Cold Fronts Could Bring the Midwest More Severe Weather

Portions of the Midwest just wrapped up their rainiest April on record and the active pattern looks to continue to start the month of May. Several cold fronts are expected to take aim at the middle of the country this week after a brief warm up Sunday into Monday.

Those clashing fronts could tap into limited moisture to lead to a few severe storms on Sunday. By Monday, moisture is much more plentiful with a better chance for strong and severe storms.

Severe Storm Outlooks

Isolated severe storms are possible Sunday across Missouri and Illinois, though our forecast models like portions of Nebraska for isolated severe storms as well.

By Monday, the threat expands as showers become more widespread. Isolated to scattered severe storms are possible from eastern Kansas through Ohio.

Timing & Rainfall

A few passing showers will move across the Midwest late Saturday into Sunday morning. Severe storm potential looks to hold off until the late afternoon and evening hours on Sunday for the risk area (Missouri & Illinois), as well as in Central Nebraska. By Monday, scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected, with some storms reaching severe weather criteria by the afternoon hours. Some of these strong storms may persist overnight as the front continues to work its way south and east.

Pockets of 1-3 inches of rain are possible, meaning flash flooding is possible but not likely outside of the heaviest downpours.

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