Moisture is moving back into the Central and Southern tier of the Rockies and Plains states, bringing flood chances back to the forecast, including Texas this weekend.

A low-pressure system will ride around a ridge of high pressure, increasing wind shear in the region, which will help to organize a few severe thunderstorms starting Thursday, with severe weather outlooks in place through Saturday.

Flood Potential

Heavy rain will return with thunderstorms, particularly between I-20 and I-40 where flood potential will be elevated.

Some heavy downpours could make a return to areas between San Angelo and I-35 by the weekend, where intense flooding killed over 100 people July 4th weekend. Thankfully, the flood potential, while present, doesn't look to be on the higher end or widespread. Still, with so much flooding last week these areas will be susceptible to flooding from any heavy rain.

Forecast / Timing

Storms will become more intense in the afternoons, though some storms may persist in the evenings and overnight across the Plains. New rounds of storms are expected to initiate each day / afternoon before pushing east through the late day hours.

Severe Weather Outlooks

Severe weather chances will return, slowly shifting south into the weekend. Wind and hail will be the primary threats, though isolated tornadoes are possible.

By Saturday, the severe weather threat will drop south and east toward areas more susceptible to flooding.