Along with the winter outlook, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued their 30 day forecast for November on Thursday. Above average temperatures are in the forecast for much of the nation, especially across the west. Wetter than normal weather is expected for most of the East and South . Below average precipitation is outlined for the Northwest.
In November we favor above-normal temperatures for nearly the entire US. Odds increase for above-normal precipitation across the southern US and East Coast, while chances rise for below-normal precipitation for the Pacific Northwest through Northern Plains https://t.co/ZojpnSnk1D pic.twitter.com/ky1gRMNCzr
— NWSCPC (@NWSCPC) October 18, 2018
Long term Autumn climate forecasts are difficult, as noted in the CPC forecast discussion. El Nino is expected to develop for the upcoming season, but it’s influence will be minimal, if any, for November. Tropical MJO thunderstorms are also not expected to play much of a role for the upcoming month. Model forecasts and statistical guidance were the main factors in the overall forecast.
For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels