Kevin Schneider

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Temperatures have been hot in the south-central U.S., especially in Texas, where record highs have been set over the last few days. Thunderstorms look at hot and humid conditions as fuel. The system currently over the Four Corners will move into west Texas. Storms are expected to erupt in the evening and could gradually intensify. <video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/2025-11-19 05-55-13-1763556942227.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The Storm Prediction Center has issued a MARGINAL (level 1 out of 5) risk for severe storms on Wednesday in portions of West Texas and into the Red River Valley of Oklahoma. The primary concern is large hail, but a few damaging wind gusts can't be ruled out at this point.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-19 053122-1763555511350.png">There are a few things that might hinder the severity of these storms. Questionable timing on the storms could keep them from reaching their full potential. Since storms could hold off until after sunset, the window to tap into the unstable air that builds up during the day could be narrow. One ingredient we know we have plenty of is moisture.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/we3b1-1763557227128.png">The Weather Prediction Center has also issued excessive rainfall outlooks starting Wednesday and continuing through the end of the week. The most concern for flash flooding will be on Thursday, when the second big push of widespread storms will move through.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web1-1763557259491.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-19 053927-1763556184484.png">But will that second batch of storms be severe? That's a bit up in the air still. Since storms will likely survive overnight, it will depend on how strong those are. If they are strong in the morning, an afternoon severe threat will be limited. We'll have the latest updates on this developing situation at :30 past the hour in your Central Regional Forecast!

Active Pattern Developing Across the Central U.S. This Week

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Rob grew up in South Florida, where daily afternoon storms and hurricanes piqued his interest in meteorology early on. That interest was fostered by his teachers and his father, who one time brought him onto the roof of their home to watch a funnel cloud move through the Everglades several miles away. Years of filmmaking and tv production in high school gradually pushed him toward broadcast meteorology at Florida State University, where he joined and eventually led the student run daily weather show. After graduating with a Bachelors of Science in Meteorology, he began his career at KESQ in Palm Springs, California before heading to KFSN in Fresno and WLOS in Asheville, North Carolina. He has covered a diverse array of extreme weather events, including haboobs and flash flooding in the desert, extreme snow in the Sierra, hurricanes, and Appalachian ice storms. He also enjoys telling stories and reporting about weather issues.

Connect with Rob on <a href="https://twitter.com/WxRobBradley">Twitter</a>

Rob Bradley

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Cut-off low pressure has been slowly moving onshore from the Pacific in California, sending rounds of showers and thunderstorms into the Four Corners and Great Basin. This has led to up to 3-5 inches of rain in portions of Arizona, producing flash flooding issues. Large hail, up to the size of quarters, was also reported around the Phoenix metro area on Tuesday. This system will continue to produce heavy downpours and mountain snow as it slowly moves east to end the week, before another system fires up a new round of storms.<h2>Flooding</h2>Flood watches remain in effect into Thursday morning for a few counties in Central Arizona. Interstates could be impacted, especially I-17 but I-40 and I-10 could see impacts as well.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-19 062024-1763558620951.png">As another system brings moisture back to the region to end the week, additional flooding (as well as thunderstorms and snow) will be expected.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-19 062406-1763558749439.png">The Weather Prediction Center is highlighting isolated flash flooding threats through the end of the week. Additional outlooks may be needed for Saturday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/2025-11-19 06-24-47-1763558802880.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Forecast</h2>Scattered heavy downpours will continue to shift slowly east on Wednesday, with heavy rain sticking around AZ and UT for much of the day. Wednesday night into Thursday will see the heaviest precipitation shifting into NM and CO as the low heads into the Great Plains. Rain will stack along the Front Range of Colorado Thursday into Friday, with heavy mountain snow expected. See below for the snow-focused forecast.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/2025-11-19 06-24-17-1763558784429.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The next round of rain arrives in Arizona by Friday, with isolated flooding possible. Rain totals through Saturday could easily top an inch or two in many locations, sometimes coming down very quickly.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-19 061718-1763558758359.png"><h2>Snow</h2>The mountains around the Four Corners can expect a healthy round of snow with the back-to-back lows through the end of the week. 6-12 inches or more can be expected on the highest summits. The snow has prompted winter weather advisories for portions of UT, CO, and NM.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-19 062319-1763558822866.png">Will Denver record their first snow of the season with this system? It looks too warm for the Front Range, but it can't be completely ruled out. At least the mountains (which had been off to a record dry start to the season) will get a healthy dose, so expect slow travel on I-70 at times.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-19 064000-1763559608078.png">

Four Corners Expecting More Flooding Rain, Mountain Snow

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

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Another November day in the south and another day of more record warmth! The high-pressure system bringing the record temperatures is sliding east and records across Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Missouri! Texarkana, Arkansas, saw a record high of 86°, beating out the previous record of 83°.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-19 090555-1763568363673.png"><h1>Southern Plains</h1>Although Texas is no stranger to heat, temperatures are still feeling more like summer, with some locales reaching high temperatures 15-20°+ above average! There will be a shift in the pattern, as some cities, including Oklahoma City, will see the temperatures drop to the 60s on Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-18 133519-1763498142095.png"><h1>Southeast</h1>As the ridge migrates further east later this week, places like Tennessee and North Carolina will get a bump to their afternoon highs. While it might not be reaching dangerous levels, it's hard to remember to make Thanksgiving travel plans when it's this warm!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-18 133533-1763498150489.png">For more information on the central heat, tune into your central regional forecast at :30 past the hour on WeatherNation.

Record Heat Continues This Week

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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Intense rain and wind began impacting California again on Thursday and continued throughout the weekend as a strong Pacific trough began moving inland. Flooding reports and landslides have been reported across the entire state over the last few days after some places received more than six inches of rain!A few flood watches remain in effect through Wednesday morning.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web1-1763552958508.png">Another round of moisture will move in from the Pacific Northwest through Southern California late this week.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/2025-11-19 04-49-50-1763553013751.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The higher elevations will get additional snow with more rain accumulations for the lower elevations.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web2-1763553048105.png">The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) already has a marginal (level 1 out of 4) threat for Southern California to see heavy rainfall and flooding Thursday through Friday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web1-1763553074639.png">You can also watch the regional forecast on demand with the WeatherNation app!

Adrian Hernandez

More Moisture for the West

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It is that time of year again—when millions of Americans hit the road or the skies to connect with friends and family. AAA is expecting a record number of travelers this year, a number surpassing a record-breaking 2024! Most travelers will hit the road vs flying.<div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/o78PUXSJCJU" start="0"></iframe></div><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-17 104347-1763401813998.png">With millions hitting the roads, traffic will be hard to avoid, no matter where you are heading. However, there will be some better times to do your traveling. AAA suggests starting the journey early but with a reasonable night of sleep the night prior.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-17 105052-1763401888415.png">With so many traveling over the holidays, there are some favored destinations. Other than New York City, the other 9 top destinations favor warm weather in late November.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-17 110215-1763402544204.png">How does this compare to previous years? With more than 6 million people expected to fly, that's a 2% increase compared to last year, but it's a more than 10% jump compared to pre-pandemic levels!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-17 105653-1763402231681.png">

A Record Breaking Thanksgiving Travel Week Expected

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OHIO RIVER VALLEY - We have had multiple reports of hail across Illinois and Indiana.(above) Bellair, IL, saw 2.50" hail as of Tuesday afternoon. The severe threat remains in place through this Wednesday morning.<h2>Ohio Valley</h2>The SPC has maintained a SLIGHT risk for severe weather along the same warm front across parts of Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, and Tennessee. Most storms should be hail-producers, but an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-18 193324-1763519649318.png">Storms will continue to ride along a low-pressure system through Wednesday morning. Make sure to have multiple ways to get alerts. There may be pockets of heavy rain as this system moves through as well.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/11-18_rne bams18z-1763519656524.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Here's a look at forecast accumulation through Wednesday morning. Most folks will see around a quarter of an inch to an inch of rain. There will be some localised heavy rain of multiple inches possible across portions of Indiana and Ohio.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot 2025-11-18 193433-1763519680369.png">For more on this story, join us on WeatherNation for the latest!

Alana Cameron

Hail Storms Moving Through the Ohio Valley

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<h1>OVERNIGHT</h1>Winter weather alerts remain in place for heavy snow in northern Maine, mixed snow and ice from northern New York through New Hampshire, and even lake effect snow warnings for western Pennsylvania. These alerts will remain in place through Monday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web1-1763375387255.png">Snow will be possible overnight and into Monday, with a few lake-effect bands possible. Things will be mostly clear by Monday night.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/2025-11-17 03-31-32-1763375514809.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>An additional 3"- 6" will be possible before this system exits. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/11/Web1-1763375556883.png">Another system will follow in the footsteps of this one, closer to the middle of the week. Keep up with your East regional forecast as we inch closer to then.

Weekend System Brings Snow, Ice, & Storms to the Northeast

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NOAA's September Outlook - Warmth and Wetter: The new 30 day outlook has been <a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">issued for September</a> from NOAA's <a href="http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Climate Prediction Center</a>. More than half of the country is expected to see warmer than average weather, including the Northeast, the southern tier of the nation, and the West. Temperatures are expected to be near averages from the Mid Atlantic to the Northern Plains.

https://twitter.com/NWSCPC/status/1030074008543408129

Wetter than normal weather is expected along the East Coast and in the Southwest. Drier than average precipitation is forecast for the Gulf Coast and in the Pacific Northwest.

El Nino is expected to develop later this year, as shown in the <a href="http://bit.ly/2Mrs0ge" target="_blank" rel="noopener">autumn outlook</a> released on Thursday, but it is not a factor at this time. Current atmospheric trends and model guidance were the main influences on the September outlook.

For <a href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/">WeatherNation</a>: Meteorologist Mace Michaels

&nbsp;

NOAA's September Outlook - Warmth and Wetter

Active Pattern Developing Across the Central U.S. This Week

Temperatures have been hot in the south-centr

Four Corners Expecting More Flooding Rain, Mountain Snow

Cut-off low pressure has been slowly moving o

Record Heat Continues This Week

Another November day in the south and another

More Moisture for the West

Intense rain and wind began impacting Califor

A Record Breaking Thanksgiving Travel Week Expected

It is that time of year again—when millions o

Hail Storms Moving Through the Ohio Valley

OHIO RIVER VALLEY - We have had multiple repo

Weekend System Brings Snow, Ice, & Storms to the Northeast

OVERNIGHTWinter weather alerts remain in plac