logo
Relative to Average, Where are the Highest Chances for a Warm June?
news image
Special Stories
23 May 2018 6:46 AM
[Summer's Heat by Jennifer Boyle from Flickr CC-by-2.0] From NOAA by Rebecca Lindsey The gathering and processing of climate intelligence never stops. Even as NOAA scientists were recapping April and gathering data for May, experts at the Climate Prediction Center were working on the temperature and precipitation outlooks for June. These maps use colors to show where average June temperature or precipitation are favored to be in the upper or lower third of the 1981-2010 record. Darker colors mean higher chances, not how extreme the conditions will be. Think of it like a lottery, where the prize (or the punishment, depending on how you look at it!) is the same for everyone, but some places are more likely to win than others. White areas mean no outcome is favored over another. Temperature or precipitation is as likely to be in the upper third of the climate record (33% chance) as it is to be in the middle or lower third (33% chance each). Virtually the entire United States (including Alaska) is more likely to experience a relatively warm June than a relatively cool one, but the odds are higher in the Southwest (50-60% chance) than in the Northern Plains or Mid-Atlantic (33%-40%). Only Florida and Michigan fall completely into the “equal chances” category, meaning a relatively warm June, a cool June, or a near-average June are all equally likely. Meanwhile, the climate system provided forecasters fewer definitive hints about which way precipitation was likely to go in June, which resulted in most of the country being assigned equal chances (white) that average monthly precipitation would be in the upper, lower, or middle third of the 1981-2010 climate record. The highest chances for a relatively wet June (40-50% chance) are found in the Southeast, while the highest chances for a relatively dry June are clustered in a tri-state area of the Northwest, affecting Washington, Oregon, and Idaho. If you’d like to read some of the thinking behind the June outlook, or see products for different lead times, visit the Climate Prediction Center website. Edited for WeatherNation by Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
Severe Storm Chances Return to the Plains & South Late Week
Severe Storm Chances Return to the Plains & South Late Week
A strong upper-level low-pressure system movi
23 Mar 2023 2:25 AM
Strong Storms & Flooding Target the Midwest Now through Friday
Strong Storms & Flooding Target the Midwest Now through Friday
With the jet stream focused over the Midwest,
23 Mar 2023 2:00 AM
Tornado Touches Down in Los Angeles area Wednesday Afternoon
Tornado Touches Down in Los Angeles area Wednesday Afternoon
CALIFORNIA - An apparent tornado touched down
23 Mar 2023 1:55 AM
Snow Returns to the Rockies and Cascades
Snow Returns to the Rockies and Cascades
Snow is in store for the northwestern U.S. mo
23 Mar 2023 1:55 AM
Avalanches in Colorado Claim the Lives of Two - Avalanche Alerts Continue
Avalanches in Colorado Claim the Lives of Two - Avalanche Alerts Continue
FOUR CORNERS - Fresh snow is leading to unsta
23 Mar 2023 12:45 AM
Heavy Rain & Flood Threat for the Ohio Valley Late Week
Heavy Rain & Flood Threat for the Ohio Valley Late Week
In addition to severe storms, heavy rain is e
23 Mar 2023 12:45 AM
Record Heat to Finish Out the Week in the Southeast
Record Heat to Finish Out the Week in the Southeast
Relief from the cold is back in-sight, just i
23 Mar 2023 12:35 AM