Kevin Schneider

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We have had a warm October for much of the lower 48, and the record heat continues with a ridge of high pressure out across most of the Central and Eastern U.S.! <h2>Midwest</h2>Multiple record highs were set Monday in Michigan. Alpena saw a record high of 84°, beating out the previous record of 78°.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/MICHIGAN GGGGGG-1729558442924.png">A cold front will move across the northern U.S., bringing temperatures back to more seasonable levels by mid-week for the Northern Plains. The Twin Cities will feel a 20° temperature swing in 24 hours.<h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-21 135638-1729540603118.png">Northeast</h2>Similar to the Midwest, the Northeast will feel the cooldown by Thursday. Until the cooler air arrives, widespread warmth was felt across the area including several spots across New York City.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-22 073611-1729604187718.jpg">After Wednesday, temperatures look like they'll back off through this weekend, so this won't be a long-lived warm stretch. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-22 073730-1729604290680.jpg"><h2>South</h2>This is where the warmer weather could linger for a lot longer. The upper-level pattern will keep the warm weather nearby for the foreseeable future. Places like Phoenix will return to record territory, something they've become used to since the middle of September. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-22 074039-1729604449395.jpg">The hot weather will spread into the southern plains as well. Highs in central Texas will approach the low 90's, when they should be closer to the upper 70's<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-22 074108-1729604477986.jpg">For more details on the heat, be sure to join us :10 minutes past the hour for your eastern regional forecast and :30 minutes past for your central regional forecast.

Alana Cameron

More Record Highs in Trouble Today

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

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According to climatology, about 10% of the seasonal energy is left for hurricane season now that we're in late October. Seasonal energy is measured by accumulated cyclone energy, also known as ACE. According to<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane2003/August/background_information.html#:~:text=The%20measure%20of%20overall%20activity,at%20least%20tropical%20storm%20strength."> NOAA</a>, ACE is essentially a "wind energy index" and based on that, the season can be defined as extremely active, above-average, near-average, and below-normal. In the Atlantic, the storms this season have brought us to an ACE value of 144, which is considered to be above average.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-22 061936-1729599583974.jpg">The forecast for the season called for above-average activity as well. Here is how the 2024 Atlantic season has been so far.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-21 133946-1729539668522.jpg"><h1>Oscar</h1>Oscar officially made landfall in Cuba in the province of Guantanamo, near the city of Baracoa on Sunday, October 20th.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-20 161952-1729462798158.png">Oscar continues to move north-northeast with a faster motion expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected through Tuesday for portions of the Bahamas which have been put under tropical storm warnings now. Rainfall amounts of 3-5 inches with isolated totals up to 8" are possible in the Bahamas and storm totals for Cuba could reach 20".<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-22 061524-1729599452838.jpg"><h1>Eastern Pacific</h1>Tropical Storm Kristy formed on Monday afternoon. Kristy will continue to move in a more favorable environment and likely strengthen into a hurricane.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-22 061624-1729599460739.jpg"> The NHC has Kristy becoming a hurricane on Tuesday and strengthening as far as a major, category 3 later this week. Thankfully, no threats to land with this storm.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-22 061559-1729599471998.jpg"> For more details on the Tropics be sure to join us on WeatherNation for the latest!

Brittany Lockley

Tropical Outlook: Oscar Makes Landfall in Cuba, Kristy Forms in Pacific

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Dave Holder

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It was a soggy stretch across Oregon and Washington this past weekend and Monday, as some areas of Washington picked up 2-3 inches of rainfall, wetting down any chance to get outdoors. Tuesday, looks to dry out across the northwestern U.S. as we anticipate our next rain chances to move back in on Wednesday. Rain will start for Oregon on Wednesday and as a frontal boundary forms,<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/10-21_rnw_bams18z-1729566499615.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Rainfall and snowfall totals from now through Wednesday night do not look overly impressive, which is why there are currently no winter weather alerts in place for Idaho, Oregon, or Montana.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-21 210924-1729566619586.jpg">Later this week and into the weekend, our next push of moisture brings wet weather to the Pacific Coast.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/10-21_west this weekend-1729566628865.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Things are a little ways away so plenty can change between now and the upcoming weekend. Be sure to check back with us at :50 past every hour for your West Regional Forecast.

Tracey Anthony

Waves of Precipitation Across the Northwest This Week

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WeatherNation Meteorologists

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<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/PKG_101724_TRT 1.45_CPC WINTER OUTLOOK_STEVE GLAZIER_BH_101724-1729201959789.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>This year's winter outlook has been released by the National Oceanic &amp; Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and it calls for a mild winter for most spots. One of the national centers, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), takes the lead in presenting these seasonal outlooks. Officials at NOAA's CPC say La Niña is one of the key factors for this upcoming weekend. The agency expects the winter weather pattern to evolve through February and even March.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-17 110044-1729185345413.png">At the top of this article, you'll find the temperature outlook for the mainland U.S. The Southwest, Deep South, Southeast, and East Coast are expected to have a mild winter, while the northern High Plains and Pacific Northwest are expected to have a cooler winter. The precipitation outlook follows the same general pattern, with some wetter weather possible in the Upper Midwest, Ohio Valley, and Great Lakes.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/LA NINA MOVIE LYNX-1729185478917.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>CPC expects La Niña to develop throughout the winter months, which typically leads to a more northerly storm track, leaving the southern tier of the country warmer and drier. As a result, widespread relief from drought does not appear likely across the South.&nbsp;With this pattern, there is a snowy potential across parts of the Upper Midwest and Pacific Northwest. Lower snow totals could come in from the Southwest and East Coast.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-17 110151-1729185535715.png">Remember, outlooks are a look at the broader picture. Darker colors indicate the CONFIDENCE in the forecast, NOT the amount a region will be warmer or wetter.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-17 110220-1729185547806.png">Day-to-day weather conditions will still vary...so it’s important to keep up to date on the latest conditions...and we’ll do that right here on WeatherNation.&nbsp;

NOAA'S Winter Outlook Released

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The same system that brought heart-breaking flooding to New Mexico has been pushing east on Monday after sitting and spinning on top of the Four Corners all weekend.Related Story: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/storm-and-snow-chances-rise-across-new-mexico">Historic Rain Falls in New Mexico</a>The Storm Prediction Center continues to issue a marginal risk overnight for portions of Nebraska, Kansas, and Oklahoma. As a trough of low pressure moves through, a few storms will stick around tonight and can be strong to severe. By tomorrow morning, things will be much calmer for your Tuesday morning.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/lojoj-1729558891357.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Thankfully, rainfall amounts don't look to overwhelm the dry soils in Kansas or Oklahoma, where any of this rainfall is sorely needed. It won't be enough to offset the ongoing drought, however, especially in the Sooner State, where Extreme Drought conditions are present.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Drought-1729511681906.jpg">Know where your day is going to take you as we watch these storms develop later today! Download the WeatherNation app on your phone and take us with you, so you're ahead of some powerful storms.

Overnight Severe Threat in the Plains

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The slow-moving upper-level low is still spinning in the Rocky Mountains Monday morning, spinning through lingering snow chances. This system brought plenty of snow to the Four Corners, with some areas picking up 7-8 inches over the weekend. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-21 071644-1729516615712.jpg">As the snow continues to fall, portions of the I-70 corridor could become slick. A Winter Weather Advisory is set to expire this afternoon when temperatures warm up enough. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-21 071737-1729516666548.jpg">The snow will gradually wind down throughout the morning, with additional accumulations only totaling a few inches at most. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/2024-10-20 07-33-36-1729516760281.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Any snow will be helpful as some ski resorts begin to open their slopes sometime next month! <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-20 162413-1729463061908.png">For more details on this tricky forecast, be sure to join us :50 minutes past the hour for your western regional forecast.

Snow in the Rockies Lingers Into Monday

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Roswell picked up over 5 inches of rain in a single afternoon, the most rain they have ever seen in a 24-hour period (above). Ever. That lead to horrible flash flooding prompting a Flash Flood Emergency in Roswell Saturday night.New Mexico and far West Texas could be in store for another day of severe weather and flash flooding. An upper-level low and a surface front are expected to bring a mix of snow, heavy rainfall, and the heightened possibility of tornadoes.&nbsp;Saturday night, a Flash Flood Emergency was issued for Roswell, NM with the nearly 6 inches of rain that fell over the city.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/VO_101924_RSW_ROSWELL, NM_LOOK HOW MUCH FLOODING NOW, CANT SEE PART OF THE SIDEWALK ANYMORE_EARTHCAM_DW_E101924-1729393911277.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>On the severe side, all modes of severe weather will be in play into Monday morning, including isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center issued a slight risk (level 2 out of 5) for the possibility of strong storms.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/PIC 1-1729461603661.jpg">For the rest of the night, we will still be looking at an ongoing flash flooding threat and severe threat across the eastern sections of New Mexico! Thunderstorms should begin to fizzle after midnight.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/10202-1729468216022.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Any additional rainfall could lead to further flooding in New Mexico. Thankfully, the amounts should be much lighter than Saturday night's round.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-20 175037-1729468243307.png">Tune in for real-time updates as this system unfolds on WeatherNation.&nbsp;

Flash Flooding and Storm Chances Continue Across New Mexico

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We have been talking about the heavy rain impacting the West Coast and even the heavy snow chance in the High Plains, but areas that haven't been seeing precipitation over the past several months will be dealing with an increasing fire weather risk.
<h2>Drought Monitor</h2>
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Here is the latest drought monitor for the central and southwestern U.S..  You can see extreme to exceptional drought conditions over parts of New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas.  These are the same areas that need to be on alert for fire weather Saturday and Sunday.
<h2>Fire Weather Ingredients</h2>
All the ingredients will be there over the weekend for a dangerous fire risk.  I already mentioned the drought conditions, so we know it's very dry in these areas.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-89824 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/04/Capture-1.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

Temperatures will be very warm with highs in the upper 80s and low 90s over parts of New Mexico and Texas.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-89825 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/04/Capture2.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

The winds will be strong on Sunday as well...and these strong winds help to fuel and spread any fires that develop.

So all the weather conditions needed for a fire weather threat will be there this weekend.  Warm temperatures, low humidity and strong winds.  Be ready for fire weather watches and red flag warnings over a majority of the areas in extreme drought conditions for Saturday and Sunday.
<h2>Extended Outlook</h2>
Looking at the extended forecast into mid-April, there is a chance the fire weather danger will continue in these same areas.  We are expect above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation over this region from April 12th -&gt; April 18th.

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<img class="alignnone wp-image-89827 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/04/Capture5.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

&nbsp;

<a href="https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistPC/">Meteorologist Patrick Crawford</a>

&nbsp;

Strong Winds and High Fire Danger for the Southern Plains This Weekend

Drought Monitor

Fire Weather Ingredients

Extended Outlook

More Record Highs in Trouble Today

We have had a warm October for much of the lo

Tropical Outlook: Oscar Makes Landfall in Cuba, Kristy Forms in Pacific

According to climatology, about 10% of the se

Waves of Precipitation Across the Northwest This Week

It was a soggy stretch across Oregon and Wash

NOAA'S Winter Outlook Released

This year's winter outlook has been released

Overnight Severe Threat in the Plains

The same system that brought heart-breaking f

Snow in the Rockies Lingers Into Monday

The slow-moving upper-level low is still spin

Flash Flooding and Storm Chances Continue Across New Mexico

Roswell picked up over 5 inches of rain in a