Hurricane Season Forecast Downgraded

news image
Special Stories
2 Aug 2018 10:48 AM
On Thursday, August 2, Colorado State University released another update to the Atlantic hurricane season outlook. The latest forecast suggest the season will be even less active than originally thought. https://youtu.be/dV-7kqosaZw The updated outlook now factors in atmospheric and environmental conditions that would point to a less active season compared to normal. The release states that the sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean remain cooler than normal, and the increasing likelihood of the development of an El Nino pattern would both lead to a below average season. The forecast now calls for a total of 12 named storms, 5 of which would become hurricanes. Within the 5 hurricanes, CSU expects just 1 would be a "major" hurricane (category 3 or higher). This is lower than the original outlook (issued April 5) with an expected 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.   (Above) August 2 forecast from Colorado State University on the Atlantic Hurricane Season. Full outlook: https://tropical.colostate.edu/media/sites/111/2018/08/2018-08.pdf   So far this season, there have already been 3 named storms and 2 hurricanes. The forecast number include what has already occurred.   Colorado State University's department of Atmospheric Sciences is one of the leading seasonal forecast entities in tropical outlooks. The release continues to drive the point home that regardless of the forecast, "as is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted."   NOAA is expected to release their updated outlook on Thursday, August 9, to make any amends to their early season forecast.
All Weather News
More
Severe Weather Potential Increases This Weekend

Severe Weather Potential Increases This Weekend

A highly amplified jet stream is set to move

15 Feb 2025 4:00 AM
Northeast Braces for Second Storm This Week

Northeast Braces for Second Storm This Week

The Northeast continues to remain active thro

15 Feb 2025 3:55 AM
Dangerous Cold Returning to Much of the Country Next Week

Dangerous Cold Returning to Much of the Country Next Week

While we've been watching some serious cold t

15 Feb 2025 3:30 AM
Colorado Rockies Snow Continues Through Monday

Colorado Rockies Snow Continues Through Monday

A strong upper low coming out of California i

15 Feb 2025 3:20 AM
Storm Unloads Rain and Snow in California, Clearing for the Weekend

Storm Unloads Rain and Snow in California, Clearing for the Weekend

Heavy rain caused several issues in Californi

14 Feb 2025 9:35 PM
Tornadoes Hit the South, Risk Lessens Thursday

Tornadoes Hit the South, Risk Lessens Thursday

At least two tornadoes were confirmed from We

13 Feb 2025 7:50 PM
Heavy Snow Tapering for the Plains, Staying for the Great Lakes

Heavy Snow Tapering for the Plains, Staying for the Great Lakes

A Colorado Low is working across the Plains b

13 Feb 2025 3:20 AM