Brittany Lockley

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Thursday, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/prediction-remains-on-track-for-above-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season">NOAA issued an update</a> to their outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Although their numbers have adjusted down slightly, their predictions continue to foresee an above average season. This comes on the heels of <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2025-08.pdf">Colorado State University releasing its final forecast</a> for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season Wednesday. The forecast team at CSU, led by meteorologist Dr. Phil Klotzbach, kept their predictions the same as July. For August, they are stuck with 16 named storms overall, with eight of those predicted to be hurricanes, and three major hurricanes.&nbsp;It is important to note that both the NOAA and CSU forecasts include the four name storms that have already formed in the Atlantic (Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dexter). Climatologically, around August 10 the rate at which storms form and grow accelerates quickly through the peak of the season around September 11.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1953109057427939468" src="https://x.com/philklotzbach/status/1953109057427939468"></div>The reason why the forecast has not changed much, or has gone down slightly since the April, is the uncertainty across the tropics. While sea surface temperatures in both the Atlantic and Pacific are still warm, and this tends to support storm formation, upper-level winds over the Caribbean have been unusually hostile during June and July. This atmospheric setup typically suppresses hurricane development in the Atlantic basin.&nbsp;<blockquote>“Many of the factors we identified ahead of the season are still at play, and conditions are largely tracking along with our May predictions,” said Matt Rosencrans, lead hurricane season forecaster with NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction, part of the National Weather Service.&nbsp;</blockquote>RELATED ARTICLE: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/an-area-to-monitor-in-the-atlantic">Atlantic Waking Up, Eastern Pacific Staying Active</a><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-06 110050-1754499664701.png">The driving factor behind the above-average forecast remains the exceptionally warm waters across the eastern and central Atlantic Basin. Combined with a neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a state that neither strongly inhibits nor enhances storm activity, these conditions could still favor a more active season.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-06 105940-1754499600405.png">Yet, forecasters are closely watching high levels of wind shear in the Caribbean, a phenomenon involving shifts in wind direction and speed with height. This shear is known to disrupt storm development. &nbsp;CSU also warns that the U.S. coastline faces an above-average risk of at least one major hurricane making landfall this season, a reminder that even in uncertain years, coastal residents should remain vigilant.&nbsp;<blockquote>"No two storms are alike. Every storm presents unique, life-threatening hazards that can impact people in both coastal and inland communities. Have a plan in place, and know the actions you should take before, during and after the wide range of hazards that the hurricane season can bring.”&nbsp;said NOAA’s National Weather Service Director Ken Graham.</blockquote><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-06 110039-1754499698410.png">With the arrival of August, the Atlantic hurricane season is entering its most active stretch, which typically peaks around September 10. The pattern is starting to get more active in the Atlantic. Tropical Storm Dexter is still making waves (literally) in the Atlantic, and there are two additional areas to watch in the central Atlantic and off the Southeast coast.&nbsp;The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs through November 30, leaving several more months of potential activity ahead.&nbsp;Tune into WeatherNation for the latest Tropical updates.

CSU, NOAA UPDATE Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

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There will be plenty of energy and instability across the plains, allowing strong storms to persist. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has severe outlooks in place through Saturday. These storms will pose a significant threat, including the possibility of a few tornadoes, hail over two inches in size, and wind gusts over 75 mph.<h1>Overnight</h1>Severe storms will be possible the next few days as a frontal boundary taps into unstable air. There is an enhanced risk for severe storms early Friday morning. The main threats will be tornadoes, strong, damaging winds, and large hailstones.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/PIC 1-1754615338717.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/PIC 2-1754615345325.jpg">There will be multiple rounds of storms through the overnight hours and additional storms on Friday as multiple systems move through. It will be important to have multiple ways to receive weather alerts in case warnings are issued.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/New Baron Video 3-1754622229384.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Friday - Saturday</h1>On Friday and Saturday, the Storm Prediction Center issued severe outlooks for severe storms. Damaging winds and hail will be the primary concerns. Stay inside as these storms pass and park your car in a garage or carport, if possible. Saturday already has a slight risk of severe weather across Wisconsin and Iowa.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/PIC 1-1754599909815.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1754604007925.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest updates throughout the next few days on-air and online.

Jesse Kelley

Multi-Day Severe Weather Threat Across the Plains

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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The Eastern and Central Pacific have had an interesting start to the season, with plenty of named storms (11 combined). This is above the average of 7, but the energy generated by these systems is only about 80% of what's typical for this time of year. Long story short, this region has had many systems, but they've been on the weaker side. That trend has continued this week with Henriette and Ivo which could bring minor impacts to nearby landmasses.<h1>Henriette</h1>Tropical Storm Henriette formed on Monday in the Pacific. No impacts to land are expected, but it could be in the vicinity of the Hawaiian Islands near this weekend. That could bring some secondary impacts to the island chain such a breezy conditions and waves. Henriette could reach hurricane status by early next week!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1754622052887.png"><h1>IVO</h1>This system is forecast to become a hurricane on Friday as it quickly moves parallel and then away from Mexico's coast. Locally heavy rain will be possible for coastal sections of SW Mexico.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1754622100778.png"><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/floater.php?stormid=EP092025"> </a>Now that we have Ivo, up next on the list in the Pacific will be Juliette.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tropical ivvo-1754519175244.png">We're far from the end of the Pacific Hurricane Season, with a secondary peak occurring later in September.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-05 104202-1754412196354.png">

Henriette & Ivo Spinning in the Pacific

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

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Heavy rain caused flash flooding across portions of North Carolina on Wednesday. This heavy rain led to flooded roadways, road closures, and water rescues. Some areas saw between four and six inches of rain in a short amount of time, leading to the flooding.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1953206950902284411" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1953206950902284411"></div><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-07 072941-1754573389896.png"><h1>Forecast</h1>As the stalled front lingers and a weak area of low pressure remains off the coast, rounds of storms are expected, with the heaviest rain possible in Florida and cities closer to the coast.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/New Baron Video 3-1754622378878.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has issued a marginal (level 1 out of 4) for excessive rainfall across parts of the Southeast and southern Mid-Atlantic. Heavy rainfall is likely to create localized flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas being the most vulnerable.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1754604199872.png">Tune into the eastern regional forecast :10 past the hour for more details.

Front Stalls - Downpours Target the Southeast

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Tropical activity in the Atlantic has been off to a crawl to start the 2025 season. Before Dexter formed, Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) in the Atlantic was less than 15% of normal. Dexter has more than doubled this stat but it's still less than 30% of a typical year, even though we may be ahead of schedule when it comes to named storms. That being said, the bulk of seasonal activity is still ahead of us, with 90% of the annual energy occurring after the first week of August. In short, we've got a lot of season ahead of us, so don't let your guard down!RELATED ARTICLE: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/csu-issues-final-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast">CSU, NOAA UPDATE Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast</a><h2>Dexter</h2>Dexter is now a post-tropical cyclone as it strengthens slightly and moves east-northeast. It could become the first storm of the season to reach hurricane strength, but it may not be designated a hurricane since it has already transitioned to a storm driven by baroclinicity (pressure &amp; temperature fueled) as opposed to a barotropic system (fueled just by pressure changes).<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/PIC 1-1754600891834.jpg"><h2>SE Low</h2>Off the southeastern U.S., there is a broad area of low pressure that remains disorganized. This low helped produce tropical downpours in North Carolina on Wednesday that led to significant flash flooding. It's looking less likely that this system will be able to organize into a tropical depression at this point, but it will still create scattered downpours and coastal impacts, like bigger swells and stronger currents.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/PIC 2-1754601071500.jpg"><h2>Tropical Wave (Central Atlantic) - Invest 96L</h2>The attention-grabber is our latest wave that is moving through the MDR (Main Development Region) in the Atlantic. This system will be fighting some dry air (SAL) in the short term, which may limit or slow down development. It has a better chance to develop in the 3-7 day window.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-07 062546-1754569552599.png">Models are coming into better agreement about the potential track of Invest 96L, with most pulling the wave around a ridge of high pressure located well east of Bermuda. The weakness in the ridge should steer the system northwest in the next 5 days. That being said, we have plenty of time to make changes to the pattern and steer this system in a different direction. Don't let your guard down just yet!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/pic6-1754621676995.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest tropical updates.

Patrick Crawford

Tropics: Atlantic Waking Up, Still Below Average

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High pressure for the week, bringing back extreme heat for many around the desert southwest. Heat Alerts are in place through Friday. This includes cities like Palm Springs, CA, through Denver, CO. Several record high temperatures are in jeopardy over the next few days. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-06 085324-1754492008035.png">Heat risk impacts are in place once again on Thursday! We can see major to extreme for some areas of Arizona and New Mexico. Please make sure to listen to your body and stay hydrated.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-06 085358-1754492042392.png">Temperatures have reached 110° in areas of the southwest, and the hot temperatures will continue into the weekend. Cities outside of the Desert will also see potential records as high pressure dominates! Denver normally averages a high of 89°. But will see a forecast high of 100° on Thursday. Grand Junction, Salt Lake City, and Colorado Springs will all see highs in the upper 90s over the next few days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/thu-s-1754529292609.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/thu-sa-1754529299817.png">The longer range temperature outlook has a higher level of confidence that temperatures will remain above average through the middle of August.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-05 180955-1754439002529.png"></h1>

Searing Heat Builds in the Southwest

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WeatherNation Meteorologists

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Air Quality Alerts are in effect across a broad swath of the Upper Midwest, northeast, and northern New England, impacting many Americans as thick smoke from Canadian wildfires blankets the region. The worst of the air quality is found in the Great Lakes. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-04 144613-1754340411917.png">A new wave of wildfire smoke is drifting southward from multiple blazes burning across the Canadian provinces of Saskatchewan, Alberta, and Manitoba. These fires have been active throughout the summer, and this is not the first time their smoke has reached the U.S. This latest plume began sweeping into the Upper Midwest last Thursday and still lingers this week.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/2025-08-05 08-53-31-1754398597818.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/2025-08-05 08-53-57-1754398578368.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The Air Quality Index (AQI) in parts of Wisconsin, Michigan, and the Northeast is in the "unhealthy" category. The "unhealthy" designation on the AQI scale indicates that the air quality is poor and may pose health risks, especially for sensitive groups. Here's a look at the air quality as of Monday afternoon.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-04 144441-1754340419536.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-04 144452-1754340426367.png">People with preexisting conditions such as asthma or heart disease are especially vulnerable. Health officials recommend staying indoors, limiting physical activity, and using air purifiers if available.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-01 053220-1754047973977.jpg">Conditions will gradually improve by Saturday as wind patterns shift and help disperse the smoke. Tune into WeatherNation TV for more details.

Tracey Anthony

Canadian Wildfire Smoke Triggers U.S. Air Quality Alerts

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Patrick Crawford has always been a huge weather buff! He grew up in Plano, Texas, and it was there that he experienced what Mother Nature was capable of doing. He would always turn on the television to see what local meteorologists were saying about the weather. That's when he realized he wanted to be a meteorologist.

Patrick graduated from Northern Illinois University (’04) with a degree in Meteorology and a double minor in Mathematics and Geography. Broadcast Meteorology has been great to him and he has been able to work in television markets all across the country. Some of his stops have included New Orleans, Green Bay and even Yuma, Arizona. He is so excited to be part of the WeatherNation team.

He has been awarded the prestigious CBM (Certified Broadcast Meteorologist) weather seal from the American Meteorological Society.

Feel free to catch up with Patrick Crawford on his <a href="https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistPC/">Facebook</a> and on <a href="https://twitter.com/MeteorologistPC">Twitter</a> pages.

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A stationary front will be the focus for heavy thunderstorms today and by later in the afternoon and evening there could be some isolated severe storms from the Gulf Coast to the Tennessee Valley.  Here is the latest information on the severe forecast.
<h1>Severe Outlook</h1>
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Isolated severe storms possible anywhere from Houston to Nashville this afternoon and evening.  This will not be a repeat performance of the severe weather we had across these areas on Friday and Saturday.
<h1>Severe Risks</h1>
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Not all modes of severe weather are in the forecast as large hail will be the only risk.  Wind gusts could get up to 40 mph, but there is no risk of tornadoes with this set-up.
<h1>Forecast</h1>
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<img class="alignnone wp-image-117193 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2020/01/0110SevereOutlook-2.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

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It will be stormy across the Southeast throughout the day, but the risk of severe storms won't be picking up until the second half of the day.  And those strong storms could last into early Tuesday morning. Keep checking with WeatherNation for more updates on the severe storm chances.

Isolated Severe Storms Monday from the Texas Gulf Coast to the Tennessee Valley

Severe Outlook

Severe Risks

Forecast

CSU, NOAA UPDATE Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

Thursday, NOAA issued an update to their outl

Multi-Day Severe Weather Threat Across the Plains

There will be plenty of energy and instabilit

Henriette & Ivo Spinning in the Pacific

The Eastern and Central Pacific have had an i

Front Stalls - Downpours Target the Southeast

Heavy rain caused flash flooding across porti

Tropics: Atlantic Waking Up, Still Below Average

Tropical activity in the Atlantic has been of

Searing Heat Builds in the Southwest

High pressure for the week, bringing back ext

Canadian Wildfire Smoke Triggers U.S. Air Quality Alerts

Air Quality Alerts are in effect across a bro