[Photo of leaves by Saketh Garuda on Unsplash
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center
has updated their outlook for the month of November
. Several changes were made from the forecast issued two weeks ago on October 18th
. Warmer than average weather is still expected in the West and along the Eastern Seaboard, but a pocket of below normal temperatures has been added in the mid section of the nation. Wetter than average weather is forecast in the eastern and central sections of the nation, and especially for the Northeast and Ohio Valley. Below average precipitation is still outlined for the Northwest.
Long term Autumn climate forecasts are often difficult, as noted in the CPC forecast discussion
. The temperature forecast has the most uncertainty, due to model variability and an expected pattern shift at the end of the month. The precipitation forecast has shown more consistent signals in model forecasts.
[Climate Prediction Center original November forecast
For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels