Hurricane Prep Week 2023: The Tools We Use

news image
Special Stories
20 May 2023 5:00 PM

Cone and Spaghetti ... no not the food, the hurricane tools we use to communicate where a storm may go! Otherwise known as the "forecast cone of uncertainty" and "spaghetti models". Both are important tools to help determine where a storm may go and communicate uncertainty in the forecast.

Spaghetti Plots

Spaghetti models are used when the storm is an "Invest" or area of focus and could develop tropical characteristics. Each individual line in a Spaghetti model plot represents a model and where that model projects the CENTER of the storm will go. Usually we see outliers or lines that are way outside of where the cluster of models may be. Spaghetti models are useful early on in the forecasting procedure!

Cone of Uncertainty

The Forecast Cone is an official product from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and communicates where THE CENTER of the storm could go over the next 120 hours (6 days). The cone gets wider further out in time, signifying uncertainty in the track. It is so important to remember that the cone accounts for the center of the storm, and impacts can, and will be felt outside of the cone. It is also common for the cone to shift and adjust which is why you need to know your risk and prepare ahead of time.

All Weather News
More
National Park Week: Get Out and Explore

National Park Week: Get Out and Explore

National Park Week started Saturday, April 20

22 Apr 2024 4:00 PM
Monday, April 22nd - Earth Day!

Monday, April 22nd - Earth Day!

If you're following along with our National P

22 Apr 2024 3:55 PM
Cold Front Sparks Storms in Texas Tuesday

Cold Front Sparks Storms in Texas Tuesday

Temperatures were a bit chilly to start Monda

22 Apr 2024 3:50 PM
Late Week: Multiple Days of Severe Weather

Late Week: Multiple Days of Severe Weather

The spring season often means rounds of stron

22 Apr 2024 1:25 PM
Storms Along Florida Front Through Monday

Storms Along Florida Front Through Monday

Severe storms tore through portions of North

22 Apr 2024 1:20 PM
Double Trouble: Cicadas Take to the Skies this Spring

Double Trouble: Cicadas Take to the Skies this Spring

It’s the soundtrack to the summer. Nature’s n

22 Apr 2024 1:15 PM
Clipper Blows Through the Northern Plains

Clipper Blows Through the Northern Plains

Alberta Clippers are known for being fast-mov

22 Apr 2024 10:40 AM