EARLIER - An observed tornado was spotted in the St. Louis area on Wednesday afternoon. According to the National Weather Service of St. Louis, this looked to be much weaker than the tornado that happened on May 16, 2025, where Mayor Spencer estimated $1 billion in damage occurred.

Outlook

The Storm Prediction Center has issued an extensive MARGINAL (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe storms spanning from Texas through Michigan through tonight along a long cold front.

Severe weather is likely anywhere along and ahead of this frontal boundary. It's where temperatures are warm (causing buoyancy) and moisture and instability is high.

Timing

Here's a look at the influence this front will have from the Ozarks to the Great Lakes. Now, during afternoon heating, the severe threat is the highest, but storms will continue along the boundary through tonight.

Across Texas, storms are likely to move through as well.

As this cold front moves through, some areas, especially Oklahoma and Missouri, can anticipate a LOT of rainfall. We have already seen numerous areas of flooding, and that threat will continue as this system moves east. The shades of red in our forecast models suggest upwards of 3-6" of rainfall.

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