July Outlook from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center

news image
Special Stories
22 Jun 2018 10:30 AM
Welcome moisture chances in the Southwest and heat for much of the country are the highlights from the new July outlook issued from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Warmer than normal temperatures are expected over much of the nation, especially in the West. Wetter than average weather is anticipated in the Southwest, as an active monsoonal season and added tropical moisture is in the forecast. Below normal precipitation is the outlook for the Northeast, Northwest, and along the Gulf of Mexico coastline in Texas and Louisiana. The Climate Prediction Center states that the primary forecast tools for this outlook were model forecasts, statistical tools, soil moisture conditions, and variability in the tropics. With neutral water temperature conditions being observed in the Pacific Ocean, no influence is expected in July from La Nina or El Nino. https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1009778771254181889 Soil moisture conditions and current trends favor warmer than average conditions in the West, central Plains and Northeast. Model forecasts also support above average temperatures. For precipitation, many models indicate an active start to the monsoons in the West, along with wet signals in the tropical Pacific. This leads to the above average rainfall forecast for the Southwest. A drier trend is shown in the models for the Caribbean over the upcoming month, highlighting below average precipitation in Deep South. For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Severe Thunderstorms Expected Across The South Friday

Severe Thunderstorms Expected Across The South Friday

A frontal boundary stretched across half of t

2 May 2025 12:40 PM
Big Pattern Shake Up for the West Upcoming

Big Pattern Shake Up for the West Upcoming

A huge digging upper level low is heading fro

2 May 2025 11:55 AM
Rainy Forecast Could Disrupt Kentucky Derby Week Events

Rainy Forecast Could Disrupt Kentucky Derby Week Events

Louisville is gearing up for the 151st Kentuc

2 May 2025 11:30 AM
Flooding Threat Continues in Oklahoma Friday Morning

Flooding Threat Continues in Oklahoma Friday Morning

The forecast remains wet in the southern plai

2 May 2025 3:00 AM
Storms Back in the Ohio Valley and Northeast Tonight

Storms Back in the Ohio Valley and Northeast Tonight

OHIO VALLEY - After a very stormy and wet mon

2 May 2025 2:50 AM
Rain For Denver, Snow For The Mountains

Rain For Denver, Snow For The Mountains

A cold front and area of low pressure slide t

1 May 2025 12:25 AM
Rain This Week Douses Fire Concerns Today

Rain This Week Douses Fire Concerns Today

Fire weather concerns have been all too commo

29 Apr 2025 6:40 PM