Kevin Schneider

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<p>A cold front pushing through the Eastern Seaboard was responsible for dozens of reports of flash flooding on Monday, so much so that the Governor of New Jersey declared a State of Emergency for flash flooding.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1944903058842083670" src="https://x.com/GovMurphy/status/1944903058842083670"></div><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 205829-1752548331902.png">The flash flooding in the Northeast on Monday led to airport delays at Newark, JFK, and LaGuardia.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1944864942181511576" src="https://x.com/LGAairport/status/1944864942181511576"></div><p>The Weather Prediction Center has left portions of the Northeast, including Philadelphia and New York City, under a <strong>MODERATE </strong>(level 3 out of 4) risk for flash flooding through Tuesday morning.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 205951-1752548401783.png"></p><p>Areas around the I-95 corridor should expect showers and storms, especially this afternoon. But because there is so much rich moisture in the atmosphere, these storms will be efficient at producing rain. The Weather Prediction Center mentioned Monday morning in their forecast discussion:</p><blockquote><p><br>"...<strong><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51)">locally 3+"/hr rates are possible"</span></strong></p></blockquote><p>That becomes a problem when you consider the dominant ground cover here, concrete and asphalt. Expect flash flooding to develop with the possibility that a high-end event unfolds, including catastrophic flooding. The Weather Prediction Center has highlighted Washington, D.C., Baltimore, and Philadelphia with areas that are of most concern.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 210022-1752548425880.png">Through mid-week, rainfall totals across the I-95 corridor may reach upwards of 5"+.</p><h3><strong>FORECAST TIMING</strong></h3><p>With the loss of daytime heating, the Storm Prediction Center has dropped the severe threat, but a few isolated thunderstorms will be possible overnight.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/KA-1752542057662.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Alana Cameron

Flash Flooding Concern Continues for the Northeast

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Tracey Anthony

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<p style="text-align: justify">The National Hurricane Center has upgraded the chance for tropical formation to<strong> "medium"</strong> in orange. There's about a 30% chance in the next 48 hours for formation, and a 40% chance in the next 7 days for the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf. This area is denoted the title AL93, or Invest 93L.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/07-14 rse bams3k 18z-1752548746937.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Forecast Models</h1><p>Since this is an area of investigation, there are forecast models, known as spaghetti plots. According to the NHC, this system is forecast to move west across the Florida Peninsula on Tuesday before moving into the northeastern Gulf mid-week. Conditions remain favorable for additional development, and if it remains offshore, it could become a tropical depression later this week.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/spagh-1752548673859.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Forecast Factors</h1><p>Why is the northern Gulf being highlighted for development in the middle of July? Models favor upper-level troughing to develop over the region toward the middle of the week, which is likely to spur lift and heavy rain.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-10 072740-1752155310312.png"></p><p>Warm water is a necessary ingredient for tropical formation, and temperatures in the Gulf are plenty warm to fuel tropical systems. Typically, sea-surface temperatures in the upper 70s are needed for tropical cyclone development.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 2-1752495335806.png"></p><p>Water temperatures tend to warm more quickly early in the season in the Gulf and western Atlantic. This is more often where we see early-season development.</p><h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-10 072757-1752155325910.png">Updated CSU Outlook</h1><p>Colorado State University updated its seasonal forecast on Wednesday, July 9th.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-10 081155-1752156752337.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-10 081242-1752156788535.png"></p>

Monitoring "Invest 93L" Near Florida, CSU Updates Seasonal Forecast

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<p>It has been 10 days since the devastating floods swept through the Texas Hill Country, and our hearts remain with the communities still recovering. The thought of more heavy rain is the last thing anyone wants to hear right now, but unfortunately, we are monitoring more rainfall. Sunday morning, parts of Texas have seen over 6" of rainfall. For the San Saba area, over 9" of rain was recorded in the last 24 hours.</p><p>The Weather Prediction Center has kept a <strong>MODERATE </strong>risk along the Big Bend of Texas. Localized heavy rain will be possible on top of the already saturated soils, bringing more flooding concerns.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 130259-1752519848032.png"><strong>Flood Watches</strong> continue for Texas for the potential of continued heavy rain. Additional watches have been issued for eastern Oklahoma and Arkansas too.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 180859-1752538147265.png">Although rain will be limited, there will be some localized rain possible as a trough lingers, adding more rain to the flooding and saturated soils.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/teasc-1752541854955.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p><p>Tune in to WeatherNation for live updates throughout the hour.</p>

Flash Flooding Threat Continues in Texas

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<p><em>"Enough of this heat, already"</em> - everybody</p><p>In the middle of July, you don't often get a strong enough system to bring temperatures back some 30 degrees. So enjoy the breath of fresh air where it's available. The Northern Rockies and High Plains are going to be the beneficiaries of this one, breaking the 100 heat in a substantial way. That's the reward for the suffering they go through in the Winter.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 180820-1752538107289.png">Some areas will plummet into the 60s on Tuesday, after the mid-to-upper 90s! That kind of swing means someone is going to get severe weather. Expect strong to severe storms through Wednesday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/ova-1752542179226.png"></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 125717-1752519556620.png">The SPC has also issued a marginal risk through Wednesday across the Plains.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 143910-1752548533799.png">Severe storms pushed through the plains today with damaging winds and hail being the primary concern. As an area of low pressure moves through storm chances will continue daily.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/wsv-1752542369967.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p>

Strong July Trough Shakes Up Temperatures

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<p>High pressure is moving off the California coast and building into the Northwest. <strong>Heat alerts </strong>range from the deserts of California and Nevada to the Pacific Northwest. A lot of people will be outside, so make sure you are practicing heat safety, especially during the hottest parts of the afternoon.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 131429-1752520505869.png"></p><h1>SOUTHWEST</h1><p>Whether record temperatures are broken or not, most of the area will experience temperatures above average by 5-10 degrees to start the week!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 210829-1752548927147.png"></p><h1>NORTHWEST</h1><p>Temps will be going from Well above average to below average for cities like Spokane and Missoula! Spokane will see a high of 95° on Monday, but on Tuesday the high will dip down to 79°. Missoula, Montana, will jump from 94° on Monday to just 70° on Tuesday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-14 210921-1752548967696.png">Check out the 7-day forecast for Billings, Montana. Talk about a roller coaster! Temperatures will be pushing 100° on Monday, but by Tuesday and Wednesday, we will see temps struggling to make it to 70°.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Web 9-1752497461811.png"></p>

Dangerous Heat Impacting the Western U.S.

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<p>Keep the rain boots handy in Florida - heavy rain is expected to inundate parts of the state from the end of the weekend into the middle of the upcoming week. Rainfall totals are expected to average 3-6" in Central and South Florida, with higher totals likely for areas that see multiple heavy downpours. Some locations may end up with 7-10" of rain by the time this storm system moves out.</p><p>This system could develop into our next tropical system. Read more on the tropical discussion here:  <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/medium-range-hurricane-forecast-favors-gulf-csu-updates-seasonal-forecast">Atlantic Basin Tropical Update</a><br><br><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-12 063516-1752323878845.png">A mid-level low-pressure system will approach the coast from the Atlantic by Sunday, moving over the state on Monday, creating widespread heavy rain.</p><h1>Forecast</h1><p>Strong storms are expected to fire up in the afternoons, but evening and overnight storms are possible thanks to the extra lift created by the low. Monday looks quite wet, especially in Central and South Florida.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-14 08-13-49-1752498076656.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Flood Outlooks</h1><p>Flood outlooks have been issued from Sunday through Wednesday, with additional heavy downpours possible after Wednesday as well. Avoid low-lying areas when heavy rain begins to fall and, if flash flood warnings are issued, seek higher ground!</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-14 09-00-09-1752498053476.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Heavy Rain, Flooding Threat Returns to Florida

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<p style="margin: 0in; margin-bottom: .0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 13.5pt; color: #454545;">Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a></span></p>

Rob Bradley

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<p>Friday was another busy day with severe weather and flash flooding. A Flash Flood Emergency was issued for Davenport, IA after they picked up over four inches of rain. The winds from Friday's storms were over 70 plus mph!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-12 055745-1752321471706.png"></p><h1>Timing</h1><p>Friday's leftover storms will be the catalyst for additional shower and thunderstorm development across parts of the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes region on Saturday, as will the frontal boundary that moves into the region. The surface low could also help to spur a few supercells, capable of producing a tornado or two in eastern Michigan, primarily from the late morning through mid-afternoon.</p><h1><strong>SATURDAY</strong></h1><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/FORECAST-1752352202968.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>As the front continues to move, strong thunderstorms may redevelop early Saturday over the central High Plains. Behind the front, a high-pressure system ushering in cooler, drier air from western Canada will settle over the northern High Plains, bringing a temporary break from the stormy conditions. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/PIC 1-1752352628146.jpg">Rainfall rates will remain high, with 1-2" of rain per hour possible. This could lead to rain totals surpassing 4-5 inches in some areas that see multiple rounds of storms or slow moving storms. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-12 055618-1752321436549.png"></p>

Patrick Crawford

Severe Storm Risk Pushes into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley

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After an incredibly active and damaging 2017 tropical season, the outlook is in for this year from NOAA.

NOAA issued their seasonal forecast Thursday morning from Lakeland, Florida, calling for an average season. NOAA anticipates 10-16 named systems will form this season, with 5-9 of those becoming hurricanes, and of those, 3 becoming major hurricanes.

https://twitter.com/NOAA/status/999673689405886464

NOAA stresses that these forecasts do not account for the strength of systems, nor the impacts they may pose to land.

The possibility of a weak El Niño developing, along with near-average sea-surface temperatures across the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, are two of the factors driving this outlook.

NOAA also released their Pacific season outlook Wednesday, <a href="http://bit.ly/2ILUiNA" target="_blank" rel="noopener">you can read more here</a>.

<a href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/">WeatherNation</a>  spoke with the lead seasonal forecaster, Dr. Gerry Bell, Thursday afternoon to discuss the outlook.

https://youtu.be/I2F-ZvdylCg

Right on cue, as hurricane season officially begins next week, June 1, we are already monitoring a tropical disturbance in the Gulf Of Mexico. <a href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/news/monitoring-tropical-development-gulf-weekend/">Click here to learn more.</a>

&nbsp;

Also, join us for Hurricane Prep Week all next week on WeatherNation.

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NOAA Announces Outlook for 2018 Tropical Season

Flash Flooding Concern Continues for the Northeast

A cold front pushing through the Eastern Seab

Monitoring "Invest 93L" Near Florida, CSU Updates Seasonal Forecast

The National Hurricane Center has upgraded th

Flash Flooding Threat Continues in Texas

It has been 10 days since the devastating flo

Strong July Trough Shakes Up Temperatures

"Enough of this heat, already" - everybodyIn

Dangerous Heat Impacting the Western U.S.

High pressure is moving off the California co

Heavy Rain, Flooding Threat Returns to Florida

Keep the rain boots handy in Florida - heavy

Severe Storm Risk Pushes into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley

Friday was another busy day with severe weath