Brittany Lockley

BrittanyLockleyjpeg-1679519515040.jpeg

A potentially dangerous situation is setting up over east Texas and Louisiana on Thursday. An area of low pressure that moved out of the Rockies through the middle of this week is now drawing up Gulf moisture into the Lone Star State. The humidity, heat, and frontal system will all work in tandem to produce severe thunderstorms. These storms will produce heavy rainfall and trail over the same areas until the weekend. The Weather Prediction Center [WPC] has issued a&nbsp;HIGH&nbsp;risk (level 4 out of 5) for flash flooding in eastern Texas and through Louisiana (see above). A moderate risk indicates that numerous flash floods are likely, with the probability of seeing rivers, creeks, and streams reaching significant levels.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/forecast-1715689094047.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The grounds are highly saturated in much of northeastern Texas and into Louisiana. This will make it even more likely for heightened flood concerns in these areas. Be sure to stay weather-aware and reschedule activities that take you away from home or to flood-prone areas on Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/Screenshot 2024-02-25 110543-1715690709436.jpg">The heaviest rain will be in areas recently impacted by flooding and evacuations just a few days ago. East Texas and central Louisiana could see over of 5" of rainfall from Wednesday through Friday which will greatly increase the flood threat over the saturated soils.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/Screenshot 2024-05-16 062457-1715862610916.png">As mentioned above, some storms will be severe with large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado or two possible. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a severe weather outlook with a level 3 out of 5 threat across much of central and east Texas on Thursday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-16 06-28-45-1715862587649.mkv" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Flash Flooding Expected Thursday in East Texas, Louisiana

Screenshot20240516062443png-1715862732694.png

Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

JackieBrownjpeg-1679518619427.jpeg

We have seen a very active day in the plains with multiple severe warned storms, and that threat will continue overnight. Damaging winds and large hail have been the primary threats today, with hail up to 1.75" reported for parts of Texas and Kansas. (above graphic) In Texas, we saw a gust of 79 mph in Sunray and a 78 mph gust in Plainview! Storms will continue through the overnight hours with these same threats possible.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/texas wind -1715822550651.png">Storms will push through Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, and Missouri through the overnight hours. It can be a wet and stormy morning commute for folks in these communities. The frontal boundary producing this weather will continue east, bringing a severe threat along with it into Thursday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/plains-1715821932625.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>One of the main threats overnight will be strong, gusty winds. We can see gusts up to 75+ mph for cities like Enid and Arkansas city. Make sure to move any items inside that will have the potential to blow away.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/overnight jh-1715822297664.png">On Thursday, the severe threat moves into the Ozarks with the threat of damaging wind and hail. Most showers and storms will hit the state early Thursday morning with just a few showers and storms later in the day.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-15 11-41-02-1715794906432.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Significant Wind & Tornado Threat in the Plains

hailreports2png-1715822395526.png

We have had severe storms move through the Carolinas today bringing gusty winds, hail, and even tornado warned storms. Lake City, South Carolina saw hailstones up to 1.50". Tonight, we have a marginal risk for a few severe storms with damaging winds and hail being the primary concern. The storms will continue to die down tonight as the system moves off-shore. Isolated storms will be possible through the evening hours.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/few storms leftr-1715823298407.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Any storms that develop may have a few heavy downpours but overall an isolated inch to a quarter of an inch of rain will be possible.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/rainfall totals -1715823424695.png">As we look ahead we will see a brief lull in any activity for the Carolinas on Thursday. We start to see things ramp up again as an area of low pressure moves through, bringing rain and storms for your Friday and Saturday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/fri sat-1715823436635.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/religh duram-1715823529687.png">

Isolated Storm Threat In Carolinas

hailreportscaorinapng-1715822981905.png

<div dir="ltr">
<div dir="ltr">
<div dir="ltr">
<div dir="ltr">
<div>
<div dir="ltr">
<div>Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Colorado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>

Lucy Bergemann

Untitleddesign4png-1682539884658.png

Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season begins today, May 15th and we already have an area of interest in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. Right now there is a Medium chance of development over the next 7 days as it moves north/northwest paralleling the Mexico coastline. If this becomes strong enough to be a tropical storm (winds 39+ mph) then the first name on the list is Aletta.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/medium-1715807073898.jpg">Eastern Pacific Hurricane season has two peaks, one in early August and another in mid-September. This year we will be transitioning into a La Nina pattern which typically spells below-average hurricane activity in the eastern Pacific. This follows the busy 2023 Hurricane Season that brought Hurricane Otis, a category 5 storm that hit Acapulco, and Hurricane Hilary into the Southwest U.S. along with Hurricane Dora which contributed to strong winds and deadly wildfires on the Hawaiian Island of Maui.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/e pac chart-1715795559710.jpg">Meanwhile, there is no tropical development in the Atlantic, which is not uncommon for May. Atlantic Hurricane season starts on May 1 and runs through November 30th. The peak of Atlantic Hurricane season is early September when the waters are at their warmest and there are typically waves of energy off the coast of Africa that can develop into tropical systems.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/tropical outlook-1715795559713.jpg">This year is expected to be an above-average hurricane season in the Atlantic due to a transition to La Nina conditions. La Nina results in lowered wind shear (turning of wind with height) over the Atlantic reducing the amount that upper-level winds can tear apart hurricanes. Still, it only takes one hurricane to impact you and we highly recommend preparing ahead of time.

Hurricane Season Starts in the Eastern Pacific

Dr_DudeMonitor_2jpg-1715796877289.jpeg

A low-pressure system sliding out of Texas will arrive in the Central Gulf on Friday with the potential for severe weather and flash flooding. There is a SLIGHT risk of severe weather - a level 2 out of 5 - through much of Mississippi, Louisiana, and western Alabama to account for strong storms early Friday morning and additional storm development through the afternoon and evening hours. Our morning storms will be south of I-20 and look to be tornadic in nature with heavy rain north of the interstate. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-15 07-35-16-1715780200828.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>We will see all modes of severe weather possible and there is the potential for "significant' severe weather through the lower Mississippi Delta, meaning EF-2 or stronger tornadoes or wind gusts over 75 mph. A significant threat also accounts for 2" or larger hail but that looks less likely. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/sig severe-1715780438623.jpg">With so much rain falling into Mississippi and Alabama on Friday, another MODERATE risk for Excessive Rainfall was issued to end the week. Upwards of 4" of rainfall could fall in areas already saturated by heavy rain this week, elevating the flood threat. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/WPC Day 3 ERO-1715775990741.png">

More Heavy Rain Friday for the Soaked Gulf Coast

rainfallgulfjpg-1715780516365.jpeg

Kevin Schneider

A021DDE71AA34C50BB5468289EA6B1D7jpeg-1699372868991.jpeg

Severe storms have been working through the Sunshine State for the better part of the last 2 days. These have been primarily wind producers, with some sporadic 60-65 mph gusts being clocked. They were high enough to knock out power around the Daytona Beach area in the early morning hours of Wednesday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/VON_051524_RSE_APOPKA,FL_JUST OUTSIDE OF ORLANDO LOOKING NORTH AT BIG AM STORMS IN CENTRAL FLORIDA_TW_@AVGEEKFINSO_DO_E051524-1715775422402.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The Storm Prediction Center has maintained northern Florida and southern Georgia under a SLIGHT (level 2 out of 5) risk for severe storms Wednesday. Our forecast models have the strongest storms pushing through these spots by the evening.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/SPC Day 1 FL Wed-1715775326889.png">Storms will last into the afternoon, targeting the Orlando and Tampa areas. All modes of severe weather will be on the table, including a few quick spin-ups later today. The storm threat continues into South Florida on Thursday with a marginal risk in store for much of the southern part of the state. Be prepared for gusty winds and an isolated tornado. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/cold front 2-1715737311335.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Since storms have been lingering in the same areas for extended periods, flash flooding will be a concern, even as we move into the afternoon and evening.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/FL Rain forecast-1715775277185.png">

Another Dose of Severe Storms in Florida

VON_051424_RSE_TREASUREISLANDFL_STORMSROCKININTHETAMPAREGIONTUESDAYAFTERNOON_CITYOFTREASUREISLAND_DO_E051524ezgifcomvideotogifconvertergif-1715775617594.gif

Wildfire smoke from Canada reached down and over parts of the Northern U.S. Plains thanks to northwesterly flow. A series of upper-level low-pressure systems will keep smoke in our skies over the next few days. As a result, moderate to unhealthy air quality conditions are anticipated. If you are sensitive to smoke or have underlying health conditions, please stay indoors and consider wearing a mask (like an N-95) to protect yourself from the particulates.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/05-14_fire smoke-1715741392551.png">Smoke stays stagnant through Iowa, Nebraska, the Dakotas, and Minnesota through Thursday. A few showers may temporarily relieve smoky air conditions, but expect to see haze in the skies. The smoke isn't nearly as thick as earlier in the week in the High Plains, thankfully, but it still could cause impacts to those who are sensitive.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/05-14_hrrr smoek-1715741442069.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Most of the wildfire smoke comes from British Columbia and Canada's Northwest Territories. These are the same provinces and territories that had an active fire season in May and June of 2023. Multiple <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.emergencyinfobc.gov.bc.ca/">evacuation orders</a> are in effect for communities in British Columbia as fires advance. Canadian wildfire season runs from May through September with the most active months in June and July. This year we have already seen over half a million acres burned. 42 fires are burning "out of control" meaning there is no containment.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/smokes stats-1715715385960.jpg">2023 was one of the most active seasons on record with thick smoke pouring into the northern U.S. and turning the skies over NYC, Boston, and Philadelphia an eerie orange. Thankfully we aren't seeing that widespread fire activity in Canada to constitute thick smoke to impact air quality to the same level.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1658540316197019660" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1658540316197019660"></div>

Alana Cameron

Wildfire Smoke Spreads into the Northern U.S.

VON_051124_INTL_FORTNELSONCANADA_YELLOWSMOKYSKIESASEVACUATIONORDERISSUEDFORWILDFIRESINBRITISHCOLUMBIA_SF_CHEYENNEBARREAULT_NC_E051324mp4_snapshot_0020241jpg-1715607208540.jpeg

Caitlin Connell

CaitlinConnelljpg-1715689358218.jpeg

Additional snowfall is expected in the southern Sierra Nevada and throughout the mountains of Southern California. Some lucky mountain tops could pile on an additional 1-2' of snow by Wednesday night. This sight out of Soda Springs, along Donner Pass, is one that most places in the Sierra look similar to.Related Article - <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/major-flood-event-expected-in-california">Flash Flooding in Southern California</a><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1754701459013198248" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1754701459013198248"></div>Many mountain peaks in the central and northern Sierra have already seen 2-3' of snow! Mammoth and June Mountain have seen over 3' of snow, so far.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/02/snow reports-1707304299379.png">Snow reports coming out of Southern California are starting to pile up! Mountain High in Wrightwood reported 2.5' of snow and Mount Baldy has seen 2', so far!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/02/snow reports-1707304333197.png">Hopefully, the snowbirds of Southern California are excited to see some fresh snow at ski resorts like Mountain High and Bear Mountain.

Heavy Snow in the California Mountains

Flash Flooding Expected Thursday in East Texas, Louisiana

A potentially dangerous situation is setting

Significant Wind & Tornado Threat in the Plains

We have seen a very active day in the plains

Isolated Storm Threat In Carolinas

We have had severe storms move through the Ca

Hurricane Season Starts in the Eastern Pacific

Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season begins today

More Heavy Rain Friday for the Soaked Gulf Coast

A low-pressure system sliding out of Texas wi

Another Dose of Severe Storms in Florida

Severe storms have been working through the S

Wildfire Smoke Spreads into the Northern U.S.

Wildfire smoke from Canada reached down and o