Kevin Schneider

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CALIFORNIA - The state of California has been impacted by our first frontal boundary that prompted severe warnings, flash flood warnings, heavy mountain snow, and gusty winds. The next of a series of fronts moves onshore over the next day or so to add more to all of the previous totals.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2023502650579284209" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2023502650579284209"></div><h1>Heavy Rain &amp; Flooding Threat</h1>Flash flooding is looking possible through Tuesday across portions of Southern California, including Los Angeles. Numerous Flash Flood Warnings have already been issued across Southern California on Monday, but the rain should be spread out enough to avoid many additional issues after Tuesday. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-16 200159-1771297330908.png"><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2023476221364084906" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2023476221364084906"></div><h1>SEVERE</h1>Late Tuesday morning, the Storm Prediction Center added in another marginal risk for severe storms, with damaging winds being the primary threat. However, like Monday, a few short-lived tornadoes will be possible. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-17 102439-1771349094764.png"><h1>Timing</h1>Rain and snow look likely off and on into Thursday as another strong trough arrives, especially on Tuesday from the Bay Area up to the Donner Pass, where another corridor on intense rain and snow looks to move in.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/02-16_rsw bams18z-1771297423165.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Heavy Snow</h1>Winter weather alerts have been issued for much of California through Wednesday.<ul><li>2000-2500 feet: up to one foot</li><li>2500-3500 feet: one to two feet</li><li>3500 feet and above: four to eight feet</li><li>wind gusts up to 45-55 mph</li></ul><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/we1-1771331690439.png">Travel could be impossible in some spots with the high snowfall rates and winds. Snowfall totals could surpass 4-5 feet in some areas, like Mammoth Mountain. Resorts around Lake Tahoe could also see 4-5 feet, including I-80 and the Donner Pass. The heavy snowfall rates will make mountain travel impossible at times.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-16 133527-1771274136328.png">Even the mountains in Southern California will see heavy snowfall developing this afternoon and evening. Travel will be very difficult at times through early Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-16 133548-1771274157063.png">

Monster Storm System Walloping California

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Fire outlooks have been issued across the Front Range and the plains through Wednesday. The biggest concern lurks on Tuesday, with the Storm Prediction Center issuing a rare Extremely Critical fire weather outlook (above). Widespread Red Flag Warnings have been issued for the region, and that will expand further into Tuesday, some even lingering through Wednesday. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-17 062008-1771334418873.jpg">The NWS office in Goodland upgraded some counties to a PDS Red Flag Warning, the most severe fire weather warning. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-17 061532-1771334142397.jpg">We are talking record-breaking heat potential with the warm daytime highs in the area. Warm weather will accompany a howling west wind into Tuesday, with some gusts surpassing 60 mph. That will help dry out an already dry atmosphere, pushing relative humidity percentages into the single digits by the afternoon.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-16 154416-1771281861159.png">Additional fire outlooks look to remain in place on Wednesday as yet another front drops in, kicking wind gusts up to 50-60 mph. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-17 061838-1771334326638.jpg">

Extreme Wildfire Danger Expands

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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ROCKIES - A round of snow and rain is leaving the Four Corners, but not to worry, our drought-stricken friends, more is on the way! Winter Alerts have started to expand across the four corners.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Web1-1771333997988.png">The next series of strong troughs has started to impact California will be sending additional rain and snow into the Four Corners starting this evening. On and off rain and snow showers are expected to continue through much of the week, dropping feet of snow for some areas in the Rockies.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/2026-02-17 06-13-39-1771334045868.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Snowfall totals could reach 1 to 3 feet in the higher elevations through Thursday morning. The system's track from the Southwest will favor upslope snow in SW Utah and Colorado, increasing totals there, such as Telluride.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Web2-1771334092991.png">Most ski resorts can expect at least 6-12" through Thursday morning, with some seeing up to two feet!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Web3-1771334122647.png">Stay tuned to WeatherNation for the latest updates.

Adrian Hernandez

Rounds of Snow Return to the Rockies

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The West Coast is hogging the active weather in the early part of the week, but it won't last forever. A wave moving onshore in the coming days will turn into another chance for severe storms later this week. But these could look a little different...<h1>SETUP</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-16 103300-1771263199965.png">The disturbance in question will ripple through the Rocky Mountains, emerging sometime Thursday. That's not the issue-the chunk of energy is more than enough to cause trouble. Let's look at the other ingredients<h1>MOISTURE &amp; INSTABILITY</h1>As the system presses in from the west, a front will drive through some dew points well into the 50's and some 60's. That should be plenty of moisture to work with. That will provide ample unstable air to power severe chances.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-16 103446-1771263317488.png">So if it's all systems go, why are some models struggling to pop storms? Check out the latest run of our in-house model, which is hesitant to develop storms.<hr><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/2026-02-16 10-54-27-1771264500530.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>So what gives? Low-topped supercells are the biggest worry if storms manage to form. Those are storms that don't reach quite as high in the atmosphere, but still contain the ability to rotate. What happens in the evening is a little less certain-do we have enough thunderstorms to merge into a line? Or is the threat going to be limited to the daytime hour?<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-17 071106-1771337473956.jpg">Even with the uncertainty, the Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk for severe weather on Thursday:<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-17 070823-1771337314884.jpg">

Next Shot at Severe Storms This Week

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More record high temperatures were broken across the northern U.S. on Monday. Some highs hit 70°.It has been a tale of two halves of the country so far this winter. In the West, temperatures have been extremely warm, while the East feels the repetitive shots of cold air, fresh from the Canadian Arctic. Now, as our pattern begins to shift, many people will feel the shift from bitterly cold temperatures to a more spring-like feel.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/we3b1-1771331850959.png">High pressure has ridged and is in place. This will begin to shove the arctic air back to the north and allow a significant warm-up from the Gulf to the Canadian border. Cities such as Sioux Falls, Minneapolis, and Chicago, which experienced temperatures well below 0° for much of January, will suddenly feel temperatures more typical of April.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-16 155726-1771282662901.png">Down south, temperatures are expected to stay well above average this week. Some cities like San Antonio will be hanging out in the 80s this week, we should be below 70 this time of year.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-16 155730-1771282657153.png">Record high temperatures from the plains to the southeast will be possible for the remainder of the work week. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Web 9-1771331913078.png">The southern Plains will also be feeling the anomalous warmth, helping to increase the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/active-weather-weekend-ahead">severe weather threat</a> there over the next couple of days. Confidence is very high in spring-like warmth sticking around as we head deeper into February. The chance for thunderstorms in a more spring-like pattern will continue along with it!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-16 155808-1771282694841.png">Through late February and early March, there is a high confidence that above average temperatures will stick around.

Tracey Anthony

Weirdly Warm February on the Plains

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Storms flew through Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi this weekend. Leaving behind strong damaging winds and tornadoes. Two reports have been confirmed out of Mississippi from Sunday, both rating EF-1.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-15 160500-1771196706661.png">Strong and severe storms have developed across the south and will continue through tonight. The threat continues across portions of Florida and Georgia. Damaging winds and tornadoes will be the primary concern.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-15 160628-1771196792439.png">Be sure to join us on WeatherNation as we track this system's development!

Severe Storms Target the South Sunday

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

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NORTHEAST - As this next clipper system continues through, we can see snow and some lake-effect snow. A high-pressure system will move in, and things will taper off on Thursday night.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/02-11_rne-1770838643023.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>When all is said and done, the heaviest snow ends up in upstate New York and most of the New England area. With a few of these lake effect bands cranking well into late week, we can see some totals top out at 6"!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/Screenshot 2026-02-11 123841-1770838732760.png">But what about those temps after the fact? Well, judging by the Climate Prediction Center's (CPC) 6-10 day outlook, we're likely to continue with these above-average temperatures even after Valentine's Day weekend. It'll also do a good job thawing out some of that snow left behind by this week's clipper!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/02/web5-1770808056886.png">Make sure to stay locked in on WeatherNation! We'll cover this system for you all day, as well as break it down in depth in your east regional every :10 past the hour!

Lingering Snow in the Northeast

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Have you noticed the heat in Oregon, specifically Portland? Well, it's not just you! The city has had its most 90-degree days on record.

https://twitter.com/NWSPortland/status/1032384600696213504

Just three years ago the city established its record of 29 days with high temperatures at or above 90 degrees. On Wednesday Portland hit 93°, well above the average high temperature of 81°.

How much longer will the heat last?

<img class="alignnone wp-image-95861 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/08/2-18.jpg" alt="Hot Summer: Most 90° Days Observed in Portland" width="1920" height="1080" />

Good news! That's if you aren't a fan of the heat. Cooler weather will move in for Thursday, August 23 to Tuesday, August 28 where low temperatures are forecast along the blue line and high temperatures along the red line. This will take us nearly through the end of the month, whereas September begins with an average high of 79 degrees.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-95862 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/08/1-19.jpg" alt="Hot Summer: Most 90° Days Observed in Portland" width="1920" height="1080" />

While the temperatures drop, the forecast remains mainly dry. There is an increased chance of showers by the weekend, then drying and warming next week.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-95863 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/08/4-17.jpg" alt="Hot Summer: Most 90° Days Observed in Portland" width="1920" height="1080" /><img class="alignnone wp-image-95864 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/08/5-6.jpg" alt="Hot Summer: Most 90° Days Observed in Portland" width="1920" height="1080" />

Long range forecasts are showing a *higher* chance of cooler weather for the Pacific Northwest through the beginning of September, including Portland. We may have broken the 90 degree day record Wednesday, while feeling the last of the 90 degree heat for the year!

For WeatherNation, Meteorologist <a href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/team/steven-glazier/">Steve Glazier</a>