Kevin Schneider

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<p>Multiple Flash Flood Emergencies were issued Friday morning and again Saturday morning as heavy rainfall moved through portions of the Texas Hill Country. Several locations accumulated over a foot of rainfall in a short amount of time, including San Angelo, which recorded almost 13" of rainfall. The yearly average of rainfall for San Angelo is around 21".</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941655838403526721" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1941655838403526721"></div><h1>FRIDAY</h1><p>As storms ignited Friday, they were largely anchored in the same position all night. Rainfall rates of 3-4 inches per hour started to pile up. Add into that the topography of the Texas Hill Country and we had a recipe for disaster.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751682972637.png"></p><p></p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941108484847886805" src="https://x.com/NWSSanAngelo/status/1941108484847886805"></div><p>All of the heavy rain that fell became focused into the Guadalupe River that runs through the area.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1941126276699619470" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1941126276699619470"></div><p></p><p></p><h1>SATURDAY</h1><p>Another nearly stationary cluster of storms developed overnight. Areas just west of Round Rock have already picked up more than 12 inches of rain since earlier this morning.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-05 162329-1751754216251.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/1-1751768546910.png">As rivers rise again, please heed Flash Flood Warnings and get to higher ground as soon as they're issued.</p><h1>WHAT HAPPENED?</h1><p>A mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) was spinning around the area the past few mornings. That helps generate showers and storms - it's its own low-pressure system. That spun its way through a very moist airmass. But without any upper-level winds to help push these storms anywhere, it rained and rained over the same places for extended periods of time.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-05 07-30-23-1751724329889.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Forecast</h1><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/FORECAST-1751836639278.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>The fear today is more slow-moving storms in areas that have been hit hard this weekend. Models seem to keep the activity around through the midday hour as the storms slowly drift southwestward. Models have been struggling with pinpointing the exact areas of the additional heavy rain, however.</p>

Patrick Crawford

Catastrophic Flooding in the Texas Hill Country

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<p style="margin: 0in; margin-bottom: .0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 13.5pt; color: #454545;">Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a></span></p>

Rob Bradley

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<p><strong>NORTHERN PLAINS</strong> - A frontal system continues to move out of the Plains and into the Upper Midwest, sparking showers and thunderstorms. Wind gusts were again significant across the northern Plains on Friday afternoon and evening.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 051018-1751800262403.png"></p><h2>Severe Weather Outlooks</h2><p>Isolated severe storms are possible as the front continues to trek to the east. Michigan through Missouri will have the chance for isolated severe storms, mostly in the afternoon.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 103539-1751819762238.png">The next front moves east into the Midwest by Tuesday, likely spurring additional severe storms from Iowa to Texas.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 051033-1751800275475.png"></p><h1>Timing</h1><p>Afternoons will be the most active as the cold front taps into heat that builds while the sun is up. A few strong storms may persist overnight, with the potential for clusters of storms, known as an MCS, forming.</p><h2>Sunday</h2><p>Storms looks to fire up along the boundary around midday, with convection dropping off overnight.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer midwest futurecast-1751826169023.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Tuesday</h2><p>Storms could reach severe weather limits or higher by Tuesday afternoon, with heavy rain possibly leading to isolated flash flooding.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-06 05-15-11-1751800594416.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Rainfall Forecast</h2><p>While exact totals remain uncertain, localized downpours of 3 inches or more are possible where storms stall or train. Isolated flash flooding is possible. Seek higher ground if a flash flood warning is issued.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 051529-1751802556891.png">Stay safe this holiday weekend, and be sure to check back for the latest updates on storm timing and severity.</p>

Severe Storms in the Midwest Continue To Spoil the Holiday Weekend

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<p>Following the prolific start to the season, the Eastern Pacific remains quite active as the National Hurricane Center is tracking two different areas of interest southwest of Mexico. Invest 96E or the orange highlighted area has a medium chance of development in the next couple of days. The chances have backed off as it appears less likely that something will come together. The region outlined in yellow is for another low pressure system expected to form later in the week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer e pac summar-1751825582462.jpg">The spaghetti plots show 96-E remaining well south of Mexico as it churns westward. This will limit impacts to the west coast of Mexico but interests in Hawaii should keep an eye on this system for the potential of increased rain chances next week. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer e pac spag-1751825637716.jpg">This system could bring stronger currents to Mexico's coast, but if it remains weak before moving farther west impacts should be minimal.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer e pac futurecast-1751825732075.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>For more details on this forecast, be sure to check out the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP1+shtml/020252.shtml"><strong><em>National Hurricane Center's </em></strong></a>website.</p>

Chris Tomer

Eastern Pacific Remains Active

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<p>Severe storms will continue to fire up off the Rocky Mountains, pushing east into the western Plains for the next few days. Wind shear will remain in the region with plenty of warmth and humidity for orographic lift to trigger storms in the afternoons.</p><h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 062955-1751805014715.png"></h1><h1>Outlooks</h1><p>Outlooks for Sunday and Monday include a slight and an enhanced risk, with wind and hail as the primary hazards each day. Isolated tornadoes are possible, but significant wind and hail potential have been outlined.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer front range day 1-1751825256039.jpg">Significant wind gusts (75mph+) are possible in the blue shaded area through Sunday night.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer front range sig threats day 1-1751825429432.jpg">The risk level increases on Monday in Western Nebraska as the significant wind and hail threats shift slightly.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer front range day 2-1751825277927.jpg"></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 062911-1751805087922.png"></p><h1>Forecast</h1><p>Storms will fire up in the early afternoons before pushing east into the Plains. The Great Plains will likely see storms persist overnight, possibly congealing into big thunderstorm complexes known as an MCS. Have ways to get severe weather warnings overnight in case severe weather persists after dark.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/tomer front range futurecast-1751825375007.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Severe Storms Target the Front Range & Great Plains

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<p>Tropical Storm Chantal formed earlier Saturday morning, and made landfall early Sunday morning with sustained winds of 50 mph. Winds have knocked down some palm fronds and lead to a foot or two of storm surge so far. But, this is turning more into an inland flooding issue instead of tropical storm-force winds</p><p></p><h1>Forecast</h1><p>Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms into Monday. Isolated Flash Flooding is possible across interior North and South Carolina.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/New Baron Video 3-1751770362244.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>A stripe of heavy rain is the primary concern, falling somewhere in the southern Virginia-North Carolina-South Carolina vicinity. Some areas have already picked up 3-4 inches since the rain started to fall Sunday morning.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 025844-1751792349944.jpg">Catch more details on the southeast during your Southeastern Regional Forecast, :10 past the hour on WeatherNation.</p>

Chantal Weakens After Making Landfall Sunday Morning

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<p>Guess who's back. The heat and humidity will turn up a notch to kick off the week. Some areas will feel close to 100  when you factor in the humidity. As we've seen plenty so far this year, heat and humidity can power some serious storms in the afternoon and evening hours. All we need is something to light the fuse.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 070542-1751807151783.png">A cold front will drop in, helping focus thunderstorm chances each of the next 3 days. The most widespread threat appears to be Monday and Tuesday, however. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-06 071037-1751807450754.png">Timing will tend to favor the afternoon-evening hours, when temperatures peak. Damaging winds will be the leading threat to watch out for, but some small hail and a brief tornado couldn't be ruled out. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/2025-07-06 07-13-33-1751807875914.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Hot Weather Brings a Shot at Storms Out East

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<p>AAA is expecting over 70 million travelers to take to the roads and skies over the Fourth of July Weekend. Unfortunately, heavy rainfall could throw a wrench into those plans, as slow-moving systems keep rain chances around.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/06/Screenshot 2025-06-30 073837-1751290861562.png">After a hot work week, especially out west, the temperature for the 4th of July will be near seasonal for many. Folks in the Upper-Midwest will see temperatures about 5-10 degrees above average.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 043305-1751625473813.png">A few spots will see some slightly warmer than normal temperatures, with a few cooler than normal!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-03 211458-1751598907955.png">By the evening, time for fireworks, there will be a few areas of potential showers! Plan accordingly for the evening festivities. This is around 9 PM ET.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/Screenshot 2025-07-04 043315-1751625481746.png">If you are in Florida, there will be increased chances for showers and storms, with an area of interest being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Related Article: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/hurricane-center-monitoring-florida-for-tropical-development"><strong>Hurricane Center Monitoring Florida for Tropical Development</strong></a></p><p>Did you know this is how fireworks work? Different elements emit different wavelengths of light when heated. That results in the various colors you see when watching a fireworks show!</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/07/0701-1751375281844.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

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After days of monitoring a disturbance in the western Caribbean, the National Hurricane Center announces that 'Potential Tropical Cyclone 14' has formed, just east of the Yucatan Peninsula.

PTC 14 has maximum winds of 30 mph and is traveling at 6 mph to the northwest. The minimum central pressure is near 1006 millibars.

PTC 14 is expected to move northward into the Gulf of Mexico over the next several days.

Areas along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Florida need to continue to monitor the progress of this system, which is expected to be named Michael. Computer models show a general trend in that direction. The strength of the system is always difficult to pinpoint, so preparation is key.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-98116 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/10/models.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="size-full wp-image-98123" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/10/Capture5-2.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" /> Forecast cone through Thursday, October 11

&nbsp;

Potential Tropical Cyclone 14 Forms in the Caribbean

Catastrophic Flooding in the Texas Hill Country

Multiple Flash Flood Emergencies were issued

Severe Storms in the Midwest Continue To Spoil the Holiday Weekend

NORTHERN PLAINS - A frontal system continues

Eastern Pacific Remains Active

Following the prolific start to the season, t

Severe Storms Target the Front Range & Great Plains

Severe storms will continue to fire up off th

Chantal Weakens After Making Landfall Sunday Morning

Tropical Storm Chantal formed earlier Saturda

Hot Weather Brings a Shot at Storms Out East

Guess who's back. The heat and humidity will

Near Seasonal Temperatures for Many Come July 4th!

AAA is expecting over 70 million travelers to