On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Center
issued their forecast for October
. All of the lower 48 is predicted to see warmer than normal weather, with the highest chances in the Southwest and East. The precipitation forecast has a few areas projected to see above average precipitation. The Middle Atlantic, Northern Plains, Northwest and Southwest may see a wetter than normal month. Drier than usual weather is in the forecast for portions of the Southern Plains.
The Climate Prediction Center notes
that the "October monthly outlook always represents a considerable challenge in short term climate prediction." Since the month falls during a transitional season period, October "historically is one in which predictability is low." Model guidance and long term climate trends were the main factors used in the forecast.