On Monday, the Climate Prediction Center updated their outlook for June. Only a few changes have been made from the previous outlook issued a couple of weeks ago. A warmer than normal month is still predicted across much of the nation, from the Southwest through the Central Plains to the Atlantic Coast. An area of below average temperatures have been added for the southern Plains and along the Gulf of Mexico coast.
Chances for both below-normal temperatures and above-normal rainfall are increased for much of the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley throughout the month of June. https://t.co/JI2DUvhln5 pic.twitter.com/5aJ7akyw7H
— NWS Climate Prediction Center (@NWSCPC) May 31, 2021
A wetter than average month is still in the forecast from the Gulf Coast into the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys. Drier than normal weather is expected throughout the Northwest, where drought conditions are expected to remain and will likely expand.
Development or persistence of #drought is forecast across most areas west of the Rockies during June, while improving conditions are forecast for the Southern Plains, Mid-Atlantic, and Florida. Drought development is also forecast for much of Hawaii. https://t.co/9pT87CSQMB pic.twitter.com/baP1cnaYWl
— NWS Climate Prediction Center (@NWSCPC) May 31, 2021
According to the Climate Prediction Center, soil moisture, coastal sea surface temperatures, global patterns and model forecasts were the driving factors used to make the June outlook. Wet soils coupled with cooler sea surface temperatures lead to the addition of below average temperatures in the South. Dry soils, global patterns and climate trends supported the warm and dry forecast for the Northwest.