Kevin Schneider

A021DDE71AA34C50BB5468289EA6B1D7jpeg-1699372868991.jpeg

As we near the peak of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, one question on many minds is "Why has it been so quiet?" About two-thirds of all Atlantic hurricane activity typically occurs between August 20th and October 10th. With only a handful of named storms and only one major hurricane through late August, the sluggish pace stands in stark contrast to what many seasonal forecasts had warned would be an active year. So, what's causing the delay?<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 041725-1756636196549.jpg">Several key factors are at play in this slow start. First, the Main Development Region (MDR) of the tropical Atlantic, where most storms form during peak season, has been cooler than expected. While still slightly above average, it falls short of the record-breaking warmth seen in 2024. Meanwhile, waters in the subtropical Atlantic are significantly warmer, disrupting the usual energy gradient that helps fuel storm formation.Atmospheric conditions have also been unusually hostile to storms. Persistent wind shear across the Gulf and Caribbean has torn apart developing systems before they can organize. On top of that, the upper atmosphere has remained unusually warm and stable, effectively placing a lid on the kind of deep convection hurricanes need to grow. Add in frequent plumes of dry, dusty air from the Sahara, and the result is a storm-suppressing cocktail that’s kept the basin eerily calm.<h1>Next Few Weeks</h1>Do not let your guard down. The National Hurricane Center has issued an outlook for a wave off the coast of Africa. The area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is supposed to emerge off the coast of Africa this weekend, and the NHC is giving it a 40 percent chance of development in the next 7 days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 175728-1756684654826.png">All it takes is one hurricane to make it a memorable season. The tropics in the Atlantic have a chance to stay active through the first week of September, heading into the second week. While a large-scale Kelvin Wave is not likely to spur activity like it has over the last two weeks, additional tropical waves could develop in the Atlantic and the Gulf/Western Caribbean. During this time of year, any development will need to be monitored closely.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-27 121008-1756318217179.png"><h1>Eastern Pacific</h1>The Eastern Pacific has been pretty active again, with two areas of interest. As of Sunday morning, the western wave was officially dubbed Tropical Storm Kiko. The latest forecast has Kiko strengthening to a category 2 hurricane, with still much uncertainty over impacts to Hawaii.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 205310-1756695226479.png">The wave behind it may need to be monitored more closely, as some forecast models bring its remnant moisture back into the southwestern U.S. in the long range (10-14 days).<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 205357-1756695244164.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Alana Cameron

Tropical Update: Tropical Storm Kiko Forms in the Pacific

Screenshot20250831205357png-1756695251694.png

Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

AlanaCameronjpeg-1679518648021.jpeg

NORTHERN PLAINS - On Monday, a cold front will drop in from Canada, bringing cooler weather and stormy conditions for parts of the region. Forecast models show rainfall beginning Monday evening.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08-31 rnc-1756672682474.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Some of this rain may be heavy enough to raise flash flooding concerns, prompting the Weather Prediction Center to issue excessive rainfall outlooks for Tuesday and Wednesday. Both days carry a marginal risk (level 1 out of 4).<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 135328-1756672729274.png">Behind the front, temperatures will drop significantly as winds shift to the north.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/cold-1756672756256.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>For many areas, this will be the coolest air since spring. Morning lows are expected to dip into the 40s on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday, with Friday likely to be the coldest morning across the Northern Plains.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/ezgif-730385c4f717ce-1756673019840.gif">In comparison to the average, these numbers are about 10-20 degrees below what is normal for early September.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 134350-1756672948176.png">Long range trends keep the eastern U.S. with high confidence in temperatures being below average (top image), fall is here! If you're curious when the Autumnal Equinox arrives, also known as astronomical fall, this year it is on September 22nd.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 144355-1756673112472.png">

First Taste of Fall: Cooler Air and Rain for the Northern Plains

Screenshot20250831134421png-1756669712382.png

While it wasn't that long ago we were dealing with record-breaking heat across the Northwest, another heatwave is building that will be particularly intense by the middle of this first week of September. Upper-level high pressure will build in as we head through that time frame. As it continues to build north, the mercury will rise sharply!<h2>Heat Alerts</h2>Heat advisories have been issued in the western U.S. For the northwest, heat advisories begin Sunday afternoon and last through Thursday. Hot temperatures will increase the risk of heat-related illnesses, so be sure to keep cool and hydrated. Extreme heat watches have been added into Oregon as well.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 143647-1756672635220.png">In the southwest, heat advisories span as close as the Pacific Coast. Along the coast, temperatures between 90-95° are possible, and 95-105° in the valleys and hills.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 143608-1756672642000.png">A few records were already broken in California on Sunday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 193818-1756690722314.png"><h2>Temperatures</h2>Temperatures in southern California are likely to warm up to 95° close to the coast, and upwards of 105° farther inland.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 122114-1756664562804.png">Temperatures will be pushing 15 degrees above average across western Oregon, including the Willamette Valley. Even more anomalous, temperatures in the Inland NW will rise up 20 degrees above average, as locales such as Spokane, WA, will be feeling triple-digit heat.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 122259-1756664597965.png">While the numbers may not seem too high in the northwest, many residents in these areas do not have air conditioning. Because of this, the Willamette Valley through interior Washington will be feeling Major and Extreme heat impacts by Tuesday and Wednesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-30 203835-1756607929397.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-29 174031-1756511416611.png">Here are some good tips if you're unfortunately dealing with the heat without the benefits of air conditioning.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 122333-1756664619433.png">The WPC 3-7 Day Temperature Outlook shows high confidence in above-average temperatures as we round out next week and head into next weekend. Unfortunately, this means that the heat could be sticking around for a prolonged period.

Taban Sharifi

End of Summer Heatwave

ezgif377d860dc596ecgif-1756665248241.gif

Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

RobBradleyjpeg-1679518597323.jpeg

TEXAS - Dallas set a daily rainfall record on August 30th of 1.35" (tying the existing daily record of 1.35" set in 1991). This batch of heavy rain also hit Plano with almost six inches!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 193740-1756690666048.png">Storms will continue to track toward the Gulf Coast, bringing heavy rain from Texas to Louisiana through Labor Day.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/0831-1756690581924.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Rainfall totals of 2-7 inches may lead to flash flooding in some areas. Excessive rainfall outlooks have been issued for the next few days, including a wide area under a SLIGHT risk of excessive rain through Sunday night.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-31 193629-1756690594128.png"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/08311-1756690649280.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>For more details, be sure to join us on WeatherNation!

Soggy Labor Day Weekend for The South

Screenshot20250830184326png-1756601217292.png

Brittany Lockley

BrittanyLockleyjpeg-1679519515040.jpeg

Friday marked the anniversary of Hurricane Katrina, one of the most devastating natural disasters in U.S. history. On August 29, 2005, the powerful storm made landfall along the Gulf Coast, leaving behind a humanitarian crisis that would forever change New Orleans and the surrounding communities. Two decades later, the memory of Katrina still resonates deeply with survivors, first responders, and all who witnessed the destruction.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-29 082444-1756477525621.png">Katrina began as a tropical storm over the Bahamas on August 23 and quickly strengthened into a massive Category 5 hurricane over the Gulf of Mexico. It made landfall in South Florida as a Category 1 hurricane before moving into the Gulf. By the time it struck near Buras, Louisiana, on August 29, it had slightly weakened to a Category 3, but still packed winds of 125 mph and an unprecedented storm surge. The storm battered coastal areas of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, causing widespread damage and flooding.&nbsp;<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/082725_PKG_TRT_4.09_JOSH WITH MISSISSIPPI RESIDENTS TALKING ABOUT THE EFFECTS OF KATRINA_NJ-1756463476792.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>New Orleans bore the brunt of the disaster. However, it was not from wind, but from storm surge and catastrophic levee failures. About 80% of the city was submerged, with some neighborhoods under more than 10 feet of water. Tens of thousands of people were trapped without food, water, or medical care. The scenes of stranded families on rooftops and desperate conditions inside the Superdome shocked the world.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot%202025-08-29%20042812-1756463302396.jpg">In total, Hurricane Katrina claimed over 1,800 lives and displaced more than a million people. The economic impact was equally staggering, with damage estimated at over $125 billion. Entire communities, were devastated, many of which still struggle with the long-term effects today.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-29 042839-1756463328273.jpg">Twenty years later, Hurricane Katrina remains a defining moment in American history. While many parts of the Gulf Coast have rebuilt and moved forward, the anniversary is a time to honor the lives lost, recognize the resilience of survivors, and recommit to building safer, more equitable communities in the face of future storms.&nbsp;<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/081225_SOT_.43_NAT PACK WITH KEN G READING THE WARNING BEFORE KATRINA WITH KATRINA BROLL_NJ_E081225-1756481328415.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Katrina was eye opening in the world of hurricane observation and forecasting. Meteorologist Jesse Kelley spoke with the current Meteorologist in Charge at the National Weather Service in New Orleans to see how Katrina still factors into their decision making today.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/PKG_TRT 4.26_KATRINAS LONG-LASTING IMPACTS ON NEW ORLEANS_JESSE KELLEY_LS_E082525-1756481347277.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Our own Hunter and Historian Josh Morgerman has close ties to the Gulf Coast, living in Bay St. Louis, MS. Dr. Jim Siebert sat down with him in a two part interview to talk about what made Katrina a historic storm and how he still sees its influences today.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/WHERE WERE YOU_TRT 4.23 PART 1_NJ_E082725-1756481839901.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/WHERE WERE YOU_TRT 5.17 PART 2_NJ_E082725-1756481927184.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Hurricane Katrina: Remembering the Devastation, 20 Years Later

Screenshot20250829082458png-1756477505341.png

Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

TabanSharifijpeg-1679519287847.jpeg

Conditions in the Northwest have been hot and dry. The Flat Fire began on August 21st near Sisters, OR, and has grown to over 23,000 acres (above).There is a risk for isolated dry thunderstorms (with lightning and wind but very little rainfall) through tonight across the Northwest. In other words, conditions are still dry at the surface, and with thunderstorms that form, the lightning can spark another fire.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/PIC 1-1756427699221.jpg">Monsoonal moisture will be moving into the region, bringing some areas of relief, but also bringing flooding threats.An inch or two of additional rainfall is possible here through the overnight hours.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/PIC 1-1756427666701.jpg">The bulk of the rain will slow overnight, although some of it will continue the next couple of days into the interior.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/FORECAST-1756427594796.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>More details can be found during your Western Regional Forecast :50 past the hour on WeatherNation.

Patrick Crawford

Northwest: Fire Danger and Flooding

Screenshot20250828130038png-1756420920158.png

Residual moisture from Tropical Storm Juliette will move into the desert southwest. Southern California can run into some trouble with flooding concens on Thursday. However, there is no excessive rainfall outlook from the weather prediction center as of now. Parts of Arizona, Nevada, Utah, and Colorado between Thursday and Friday will also receive some of this remnant moisture. The moisture will extend upward over an upper-level high and push into the southern plains as well. This moisture will mix into existing Monsoon moisture across the region.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-28 072805-1756387704794.png">Rainfall</h1>Up to 1 inch of rainfall is possible with Juliette's remnant moisture. Cities like San Diego, Las Vegas, St. George, Salt Lake City, and Grand Junction can expect some rain. Areas over burn scars are particularly concerning due to the fact that it does not take that much rainfall to cause mudslides and debris flows.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-28 072841-1756387735526.png">Timing</h1>Most of the moisture streams across the Southwest Region between Thursday and Friday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/2025-08-28 07-26-17-1756387617627.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Drought</h1>The moisture will help many drought-stricken locations.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER SW DROUGHT UPDATE-1756341786689.jpg">Tune into the Western Regional forecast :50 past the hour for more details.

Moisture From Juliette Arrives Thursday-Friday

Screenshot20250828072537png-1756387541840.png

We are looking at a strong chance for large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes over parts of South Dakota and Nebraska for Friday afternoon and evening.  The tornado risk could actually impact parts of Minnesota and Iowa as well.
<h2>Severe Outlook</h2>
<h2><img class="alignnone wp-image-92346 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/7day2-4.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" /></h2>
You can see a slight and enhanced risk of severe storms today for southern South Dakota and northern Nebraska.  Cities like Rapid City, Pierre and Valentine will need to be weather aware today.
<h2>Enhanced Risk Definition</h2>
<img class="alignnone wp-image-92353 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/7day3-3.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />
<h2>Severe Risks</h2>
<img class="alignnone wp-image-92347 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/7day4-4.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-92348 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/bad-3.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

The area that is under the Enhanced risk will have a very high chance for hail 2" in diameter or greater and wind speeds in excess of 58 mph.  The tornado risk is not as high, but it is there for these areas as well as parts of Minnesota and Iowa.
<h2>Forecast</h2>
<img class="alignnone wp-image-92349 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/Capture-10.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-92350 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/cle-3.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-92351 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/06/cone-4.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

You can see the timing for today's severe storms will be during the afternoon and evening hours.  Keep checking WeatherNation for the very latest updates.

&nbsp;

<a href="https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistPC/">Meteorologist Patrick Crawford</a>

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Severe Storms Likely for South Dakota and Nebraska Friday

Severe Outlook

Enhanced Risk Definition

Severe Risks

Forecast

Tropical Update: Tropical Storm Kiko Forms in the Pacific

As we near the peak of the 2025 Atlantic hurr

First Taste of Fall: Cooler Air and Rain for the Northern Plains

NORTHERN PLAINS - On Monday, a cold front wil

End of Summer Heatwave

While it wasn't that long ago we were dealing

Soggy Labor Day Weekend for The South

TEXAS - Dallas set a daily rainfall record on

Hurricane Katrina: Remembering the Devastation, 20 Years Later

Friday marked the anniversary of Hurricane Ka

Northwest: Fire Danger and Flooding

Conditions in the Northwest have been hot and

Moisture From Juliette Arrives Thursday-Friday

Residual moisture from Tropical Storm Juliett