Above average temperatures are anticipated for most of the nation in the latest 90 day outlook from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. The forecast, which covers May, June and July, has warmer than normal weather for all of the West, South, and East.
Our May-June-July outlook anticipates increased chances of a warmer than usual period for much of the country, with drier than normal conditions for the Pacific Northwest and above-normal rains for much of the eastern two-thirds of the country. https://t.co/zbSpjwmsyH pic.twitter.com/N0OtVzUfY2
— NWSCPC (@NWSCPC) April 16, 2020
Drier than average weather is forecast for the Pacific Northwest, which will likely create drought conditions. The ongoing drought may worsen from California to the Four Corners. Wetter than normal conditions are expected for the eastern two-thirds of the nation, which should improve the current drought across several Gulf of Mexico states.
Development and persistence of #drought are forecast across parts of the Pacific Northwest and Great Basin through July, while removal or improvement are anticipated across the Gulf Coast states. https://t.co/Tp4IHSv4Of pic.twitter.com/HzlgLAS9Qb
— NWSCPC (@NWSCPC) April 16, 2020
The CPC noted that the outlooks were based primarily on dynamical model guidance, statistical tools, and recent observed weather trends. EL Nino or La Nina are not expected to factor through this outlook period as since sea surface temperatures are predicted to remain neutral.