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Summer Outlook – More Heat and Drought Concerns

21 May 2022, 7:10 pm

Heat and drought concerns highlight the summer outlook, issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction center on Thursday. The forecast covers the months of June, July and August. Warmer than normal temperatures are expected across the majority of the nation, with the highest likelihood in the West and Northeast.

Drier than average weather is expected from the Northwest into the Plains. This will lead to drought conditions continuing across the West, with a possible expansion in the Plains. A wetter than normal summer is anticipated along the East Coast. Models indicate a more active monsoon season, leading to the potential for above average rainfall in southern Arizona.

A persistent La Nina was one the driving factors in the outlook and the Climate Prediction Center expects conditions to last for several months.  La Nina occurs when the waters of the Pacific Ocean show a general trend of cooling, the opposite of an El Nino. The latest model guidance, soil moisture/drought conditions, and decadal trends also impacted the summer outlook.

About the author
Mace was born and raised in Minnesota, where his intrigue for weather and broadcasting grew at a young age. His 30 years in broadcasting have taken him all across the Midwest and in the South. During high school and college, Mace first worked at a number of radio stations which helped pay tuition bills and get him ready for a career in television. His first TV Meteorology job was in Wausau, WI, fo... Load Morellowed by stops in Grand Rapids, MI, Fort Myers, FL, Tampa, FL, Cedar Rapids, IA and then across the country on WeatherNation. Mace is one of our Digital Meteorologists, posting weather stories on our website and social media accounts. He is also a game-day Meteorologist for the Minnesota Twins.