Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

Jesse Kelley

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The big weather story for the next couple of days will be about the large upper level low roaming across the country! Severe weather chances will be possible from North Dakota all the way down to <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/day-to-day-severe-weather-chance-in-sw-plains">Texas</a>. Today (above), the risk shifts into the Eastern Dakotas along with much of Kansas and Nebraska, elevating to an enhanced, level 3 out of 5 threat.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/2-1696338165882.png">The Significant hail risk has been outlined by the Storm Prediction Center from Nebraska to the Texas Panhandle. Along with large hail threat, a few isolated tornadoes will be possible too. Rainfall totals will be heavy in some spots with some isolated amounts over two to three inches! Have a couple of ways to receive weather alerts. The good news is that by Wednesday the front will lose some of its steam limiting the severe weather threat. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/Baron-1696338416072.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Severe Weather Chances Increase for Upper Midwest

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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The 17th named storm of the Atlantic season, Tropical Storm Rina, formed in the Atlantic Ocean on Thursday, September 28. But as soon as that storm formed, it quickly fell apart. At the moment the Atlantic only has one storm that we are monitoring.Tropical Storm Phillipe will take a gradual turn to the northwest, away from the Caribbean islands. As it moves north it will strengthen slightly, but the latest forecast cone has it remaining at tropical storm status, but teetering a category one hurricane. The good news is that no land is expected to be impacted. Although Philippe is moving away from the Caribbean, it will be breezy at times with big waves and rough surf.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/ts philppe-1696302282300.png">We are in the fourth quarter of this hurricane season and we cannot wait for that final play to call it done and done! Don't let your guard down, though--October can be a busy month, tropically speaking because of warm sea surface temperatures this time of the season.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/Screenshot 2023-09-30 070847-1696079369751.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/Screenshot 2023-09-30 070847-1696079369751.png">Over in the Eastern Pacific we now have a newly named storm...Lidia. This storm will not impact the U.S. and will move west of Mexico this week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/PIC 3-1696332711638.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/PIC 4-1696332718641.png">While we continue to monitor the MDR (main development region) of the Atlantic now, October could bring a few areas of potential development closer to the lower 48.

Tropics Update: Philippe Hangs on in the Atlantic

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A very sluggish weather pattern will result in a persistent forecast across the Southern Plains in the coming days. Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will flare up along a cold front from New Mexico into the Ozarks! Monday night's convection will lead to more development across Western Texas and Oklahoma for Tuesday! The Storm Prediction has outlined another Slight Risk for these zones!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/PIC 1-1696331900296.jpg">Today, all modes will be possible again along with a significant hail risk across the Panhandle region! Severe weather chances will continue into Wednesday again around the Red River Valley area. So you want to make sure you are weather ready and have a couple ways to receive alerts! This system will also bring in some much-needed rain and cooler temperatures. Models are showing areas in the Ozarks and Red River Valley could see the highest totals!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/PIC 1-1696332031409.jpg"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/Baron-1696326450595.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>For the latest updates, tune in to the WeatherNation app and on-air at :30 past the hour, each hour, in the Central Regional Forecast.

Severe Weather Chances in Southern Plains

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<div>Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Colorado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!</div>
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Lucy Bergemann

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Are you ready for a pattern change in the southern Plains? After an extremely hot, and in some cases, record-setting summer we are finally looking at fall settling in. Highs today are in the 80s and 90s for the south, running about 10° above average. The heat continues into Tuesday before a big cool down arrives by Wednesday and Thursday (above).<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/10-02_rsc tue thu-1696300821009.png">It is all thanks to a surface low-pressure system and upper-level trough that give a shove to the ridge of high pressure that has been sitting over the south. There will be a significant convergence of moisture around the trough and frontal boundary too, allowing for meaningful (and much-needed) rainfall Wednesday into Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/MOISTURE-1696268251489.png">Models are indicating upwards of 3-4" of rainfall in the Red River Valley of Texas and Oklahoma. This rainfall is desperately needed as many locations are under extreme and exceptional drought conditions.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/WED RAIN-1696268234620.png">With the rainfall opportunity, also comes the risk for a few stronger storms. Areas SW of Oklahoma City through west Texas are at risk for damaging winds and hail from a few storms that develop.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/SVR-1696268272630.png">Storms develop Wednesday afternoon and continue through the evening and overnight hours. Initial model forecasts are for heavy clusters of storms around Oklahoma and northern Texas. It is likely we see flooding concerns not only in urban areas but also in rural communities where the ground is hardened and struggle to absorb new moisture. By Thursday afternoon, the front will be closer to the Gulf Coast with the opportunity of heavy rain and flooding from Houston to San Antonio.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/1002-1696283746247.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Pattern Change: Cooler Air & Rain Coming to Texas

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A powerful ridge of high pressure that has brought record high temperatures to the central U.S. and caused the Twin Cities Marathon to be cancelled this weekend is shifting east, and behind it, a significant cool down for northern Plains (below). However, as the high pressure dome is pushed east by the incoming low, so are the warm temperatures, with the potential for record heat in the Northeast Tuesday and Wednesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/1-1696299317644.png">A few lingering record highs will be possible in the Upper Great Lakes on Tuesday with the trailing edge of the heat. However, Tuesday and Wednesday will bring much more widespread potential record highs to the Northeast and New England. In fact, some of the records in jeopardy are over 130 years ago - set in the 1890s!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/dots-1696273949722.png">Highs will run in the 70s and 80s, which isn't all that "hot" but for early October, this is certainly much above average. This will be anywhere from 10-15° above average on Tuesday and Wednesday. The same cool air that sweeps into the High Plains will also arrive in the Northeast by Thursday and Friday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/10/2-1696299402181.png">

Record Heat Coming to the Northeast, Cooling in the Great Lakes ...

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Happening Wednesday, October 4th at 2:20 PM ET, FEMA will be conducting a nationwide test of the Emergency Alert System (EAS) and Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEA). Test messages will be sent to all cell phones with emergency alerts enabled, TVs and radios. The test is broken down into two parts: <h2>PART 1: Emergency Alert System (EAS) </h2>Test messages are sent to radios and televisions. From FEMA: <ul><li>The EAS portion of the test is scheduled to last approximately one minute and will be conducted with the participation of radio and television broadcasters, cable systems, satellite radio and television providers&nbsp;and wireline video providers.</li><li>The test message will be similar to the regular monthly EAS test messages with which the public is familiar. It will state: “This is a nationwide test of the Emergency Alert System, issued by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, covering the United States from 14:20 to 14:50 hours ET. This is only a test. No action is required by the public.</li></ul><h2>PART 2: Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEA)</h2>These are sent to cell phones only. The test will display in English or Spanish, depending on the user language settings. The following is from FEMA: All wireless phones should receive the message only once. The following can be expected from the nationwide WEA test:<ul><li>Beginning at approximately 2:20 p.m. ET, cell towers will broadcast the test for approximately 30 minutes. During this time, WEA-compatible wireless phones that are switched on, within range of an active cell tower, and whose wireless provider participates in WEA, should be capable of receiving the test message.&nbsp;</li><li>For consumers, the message that appears on their phones will read: “THIS IS A TEST of the National Wireless Emergency Alert System. No action is needed.”</li><li>Phones with the main menu set to Spanish will display: “ESTA ES UNA PRUEBA del Sistema Nacional de Alerta de Emergencia. No se necesita acción.”</li></ul>The test sections will happen at the same time, so if you are listening to the radio and have your cell phone expect to hear both messages. According to FEMA, "The purpose of the Oct. 4 test is to ensure that the systems continue to be effective means of warning the public about emergencies, particularly those on the national level."In case of widespread severe weather or events, the backup/postponement day will be for October 11th.

Happening Wednesday: Nationwide Test of the Emergency Alert System

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Summer of 1993, New England Dragway. That's when and where Steve knew he wanted to become a meteorologist. More than 20 years later he is extremely fortunate and blessed to be able to live his childhood dream. As a lover of math and science, Steve had a consistent interest in weather in elementary, middle, and high school before discovering you can major in meteorology. He attended Lyndon State College in Vermont where he received a bachelor's in meteorology-broadcasting and associate's in television news. He has worked as a meteorologist and reporter in Winchester, VA, Burlington, VT, and most recently in West Palm Beach, FL. He's recognized by the American Meteorological Society with the Certification of Broadcast Meteorologists.

Steven Glazier

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Set a reminder in your phone and calendar! The next solar eclipse is coming right up on Saturday, October 14th beginning at about 10 a.m. ET. This will be visible to millions of people in the Western Hemisphere, especially here across America.To refresh you on this subject, a solar eclipse occurs when the Earth, Moon, and Sun all align where the moon is in the middle. This essentially blocks our view of the sun. We don't get this all the time, because of the differing elliptical paths of the Moon and Earth's orbits. But once in a while, the eclipse comes around. This time, in mid-October, it will be an "annular" eclipse, meaning the moon is just a tad smaller than the sun (as it appears in our sky). The moon never completely fills out the perimeter of the sun, but rather results in a phenomenon called the "ring of fire."<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/Annualr vs Total-1696017313039.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/Solar Eclipse Alignment-1696017318118.jpg">Here is a chart of the locations and times of when the eclipse begins, peaks, and ends. These are cities within the path totality.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/2023 Eclilpse Timing-1696017352192.jpg">The path of totality will move from Oregon to Nevada, directly over the Four Corners, and through Texas. The best chances of seeing this eclipse will be in Nevada and the Four Corners, because this region usually has the sunniest sky in mid-October.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/09/2023 Eclipse Path-1696017350676.jpg">Before you run out and look directly in the sun, stop! Make sure you have proper eyewear. Regular sunglasses won't work to keep your eyes safe. You'll need proper, and legitimate, solar sunglasses. If you can't make it to Saturday, October 14th's eclipse you'll have another chance at a TOTAL solar eclipse April 8, 2024. The total solar eclipse can be a greater phenomenon because of the view of the corona!

Get Ready for the Next Solar Eclipse!

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<h2>ATLANTIC OUTLOOK</h2>
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We're watching an area off the coast of New Jersey and Delaware that has a low chance of becoming one of our next named storms. A cluster of thunderstorms is trying to become more organized and we could possibly see "Chantal." If this does become a tropical system, it is likely that this storm will stay off into the Atlantic waters and not have an impact on the United States.

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Although the Atlantic hurricane season has been very quiet so far, we shouldn't let our guard down just yet. We are inching closer and closer to the peak of hurricane season in the middle of September.

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<h2>EASTERN PACIFIC OUTLOOK</h2>
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The eastern Pacific has been much more active this hurricane season with 8 storms already checked off on the list. We're watching two other areas of disturbance in the eastern Pacific that both have a high possibility of becoming our next named storms. We might be seeing "Ivo" and "Juliette" by the end of the work week.

Watching the Tropics

ATLANTIC OUTLOOK

EASTERN PACIFIC OUTLOOK

Severe Weather Chances Increase for Upper Midwest

The big weather story for the next couple of

Tropics Update: Philippe Hangs on in the Atlantic

The 17th named storm of the Atlantic season,

Severe Weather Chances in Southern Plains

A very sluggish weather pattern will result i

Pattern Change: Cooler Air & Rain Coming to Texas

Are you ready for a pattern change in the sou

Record Heat Coming to the Northeast, Cooling in the Great Lakes ...

A powerful ridge of high pressure that has br

Happening Wednesday: Nationwide Test of the Emergency Alert System

Happening Wednesday, October 4th at 2:20 PM E

Get Ready for the Next Solar Eclipse!

Set a reminder in your phone and calendar! Th