Updated January Forecast from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center

news image
Special Stories
3 Jan 2019 8:14 AM
Earlier this week, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center updated their outlook for January. The forecast continues to highlight warmer than average temperatures across the West, with an added extension into the Upper Midwest. Below normal temperatures are now expected in New England, but no longer in the Tennessee Valley. Little change was made to the precipitation forecast, with wetter than normal weather expected throughout the southern tier of the nation and below normal conditions across the north. https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1079831539934994432 Good news in the drought forecast to start 2019. Conditions should continue to improve over the Southwest, with no development areas expected. https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1079832000356368384 The main forecast influences were global pattern trends and long range model forecasts. An extensively discussed El Nino is underway in the Pacific Ocean, but the atmosphere has been slow to respond. Observed sea surface temperatures in the Pacific are warmer than normal as expected, with computer models expecting this to continue. Right now, the overall global pattern resembles neutral conditions. Based on the latest observations and model forecasts, the CPC still indicates a greater than 80 percent chance for El Nino from January to March and 70 percent that it persists through May. [November 2018 sea surface temperature departure from the 1981-2010 average. Graphic by NOAA Climate; data from NOAA’s Environmental Visualization Lab.] For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Mace Michaels
All Weather News
More
Weekend Severe Risk in Montana Ahead of Pattern Change

Weekend Severe Risk in Montana Ahead of Pattern Change

While much of the western U.S. is feeling rec

11 May 2025 3:00 AM
Unseasonable Heat to Scorch Western and Northern U.S. Mother’s Day Weekend

Unseasonable Heat to Scorch Western and Northern U.S. Mother’s Day Weekend

An upper-level ridge is bringing the heat, as

11 May 2025 3:00 AM
Soaking Rains Continue Across the Southeast

Soaking Rains Continue Across the Southeast

An upper-level low will meander around the Gu

11 May 2025 12:45 AM
Florida’s Rainy Season Starting Ahead of Schedule

Florida’s Rainy Season Starting Ahead of Schedule

Florida can not seem to shake the storms over

11 May 2025 12:30 AM
Flood Threat Lingers in New England Saturday

Flood Threat Lingers in New England Saturday

A break in storms for the Northeast is on the

10 May 2025 7:25 PM
Huge Hail in the Mid-South Thursday, Storms Linger in the Carolinas Today

Huge Hail in the Mid-South Thursday, Storms Linger in the Carolinas Today

Hail over the size of tennis balls and baseba

9 May 2025 7:45 PM
Major Spring Storm Continues With Rain & Snow For the Rockies

Major Spring Storm Continues With Rain & Snow For the Rockies

Looking at the rain from a glass half full le

7 May 2025 12:40 PM