Heavy Rain and a Flood Risk for New Mexico and Texas

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31 Aug 2025 2:35 AM

As an upper-level high weakens and pivots south, moisture at the surface and stronger upper-level energy will combine to bring the threat of heavy thunderstorms back to New Mexico and West Texas.

Timing

Daily rounds of thunderstorm complexes are expected to persist through the weekend. The consistent storms will also bring a risk for flash flooding.

The best time for storms will be during diurnal heating in the afternoons, but because a significant amount of moisture is in place, some morning and overnight storms will also be possible. The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has issued multiple Excessive Rainfall Outlooks, warning of flooding threats over several days.

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