Deep South Severe Storm Outlook Mid Week

6 Apr 2021, 12:45 pm

As we head into the work week, a set-up in the Southern and Central United States brings the potential risk for strong to severe thunderstorms for the next few days. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted several areas for Wednesday and Thursday as an incoming upper level trough exits the Rockies and pushes into the Central and Southern Plains.

Set-Up

As an upper level trough digs in, a surface low brings in a dryline set-up that will ignite thunderstorms in west Texas. There is still some low confidence on how quickly these storms will develop, based on how much capping we have in the atmosphere. Once storms bubble up, there is a risk that they will become severe with a hail and wind threat.

Wednesday

For Wednesday, a cold front will move into the Tennessee and Lower Mississippi River Valleys. It will bring a risk for strong to severe thunderstorms. There is a slight risk (level 2 on a scale of 1 to 5) for the Arklatex eastward to the Mississippi Delta. Heavy rain will also be a concern.

A few tornadoes are possible in the late afternoon and evening, along with damaging wind gusts and large hail.

As the low pressure center and cold front pushes eastward, a line of storms will fire as it moves into a moisture-rich and warm environment. Severe weather will be possible in the late afternoon and evening.

Thursday

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms Thursday from eastern Texas to the Florida Panhandle. A few severe storms may be possible in the morning before diminishing along the cold front. Additional storms will develop Thursday night that may become severe.

For the latest on this severe potential, be sure to tune into WeatherNation!

About the author

Meredith Garofalo

Meredith is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist as designated by the American Meteorological Society. She was born and raised in Cleveland but has worked from coast to coast covering almost every type of weather. She's been live out in the field during destructive tropical storms on the Gulf Coast of Florida, raging wildfires in Southern California, and covered the wreckage from tornadoes in t... Load Morehe Great Plains. In 2009, she reported on the damaging hail storm during the Sturgis Motorcycle Rally and in 2017, the historic California winter storms that produced record rain totals and devastating flash flooding. Prior to joining WeatherNation, Meredith worked at KEYT/KKFX in Santa Barbara, CA, KOTA-TV in Rapid City, SD, WWSB-TV in Sarasota, FL, and began her career as an intern at WGN-TV in Chicago. She was Santa Barbara's "Favorite Weathercaster of the Year" in 2016 and the Community Partner of the Year in 2017 for her volunteer work with Make-A-Wish Tri-Counties and awarded with the 2018 Valparaiso University Alumni Association First Decade Achievement Award. Meredith is the current chair of the American Meteorological Society's Station Scientist Committee, which focuses on raising greater awareness & outreach when it comes to science education for viewers. She's also an accomplished reporter, producing weather and science stories including rocket launches at Vandenberg Air Force Base and the new GOES-16 satellite and it's impacts on weather forecasting. She was the only meteorologist in the nation to do an exclusive report accompanying the GOES-West satellite from Colorado to Florida, and reported on and covered it's launch in 2018. Meredith's also worked on features that took her paragliding along the coast, white water rafting in Northern California, learning to surf in the Pacific Ocean, and how to be an aerial photographer while flying a single engine plane!