WeatherNation Meteorologists

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<p>While tropical activity in the Atlantic normally tends to trend down through October, impactful systems can and do occur during the final two months of hurricane season.</p><h1>Atlantic Ocean</h1><p>For more information on Milton in the Gulf, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/tropical-trouble-returns-to-the-caribbean">click here</a>.</p><h2>Disturbance #1: Eastern Atlantic</h2><p>A tropical wave is gradually becoming better organized near the west coast of Africa. This could become a depression as it moves through the Cabo Verde Islands, but harsh conditions are expected to weaken the system as it moves farther west. It's not out of the question that this wave could get organized again as it gets closer to the Caribbean toward the end of next week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Day1SVR-1728682480668.png"></p><p>Forecast models keep Invest 94-L on a westward trajectory, approaching the Caribbean next Thursday/Friday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Day3SVR-1728682651028.png"></p><h2>Tropical Storm Leslie</h2><p>Leslie continues moving northwest over the Central Atlantic with no coastal alerts or hazards to the US expected. However, Leslie could impact the Azores as a tropical storm and could bring heavy rain to southwestern Europe next week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/1-1728672602049.png">Impacts for the Azores are expected Sunday into Monday, with mid-week impacts possible in Europe.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-11 053420-1728646730434.png"></p><h1>Looking Ahead</h1><p>The Climate Prediction Center has released their 2-week and 3-week tropical outlooks for the Atlantic and Pacific, and currently there is low confidence on any tropical formation. But know that the weather is always changing and we'll be here to bring you the latest information on what's brewing in the tropics.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/10-09_cpc tropical stuff-1728498159196.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Hurricane season officially ends Saturday, November 30th, which means there are only 53 days until hurricane season is over.</p>

Patrick Crawford

Tropics: Leslie, Atlantic Waves, and Looking Ahead

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Summer of 1993, New England Dragway. That's when and where Steve knew he wanted to become a meteorologist. More than 20 years later he is extremely fortunate and blessed to be able to live his childhood dream. As a lover of math and science, Steve had a consistent interest in weather in elementary, middle, and high school before discovering you can major in meteorology. He attended Lyndon State College in Vermont where he received a bachelor's in meteorology-broadcasting and associate's in television news. He has worked as a meteorologist and reporter in Winchester, VA, Burlington, VT, and most recently in West Palm Beach, FL. He's recognized by the American Meteorological Society with the Certification of Broadcast Meteorologists.

Steven Glazier

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<p>Thursday night will be a night many people will remember, and cherish, for the rest of their lives. The Northern Lights put on a brilliant display, wowing millions of people across the United States.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-11 074847-1728655387759.png">A strong geomagnetic storm began to impact Earth on Thursday afternoon, East coast time, and some wondered if it would last long enough until nightfall and allow residents of the U.S. to view it. Well, it did last.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1844569999253414380" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1844569999253414380"></div><p>The Aurora Borealis was visible in New England, the Great Lakes, the mid-Atlantic, even down to the Gulf Coast states! That is the sign of a strong solar storm.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-11 074738-1728655666125.png">Here are some additional pictures from across the states.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-11 074710-1728655845838.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/ogunquit, me aurora 1 of 2-1728655932624.png"></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/upton, ny nws aurora-1728655947432.png"></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/white lake, mi nws detroit aurora-1728655962035.png"></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/nws wakefield, va aurora-1728656003618.png">So, the big question is: Can we see it again? The answer to that is "Likely." We say that, because the show of the Northern Lights on Thursday night was the second time <strong>this week</strong> that we have had a show of the Aurora! There was another big solar event on Monday night, too.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-11 074810-1728656118422.png">The forecast for Friday night into Saturday morning, October 11th into the 12th, is for the Aurora to not be <strong>as intense</strong> as it was Thursday night. It could still be visible on the horizon from Seattle to Sioux Falls to Detroit and to Portland, Maine.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/1-1728672341109.png"></p><p>Thursday night's solar storm was rated a "G4" short for Geomagnetic Storm. That's classified as a severe solar storm. Think of the G scale as the EF scale for tornadoes, or the Saffir-Simpson scale for hurricanes. The range is 1 to 5, 5 being most intense. Friday night, the forecast is for a G2.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/1-1728672388820.png"></p><p>The aurora will still be visible as this strong solar event continues. How about cloud cover?</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-11 074827-1728656336942.png">The best viewing appears to be in northern Michigan, northern Minnesota, and northern Montana. Other states could get obscured by clouds.</p><p>If you have FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) about the aurora, fret not. We are in a solar maximum cycle. More of these events will be likely through 2025.</p>

Jesse Kelley

Northern Lights Put On Dazzling Show Thursday Night

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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<p><strong>PHOENIX, AZ </strong>- Phoenix has currently undergone more than 2 full weeks of record-breaking temperatures. Thursday, Phoenix's high temperature rose to 107° which breaks the previous record of 105°. It makes 17 consecutive days Phoenix has had a new daily high-temperature record!</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1843760340808675575" src="https://twitter.com/NWSPhoenix/status/1843760340808675575"></div><p></p><p>Even as heat alerts end, it will still run well above average across the southwestern U.S.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-10 143426-1728592470543.png"></p><p>Back in Phoenix, the chances for record-breaking numbers will continue. However, the end of the records may be in sight, as temperatures look to temper somewhat. Nevertheless, forecasted highs will still be close to their respective daily records.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/1-1728672887313.png"></p><p>For more details on the ongoing heatwave, catch your West Regional Forecast at :50 past every hour.</p>

Never Ending Record-Heat for Phoenix

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<p>While Hurricane Milton was approaching Tampa Bay and Sarasota, tornadoes were tearing across the eastern part of Florida. A distance of 200 miles away from the storm's center, many Floridians found themselves seeking shelter in the path of numerous tornado warnings.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1844129430874267922" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1844129430874267922"></div><p>This is an important example and reminder that impacts can stretch far beyond the center of a hurricane. Unfortunately, it was the case again on Wednesday when dozens of tornado warnings were issued by the National Weather Service, many of which were more than 100 miles from the center of the hurricane.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1844021346503999978" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1844021346503999978"></div><p>According to the National Weather Service (NWS) in Miami, Florida there have been at least 55 tornado warnings issued by NWS Miami. In total between NWS Miami, NWS Melbourne, and NWS Tampa there have been at least 100 tornado warnings issued across central and southern Florida.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-09 161600-1728512168675.png">Stay with us for the latest information regarding Hurricane Milton.</p>

Hurricane Milton Produces Numerous Large Tornadoes Across Florida

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<p><strong>FLORIDA - Milton made landfall as a category 3 hurricane Wednesday evening in Siesta Key Florida. It proceeded to move across the state with hurricane force winds, knocking out power to over 3 million households while producing flooding rain and destructive storm surge. On Wednesday, Milton produced a record number of tornadoes for several regions.</strong></p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-09 183259-1728520901833.jpg"></p><p>On Monday, the central pressure within Milton tumbled to a historically low level. The central pressure dropped to 897 millibars, which placed Milton as the 5th lowest pressure from an Atlantic named storm. Milton weakened somewhat as it approached the Florida Coastline, however the impacts remained strong.</p><h1>Wind Reports</h1><p>According to the National Weather Service, a wind gust of 105 mph was clocked in Egmont Channel.</p><h1><strong><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/1-1728585889838.png"></strong>Rain &amp; Flooding Forecast</h1><p>Rainfall amounts have topped 18" in some locations. The good news is that the heaviest rain has now moved into the Atlantic Ocean! A few off-and-on light to moderate showers will still be possible this evening across the Florida Atlantic Coast. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-10 193804-1728610692591.png"></p>

Steve Glazier

Milton Moves Toward Bermuda, Lingering Coastal Impacts in the Southeast

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<p><strong>BOISE, ID—The Valley Fire, a new fire east of Boise, Idaho, started on Friday, October 4th.</strong> It is located along Highway 21 near Highland Valley Summit (SE of Boise). The NWS encourages citizens to avoid the area while crews work on containment.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-10 141934-1728591591115.png"> Additional wildfires continue to burn in Wyoming, including the Elk Fire and the Pack Fire. The Pack Fire has likely become a complex fire now that it has joined acreage with a fire that was previously burning to the north. Together, these fires have burned over 140k acres.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-10 142016-1728591622874.png"></p><p><strong>Air Quality Alerts </strong>remain in effect in close proximity to burning fires, due to lofted wildfire smoke. This smoke is expected to get caught in the jet stream and occasionally push into places like Denver and Rapid City.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/Screenshot 2024-10-10 142231-1728591755915.png">Here's a look at the latest smoke forecast for the western U.S. and throughout the country.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/moresmoke-1728610962581.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Meanwhile, fires continue to burn across Southern California. The Line Fire, which has had trouble containing, continues to burn. The good news is that it is up to 93% containment, with cooler air coming in.</p><p></p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1843331067341910086" src="https://x.com/SanBernardinoNF/status/1843331067341910086"></div><p>For more details on the heat and fire threat this week, catch your Regional Forecasts at :30 and :50 past every hour!</p>

Fire Danger Continues Out West

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<p>Lingering isolated severe storms are possible across the Ohio Valley and Northeast. The severe risk will be isolated overall, but a few strong storms can't be ruled out for the Monday morning commute.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/PIC 1-1728268099571.jpg"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/PIC 2-1728268107989.jpg">As the cold front passes the Great Lakes it may pick up on some moisture across the region and produce rainfall and storms starting in the afternoon through nightfall.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/FORECAST-1728268318059.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>As this cold front continues moving east, temperatures are expected to drop closer to, and in some cities slightly below, seasonable for many of us for the upcoming weekend. Notice Nashville, going from 90° today to 74° for the start of the work week!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/10/PIC 1-1728268355706.jpg"></p>

Fall Fronts Spark Hail and Wind Threat

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The risk of severe weather is back in the forecast again today and this time there will be a strong risk of tornadoes in the Lower Mississippi Valley.  Here is the very latest on today's severe weather outlook.
<h2>Severe Outlook</h2>
<img class="alignnone wp-image-89434 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/03/east1-2.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

A slight risk of severe weather is in the forecast today and this includes a large portion of Eastern Texas and Western Louisiana.  The slight risk goes all the way into southern Arkansas and western Mississippi as well.

Here is what a "Slight" Risk means.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-89435 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/03/east4-1.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

All of the severe weather threats will be possible today and this also includes the heavy rain and flooding threat.
<h2>Severe Risks</h2>
<h3>Tornado</h3>
<img class="alignnone wp-image-89436 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/03/7day4-2.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />
<h3>Large Hail
<img class="alignnone wp-image-89437 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/03/7day3-4.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" /></h3>
<h3>Damaging Winds
<img class="alignnone wp-image-89438 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/03/Capture-25.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" /></h3>
<h3>Flooding Potential</h3>
<img class="alignnone wp-image-89439 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/03/headlines-1.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

&nbsp;
<h2>Timing</h2>
The storms going on over Central Texas this morning will continue to move east throughout the morning and that is when we are anticipating strong to severe storms into East Texas.  Louisiana and Arkansas will have the higher storm chances for the early afternoon.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-89440 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/03/heavyrain1-1.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-89441 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/03/heavyrain2-1.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-89442 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/03/heavyrain3.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-89443 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/03/history.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

&nbsp;

Keep it tuned to <a href="https://www.facebook.com/WeatherNation/">WeatherNation</a> all morning and all afternoon for the very latest on today's severe weather risk.

&nbsp;

<a href="https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistPC/"><strong>Meteorologist Patrick Crawford</strong></a>

&nbsp;

Wednesday Severe Weather Update

Severe Outlook

Severe Risks

Tornado

Large Hail

Damaging Winds

Flooding Potential

Timing

Tropics: Leslie, Atlantic Waves, and Looking Ahead

While tropical activity in the Atlantic norma

Northern Lights Put On Dazzling Show Thursday Night

Thursday night will be a night many people wi

Never Ending Record-Heat for Phoenix

PHOENIX, AZ - Phoenix has currently undergone

Hurricane Milton Produces Numerous Large Tornadoes Across Florida

While Hurricane Milton was approaching Tampa

Milton Moves Toward Bermuda, Lingering Coastal Impacts in the Southeast

FLORIDA - Milton made landfall as a category

Fire Danger Continues Out West

BOISE, ID—The Valley Fire, a new fire east of

Fall Fronts Spark Hail and Wind Threat

Lingering isolated severe storms are possible