<p style="margin: 0in; margin-bottom: .0001pt;"><span style="font-size: 13.5pt; color: #454545;">Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a></span></p>

Rob Bradley

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<p>While the Atlantic has been relatively quiet this season, the Eastern Pacific has been much more active, particularly in recent months. Early Saturday morning, <strong>Mario</strong> dissipated southwest of the Baja Peninsula, only to reemerge Sunday morning as a tropical storm. One other tropical wave has a low chance of developing over the next week.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-15 184318-1757983404971.png"></p><h1>Monitoring Mario</h1><p>Mario formed on Friday only to dissipate on Saturday before reorganizing into a tropical storm again on Sunday! Since Mario's circulation remained intact, despite a lack of storm activity, the system did not get a new name. The latest update has Mario moving over cooler waters.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/web1-1758045785854.png"></p><p>Mario is expected to drift WNW, eventually sending some of its moisture into Southern California by mid-to-late week, possibly leading to flooding. No direct impacts are expected from this system in the United States.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/web2-1758045849688.png"></p><p>Forecast models project that some of Mario's moisture may reach Southern California later this week.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/09-15_rsw mario-1757983442769.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Adrian Hernandez

Eastern Pacific: Mario Returns, Sends Moisture to California

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Kevin Schneider

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<p>We've got a low-pressure system out over the open waters, sitting on the warm Gulf Stream waters in the middle of September. Sounds like tropical mischief, right? While nothing is expected to gain tropical characteristics over the next day or so, we could still have mischief.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-15 091914-1757949628000.png">We spoke with Erik Heden, Warning Coordination Meteorologist at the NWS Newport-Morehead City Monday morning, about the wind, rain, and coastal flooding impacts of the latest low-pressure system to impact their region.</p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/U5nP1TmiWMg" start="0"></iframe></div><h1>Forecast Rainfall</h1><p>Arguably, the biggest impact of this low spinning onshore will be the rainfall, especially where it falls, with many of the highest totals concentrated in North Carolina and Virginia.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/web1-1758046170285.png"></p><p>An excessive rainfall outlook has been issued through Tuesday for rainfall totals upwards of 3-5" with localized maximums being even higher.</p><h1>Severe Outlook</h1><p>As some of these storms get rotated onshore, there is a possibility that one or two of them will start to spin. We see this often with lows that move from water to land. The added friction with the land can be all it takes. The Storm Prediction Center is watching an area from North Carolina to Virginia with a low-end tornado threat.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-16 095425-1758038081387.png"></p><h1>Forecast Winds</h1><p>It might not be "tropical," but the highest wind gusts could approach tropical-storm-force at times. It looks like it might not be the wind that causes a ton of problems, but the direction of the wind: coastal flooding and rip current risks could pose some dangerous problems at times. Coastal inundation is only expected to approach a foot or two in low-lying, susceptible areas of the coast but the rip current risk is high along the shorelines.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-16 095512-1758038124243.png"></p>

Coastal Low Spins Trouble Onshore

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<p style="text-align: start">We are now a week after the climatological peak of Atlantic Hurricane Season, so where is the activity? Several factors contribute to this season being extremely quiet so far. For one, it has been dry and stable with more wind shear around the Atlantic Basin. That has helped limit storm development off the coast of Africa. </p><p style="text-align: start"></p><p style="text-align: start">The National Hurricane Center is still watching a tropical wave in the central Atlantic, and they've now made it an area of investigation: <strong>Invest 92L</strong>. If this does not end up being named, this would be only the 2nd time (1992) since record-keeping began in 1950, with no Atlantic named storm activity between August 29 and September 16.</p><p style="text-align: start"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-16 070141-1758027713254.png">Forecast models have been released for Invest 92L, and currently, there is no direct hazard to land. Many of the spaghetti plots that take it out to sea sooner are stronger - if it were to remain weak, it could affect some islands, but it might not be a tropical storm at that point. </p><p style="text-align: start"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-16 070317-1758027808426.png">Meanwhile, in the next few days, a plume of Saharan dust will move around the tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic, reducing chances for thunderstorms to organize, but there is a potential for some slow development after the fact.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/saharan-1757891704693.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p style="text-align: start">There is another tropical wave that the NHC is also monitoring set to roll off of the west coast of Africa. Nothing is expected to develop in the next few days with the earliest timeline starting this weekend for that one</p><p style="text-align: start"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-16 070534-1758027959402.png">Do not let your guard down! September is historically the peak of hurricane season, and ocean conditions remain favorable for additional development. However, the NHC urges residents along the Atlantic basin to monitor updates closely.</p><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/W2bhqfX0B0A" start="0"></iframe></div><p>What is slightly concerning are the water temperatures in the Gulf. Right now, they are 1°C warmer than they usually are for this time of the year. That being said, it's been tough to get anything over those warm waters so far this season-let's hope that continues.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-13 051452-1757762098585.jpg">As always, preparedness is key. Whether or not this particular system develops into a named storm, it serves as a reminder that the Atlantic remains active and that the window for tropical threats is far from closed. Tune into WeatherNation TV for the latest updates.</p>

ATLANTIC: Another Wave Joins 92-L

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<p>The dry time has been a little hard to enjoy the last week or two in South Florida. While this is the rainy season, and we're making up for a slow start to it, you can still roll your eyes at what the extended forecasts have looked like recently. In fact, some spots in South Florida have already had their wettest start to September, including Miami.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-15 183827-1757983193872.png">On the other end of the spectrum, some northern Florida spots have really missed out, making it the driest start to September in areas such as Gainesville and Tallahassee.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-15 183835-1757983218895.png"></p><p>So why? Just because Florida likes to have the most fun? Well, actually, it's the front that's keeping the storms around. We could show a similar setup for most of the past week or two, with a slow-moving boundary in the area.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-14 171238-1757891565601.png"></p><p>That, along with a TON of moisture to work with, is attempting to catch up some drought-stricken areas of the Sunshine State. The Drought Monitor updated on Thursday and had some pretty sizeable improvements in South Florida.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/2025-09-11 09-39-57-1757605257541.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p><p>So while it might be easy to complain about beach plans constantly getting ruined, it has its benefits. Our biggest concern is the lightning threat associated with any Florida thunderstorm, but especially this time of year, with people outdoors. Anytime it rains this heavily, of course, the flash flooding threat will be there as well. Some areas could receive another 3-5 inches before the rain chances start to back off next week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-15 184044-1757983252166.png"></p>

Florida Rainfall: Nuisance or Beneficial?

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<p>Did you see them? Many might have had better things to do this weekend but if you were paying attention to Space Weather, you got a treat! NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center upped the expectation late last night, with some dazzling results.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1967422118729273403" src="https://x.com/NWSSWPC/status/1967422118729273403"></div><p>The problem for many in the plains was cloud-cover, with evening storms making it difficult to see the lights behind the lightning, but some were lucky to sneak between the clouds.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-15 092335-1757950156965.png">Granted, it might have been difficult to see with the naked eye. Many of the photos we've seen have mentioned a long exposure that was needed to see the fun. Either way, it's gorgeous if you can figure it out.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-15 092324-1757950271340.png">While it wasn't the most robust solar storm we've seen in the past 2 years, it was well worth it for some! We're not expecting another show, however.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-15 134825-1757965711698.png"></p><p></p>

Jackie Brown

Northern Lights Close Out the Weekend For Many

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<p>Grab the pumpkin spice and apple cider donuts, fall foliage is started to grace some areas across the United States, with more developing this week!<br><br>The latest forecast from <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.explorefall.com/fall-foliage-map">Explore Fall</a> (top of page) shows developing color across the Rockies, Cascades, High Sierra, and the Upper-Midwest, near the Canadian border, over the next seven days (September 8th - 14th). Recent wildfire activity in the Sierra may make color there a bit more muted or highly variable between patches of trees.<br><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-08 104753-1757350314424.png"></p><p>Color has already been showing some for areas in the map above (yellow areas), mostly in the Rockies and Cascades. In fact, we've seen the Bigtooth Maples change quite a bit in the Wasatch Mountains near Salt Lake City!</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1964055938010067402" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1964055938010067402"></div><p>The most 30 days prior to the appearance of fall color are the most important for vibrancy during the peak season, but drought conditions can also lead to more muted color or variable conditions. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-08 105237-1757350392233.png"></p><p>For great fall color, sunny days with cool, crisp nights are preferable. Though rain is welcome at times to keep the trees from drying out.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-08 105303-1757350398827.png"></p>

Fall Color Starting to Show In Parts of the Lower 48

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<p>A strong upper-level trough along with monsoonal moisture advecting northward continues to hone in on Western Colorado, SE Utah, and New Mexico. Both a flood threat and isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible. There are risks for excessive rainfall and flooding over the next few days. The risks are very isolated in the threat of flooding, but it is still something to pay attention to.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/09-14 rsc wpcs-1757878358375.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>The Storm Prediction Center has the risk for strong storms stretching from North Dakota to Texas, but here we will discuss the threat for the southern Plains and Texas.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/Screenshot 2025-09-14 133029-1757878277064.png"></p><p>The latest model data suggest that the heaviest rain will be focused over parts of West Texas and the Central Plains as the disturbance keeps moving east. With upper-level support, some thunderstorms may become organized with a severe threat. Straight-line damaging winds would be the main hazard through the weekend but a few tornadoes are possible.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/09/09-14 rsc-1757878300010.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Stay with WeatherNation for the latest updates.</p><p></p><p></p>

Alana Cameron

Severe Storms Look More Likely This Afternoon

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Patrick Crawford has always been a huge weather buff! He grew up in Plano, Texas, and it was there that he experienced what Mother Nature was capable of doing. He would always turn on the television to see what local meteorologists were saying about the weather. That's when he realized he wanted to be a meteorologist.

Patrick graduated from Northern Illinois University (’04) with a degree in Meteorology and a double minor in Mathematics and Geography. Broadcast Meteorology has been great to him and he has been able to work in television markets all across the country. Some of his stops have included New Orleans, Green Bay and even Yuma, Arizona. He is so excited to be part of the WeatherNation team.

He has been awarded the prestigious CBM (Certified Broadcast Meteorologist) weather seal from the American Meteorological Society.

Feel free to catch up with Patrick Crawford on his <a href="https://www.facebook.com/MeteorologistPC/">Facebook</a> and on <a href="https://twitter.com/MeteorologistPC">Twitter</a> pages.

Patrick Crawford

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Thanks to the Arctic cold front that has moved through the Great Lakes, extreme cold temperatures continue to build over many states Tuesday morning.  Factor in the blustery northwest winds and temperatures will feel up to 35° below zero.  The wind chill lets everyone know how cold it feels on the human body when outdoors.  This is definitely something to take very seriously. Here is the latest forecast.
<h1>Alerts</h1>
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Wind Chill Advisories are in place from North Dakota to the Upper Peninsula of Michigan for both Tuesday and Wednesday morning.  This means frostbite potential will be high for these areas and you will need to wear all the appropriate clothing to protect yourself.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-116047 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/12/jer-bear-4.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />
<h1>Wind Chill Forecast</h1>
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<img class="alignnone wp-image-116049 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/12/cape-hat-4.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

<img class="alignnone wp-image-116050 size-full" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2019/12/10pm-ct-4.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" />

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Based on our forecast cities like Minneapolis, Duluth and Green Bay could experience some of the more significant wind chill values.  Keep checking with WeatherNation for the very latest updates on the extreme cold.

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Dangerous Wind Chills for the Upper Midwest Tuesday and Wednesday

Alerts

Wind Chill Forecast

Eastern Pacific: Mario Returns, Sends Moisture to California

While the Atlantic has been relatively quiet

Coastal Low Spins Trouble Onshore

We've got a low-pressure system out over the

ATLANTIC: Another Wave Joins 92-L

We are now a week after the climatological pe

Florida Rainfall: Nuisance or Beneficial?

The dry time has been a little hard to enjoy

Northern Lights Close Out the Weekend For Many

Did you see them? Many might have had better

Fall Color Starting to Show In Parts of the Lower 48

Grab the pumpkin spice and apple cider donuts

Severe Storms Look More Likely This Afternoon

A strong upper-level trough along with monsoo