Hurricane Season Forecast Downgraded

news image
Special Stories
2 Aug 2018 10:48 AM
On Thursday, August 2, Colorado State University released another update to the Atlantic hurricane season outlook. The latest forecast suggest the season will be even less active than originally thought. https://youtu.be/dV-7kqosaZw The updated outlook now factors in atmospheric and environmental conditions that would point to a less active season compared to normal. The release states that the sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean remain cooler than normal, and the increasing likelihood of the development of an El Nino pattern would both lead to a below average season. The forecast now calls for a total of 12 named storms, 5 of which would become hurricanes. Within the 5 hurricanes, CSU expects just 1 would be a "major" hurricane (category 3 or higher). This is lower than the original outlook (issued April 5) with an expected 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.   (Above) August 2 forecast from Colorado State University on the Atlantic Hurricane Season. Full outlook: https://tropical.colostate.edu/media/sites/111/2018/08/2018-08.pdf   So far this season, there have already been 3 named storms and 2 hurricanes. The forecast number include what has already occurred.   Colorado State University's department of Atmospheric Sciences is one of the leading seasonal forecast entities in tropical outlooks. The release continues to drive the point home that regardless of the forecast, "as is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted."   NOAA is expected to release their updated outlook on Thursday, August 9, to make any amends to their early season forecast.
All Weather News
More
Heavy Rain Returns to Texas This Weekend

Heavy Rain Returns to Texas This Weekend

It has been over a week since the devastating

13 Jul 2025 3:15 AM
Timeline: How Catastrophic Flooding Unfolded in Texas Hill Country

Timeline: How Catastrophic Flooding Unfolded in Texas Hill Country

TEXAS - Catastrophic flooding devastated port

13 Jul 2025 3:10 AM
Watching the Gulf and Atlantic for Tropical Development, CSU Updates Seasonal Forecast

Watching the Gulf and Atlantic for Tropical Development, CSU Updates Seasonal Forecast

BREAKING: The National Hurricane Center is no

13 Jul 2025 3:00 AM
Heavy Rain, Flooding Threat Returns to Florida

Heavy Rain, Flooding Threat Returns to Florida

Keep the rain boots handy in Florida - heavy

13 Jul 2025 2:50 AM
Building Heat for West Coast Next Week

Building Heat for West Coast Next Week

High pressure is moving off the California co

13 Jul 2025 2:50 AM
Severe Storm Risk Pushes into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley

Severe Storm Risk Pushes into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley

Friday was another busy day with severe weath

12 Jul 2025 8:00 PM
Storms Return From the Front Range to Texas

Storms Return From the Front Range to Texas

Moisture is moving back into the Central and

12 Jul 2025 2:50 AM