surf advisories are in place for locations along the California coast and also for locations in Hawaii.  

<img class="alignnone size-large wp-image-86343" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/01/Hi-High-Surf-Advisory-728x408.jpg" alt="" width="728" height="408" /> <img class="alignnone size-large wp-image-86344" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/01/High-Surf-Advisory-728x408.jpg" alt="" width="728" height="408" />

Impacts can include large breaking waves, very strong rip currents, waves overtopping jetties and coastal rock formations and sneaker waves. Minor coastal flooding and beach erosion during high tides. 

Near Los Angeles the National Weather Service said this about the high surf.

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST THURSDAY...

* SURF AND TIMING...High surf will build to 12 to 16 feet at

beaches along the Central Coast today, with local sets to 18 to

20 feet. High surf will continue through Wednesday, then surf

will subside slowly Wednesday night. 

&nbsp;

All of this may sound threatening to life and property on shore but did you know that this time of the year is the best for surfing and surfers in both California and Hawaii?

<img class="alignnone size-large wp-image-86345" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/01/Sufer-728x408.jpg" alt="" width="728" height="408" />

The winter surf season runs approximately November through March is the time of year we can expect the largest swell of the year in locations like California and Hawaii.

Popular surf locations like Santa Barbara, Ventura, South LA and most of San Diego  will see larger and more consistent swells out of the W/NW this time of year ideal for hanging ten.

&nbsp;

High Surf Advisories + Surfs Up Everybody

Midweek Front Brings Severe Weather to the Plains and Northeast

A wave of energy pushing in from Canada will

Warm Week in Store Out West

WEST - Denver received 5.8" of snowfall from

More Storms Move Through the Southeast

A widespread stretch of wet weather is contin

Storms Zero In on the Lone Star State Today

Severe OutlooksTexas has been active today, w

The Countdown to Hurricane Season

Ready for hurricane season? As a reminder, wa

Tornadoes Cause Damage in Mississippi, Strong Storms Linger in the South

WednesdayA cyclic supercell produced a damagi

CO May Snowstorm Could Lead to Icy Thursday Roads

Parts of Colorado and Wyoming received up to