Warmer Than Average Weather Predicted in the October Outlook
On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Center issued their forecast for October. All of the lower 48 is predicted to see warmer than normal weather, with the highest chances in the Southwest and East. The precipitation forecast has a few areas projected to see above average precipitation. The Middle Atlantic, Northern Plains, Northwest and Southwest may see a wetter than normal month. Drier than usual weather is in the forecast for portions of the Southern Plains.
— NWSCPC (@NWSCPC) September 19, 2019
The Climate Prediction Center notes that the “October monthly outlook always represents a considerable challenge in short term climate prediction.” Since the month falls during a transitional season period, October “historically is one in which predictability is low.” Model guidance and long term climate trends were the main factors used in the forecast.