NOAA Releases Hurricane Season Forecast

news image
Special Stories
23 May 2019 9:17 AM
On Thursday morning, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released it's outlook for the 2019 hurricane season. In combination with scientists at the Climate Prediction Center and the National Hurricane Center, the outlook for this year calls for a near normal season for number of tropical cyclones. https://youtu.be/Xm-lJpuVNuI   Compared to an "average" season where there are 12 named storms, 6 of which become hurricanes, and 3 of those which become major hurricanes (category 3 or higher), this season's outlook calls for a near normal season with 9-15 named storms, 4-8 of which will become hurricanes, and 2-4 of which will become major hurricanes.   The main factors contributing to the outlook are the presence of El Nino, which is expected to last through the peak of hurricane season. El Nino would act to inhibit storm development by increasing wind shear in the tropical Atlantic. However, NOAA says there are competing factors, with other signals pointing to increased activity. Countering El Nino is the expected combination of warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, and an enhanced west African monsoon, both of which favor increased hurricane activity.   https://youtu.be/dJQ19dyerjg   Regardless of the forecast, NOAA and WeatherNation want to remind you that "it only takes one".  No matter what the forecast calls for, it is so important to be prepared for the season ahead. Even if just one storm makes landfall where you are it will be "a bad season" for you. Always take steps to prepare for the worst case scenario. “Preparing ahead of a disaster is the responsibility of all levels of government, the private sector, and the public," said Daniel Kaniewski, Ph.D., FEMA deputy administrator for resilience. “It only takes one event to devastate a community so now is the time to prepare."   Be sure to join WeatherNation all next week for Hurricane Prep Week. From May 26-June 1, WeatherNation will air special stories to get 'hurricane ready', from what to put in your hurricane supply kit, to understand how a hurricane forms, to the impacts tropical systems can bring. Plus, live reports from John Van Pelt from the Florida panhandle as they continue to recover from Hurricane Michael's effect in the 2018 season. Join us all next week for Hurricane Prep Week.    

CENTRAL PACIFIC OUTLOOK

https://twitter.com/NWSHonolulu/status/1131319903301046275 The NWS in Honolulu has also posted their hurricane outlook for the central Pacific. They are predicting that this hurricane season will be above normal with the amount of named storms and recommend preparing as soon as possible for the season. For more information on Hawaii's wet and dry season and how to be prepared for this hurricane season, you can follow this link to the NWS Honolulu and CPHC facebook live. NOAA is also predicting a 70% chance that the central Pacific hurricane season will be above average. You can read the full details on the NOAA website here.
All Weather News
More
Catastrophic Flooding in the Texas Hill Country

Catastrophic Flooding in the Texas Hill Country

Multiple Flash Flood Emergencies were issued

6 Jul 2025 9:15 PM
Severe Storms in the Midwest Continue To Spoil the Holiday Weekend

Severe Storms in the Midwest Continue To Spoil the Holiday Weekend

NORTHERN PLAINS - A frontal system continues

6 Jul 2025 8:00 PM
Eastern Pacific Remains Active

Eastern Pacific Remains Active

Following the prolific start to the season, t

6 Jul 2025 6:15 PM
Severe Storms Target the Front Range & Great Plains

Severe Storms Target the Front Range & Great Plains

Severe storms will continue to fire up off th

6 Jul 2025 6:10 PM
Chantal Weakens After Making Landfall Sunday Morning

Chantal Weakens After Making Landfall Sunday Morning

Tropical Storm Chantal formed earlier Saturda

6 Jul 2025 6:00 PM
Hot Weather Brings a Shot at Storms Out East

Hot Weather Brings a Shot at Storms Out East

Guess who's back. The heat and humidity will

6 Jul 2025 10:20 AM
Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

AAA is expecting over 70 million travelers to

4 Jul 2025 10:15 AM