Adrian Hernandez

Adriannewnewjpeg-1774471713694.jpeg

For the first time in a long time, we've got an area of tropical development to watch in the Atlantic basin. Specifically, in the Gulf. These always catch our eye, as any system that forms in the Gulf has a high chance of making impact to land.With regards to timing, the National Hurricane Center forecasts this tropical system forming later this workweek. Heavy rain and flooding will be possible along the gulf coast states, but this system will be battling wind shear which may limit it's development. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/tiroucsss-1791235524260.png">The GFS American model, has this system forming as early as Tuesday. You can tell by the tightening of the isobars closer to the Yucatan Peninsula. The EURO European model also shows some formation. However, the GFS is a little more generous on intensity at this point in time.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/tuesssss-1791235663157.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>With regards to land impacts, the exact track of this potential system and it's intensity, it's far to early to tell. However, regardless of these details, we can expect heavy rain along some of these Gulf Coast states headed into the weekend!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 070619-1791205656134.png">Stay tuned to the forecast here on WeatherNation. We'll bring you the details you need, and cut out all the hype.

Jackie Brown

Eyes on the Gulf for Potential Tropical Development

6090png-1791235490321.png

Kevin Schneider

A021DDE71AA34C50BB5468289EA6B1D7jpeg-1699372868991.jpeg

Deep tropical moisture streaming north from the Gulf is combining with a slow moving front, setting the stage for widespread showers and thunderstorms along the Gulf Coast. Heavy rainfall that leads to flash flooding will be possible over the next few days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 143025-1791232235697.png"><h1>Timing</h1>After all the heavy rain throughout the Southeast over the weekend, more heavy rain will continue as a frontal boundary lingers. As this front moves south, heavy rain will also shift<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/cold fronts-1791235419025.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Some localized totals of 5-6 inches of rain will be possible. Watch out for localized flash flooding and ponding on the roads in the usual spots.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 143532-1791232557498.png">The long-term forecast keeps the Gulf Coast very soggy into the middle of October. At least the temperatures are cooling off behind these fronts heading into the month of October. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-03 070128-1791032535237.png">Stay tuned to WeatherNation TV for additional details.

Heavy Rain and Flood Threat Along For The Gulf Coast

Screenshot20261005063434jpg-1791204421561.jpeg

Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

TabanSharifijpeg-1679519287847.jpeg

An area of high pressure will remain locked out west, and this means we see the potential for record highs this week! Los Angeles broke a record high today reaching 104°, beating out the previous record. Multiple records will continue to be challenged as this ridge of high pressure brings the heat! <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 113208-1791221531693.png">Heat alerts remain in place over the next few days as temperatures will run 10-20 degrees above average for some!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 113220-1791221548654.png">Check out temperatures in Los Angeles! The average high is normally 75°, but temperatures will flirt with the century mark even in the next few days. Temperatures will remain in the upper 90s for Las Vegas and Phoenix. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 113239-1791221563558.png">Los Angeles has had such a hot stretch over the last several months. So much so that the time frame of June 1 through October 4 is the hottest stretch of all time for Downtown Los Angeles. The average maximum high temperature was 86.3°. The previous record was 85.9° from 1981.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 113339-1791221623399.png">The NW will also be threatening record high temperatures. Spokane and Missoula normally see temps in the 60s this time of year but will be in the upper 70s to around 80.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 113429-1791221674940.png">There is an Elevated risk for fire danger through tonight across portions of the northwest.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 113455-1791221719970.png">Tune in to WeatherNation for the latest on this forecast and records that break throughout the days to come.

Record Heat Returns to the West

recordhightemperrpng-1791235192537.png

WeatherNation Meteorologists

headshotspng-1676305264677.png

<h1>Pacific Basin</h1>The Pacific Ocean has been incredibly active so far this hurricane season, with no signs of slowing down. Nolo is now Typhon Nolo. Hurricane Rachel is still churning, and a new area of interest is likely to develop this week.<h2>Rachel</h2>Rachel continues to impact the western Mexico coastline non-directly, it will continue its trek west through the week. At times, this storm will run into some wind shear and weaken somewhat.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/hurricane reachell-1791237130448.png">The current forecast brings this storm out across open waters while decreasing in intensity in the coming days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 113753-1791221877503.png">There is another area of potential interest we are watching in the Eastern Pacific. This is a high chance of development in the next 7 days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 113828-1791221913455.png"><h1>El Nino Fueling Pacific Activity</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-04 082933-1791124216732.png">The surge in tropical activity comes as El Nino continues to strengthen across the equatorial Pacific. El Nino is characterized by warmer-than-average ocean temperatures across portions of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. Those unusually warm waters can influence weather patterns around the globe while also creating an environment that can favor tropical cyclone activity in the Pacific.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/09/Screenshot 2026-09-28 194202-1790646127358.png">This year’s El Nino has already strengthened considerably, and forecasts indicate it could become exceptionally strong later this year.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/09/Screenshot 2026-09-12 063433-1789216512410.png">

Tropical Update: EPAC Remains Active

Screenshot20261005113717png-1791221839352.png

A noticeable change in the weather is on the way for millions across the Great Lakes and Northeast as some of the coldest air since spring moves into the region.&nbsp;After an unusually warm start to October, a push of Canadian air will send temperatures tumbling over the next several days. The transition could eventually bring the season’s first widespread frost and freeze to portions of the northern United States.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-03 073235-1791034366761.png">Check out how cold the temperatures will be for the Northeast early next week. This cold air could kill temperature sensitive vegetation.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-05 063050-1791203461967.jpg">The cooldown marks a dramatic change following the recent stretch of unseasonably warm weather across the eastern United States.&nbsp;October is typically when the first freeze becomes increasingly common across the Midwest and Northeast, although the exact timing varies considerably depending on elevation and location.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/Screenshot 2026-10-03 073713-1791034643040.png">For many across the Great Lakes and Northeast, the upcoming cold snap could provide the clearest sign yet that the warm days of early fall are beginning to fade.&nbsp;Stay Tuned for more details in the Eastern Regional forecast on WeatherNation TV :10 past the hour.

Fall Temperatures for the Northeast

Screenshot20261003073212png-1791034334361.png

Tracey Anthony

Tracey2jpeg-1737574224773.jpeg

<h2></h2><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2105658995948281901" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2105658995948281901"></div><h2>WHAT TO EXPECT</h2>Tropical moisture from the remnants of Polo and the Gulf have surged north and met a frontal boundary. This has equaled a formula of very heavy rainfall. Flood alerts are in place through Thursday across portions of the plains and Midwest. The soils for this part of the country are already very saturated for many. This means adding more rainfall can lead to flooding of rivers, creeks, and streams, and flash flooding is not out of the question.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/PIC 4-1790897782083.png"><h2>TIMING</h2>Rounds of heavy rain will continue on and off. Isolated areas of flooding will be possible. Friday, this low will move east, and we will see drier conditions by the end of the week.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/FORECAST-1790897919777.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>TOTALS</h2>Folks can expect very heavy rainfall, with most seeing around 2"- 4". Some localized areas of a half foot will be possible! Never try to drive through floodwaters, and make sure to take any flood alerts and warnings seriously. If you live in an area prone to flooding, make sure to have an action plan in place if flooding develops! <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/10/PIC 5-1790897796211.png"> Make sure to tune into WeatherNation for the latest forecast!

Patrick Crawford

Plains & Midwest: Slow Moving Storms Increase Flood Threat

Screenshot20260922094233png-1790861273249.png

In the last month, the southwestern states of New Mexico and Arizona have seen their fair share of monsoon showers and storms.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2103622200872079365" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2103622200872079365"></div>This week, tropical moisture is pushing across the Southwest and plains. This tropical moisture, from Hurricane Polo, will bring the potential for significant flooding across the region.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/09/poloooo-1790728785495.png">The flooding has already been seen across the Southwest, including Nevada.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="2104753032432910655" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/2104753032432910655"></div>A major push of this moisture will continue to move through.. Several more inches on top of what has already come down are expected. This can quickly lead to flash flooding and debris flows, especially over burn scars. The heaviest of the activity, now expected in Colorado and the Central Plains.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/09/Screenshot 2026-09-30 054240-1790768613194.png">The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has a moderate (level 3 out of 4) flooding threat in place for portions of Colorado and New Mexico. The flooding threat will taper off by late-week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/09/overnighssss-1790820790763.png">Make sure to tune into Weathernation for the latest updates on the forecast.

Another Round of Flooding Possible for the Southwest

throughthursdayyypng-1790793026439.png

Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

Jesse Kelley

JesseKelleyjpeg-1679519197409.jpeg

A trough is bringing a wave of moisture and energy into parts of the Pacific Northwest and the Northern Rockies over the next few days. As this occluded low-pressure system pushes into the Northern Great Plains by the middle of the workweek, we start to see more storm chances form along the frontal boundary.Related article: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/strong-storms-in-the-central-us">Storm Threat Reaches the Great Lakes</a><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/08/Baron 2-1724895486742.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>This led to a slight and enhanced risk (up to level 3 out of 5) issued from the Storm Prediction Center in the Dakotas. The main concerns with tonight's storms are strong wind gusts and large hailstones. A few isolated tornadoes will be possible too.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/08/1-1724895221672.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/08/1-1724895294796.png">Another marginal to slight risk (level 2 out of 5) is issued in the Midwest on Thursday as some of the instability necessary for strong storms slowly moves east. It reaches from northern Minnesota, into Iowa, Nebraska, and through northern Kansas. As this is a multi-day severe threat, make sure severe weather fatigue doesn't get the best of you. Have multiple ways to get weather alerts and stay weather aware moving forward.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/08/thursday outlook minny-1724851883988.png">Thanks to this system, and the strange set-up we have, temperatures will be jumping all over the place over the next three days. Be prepared for a little bit of weather whiplash as high temperatures can swing between a 10-15° difference with each afternoon.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/08/1-1724895370936.png">Stay with WeatherNation for more on this forecast.

Wednesday Severe Threat in the Northern Plains

Eyes on the Gulf for Potential Tropical Development

For the first time in a long time, we've got

Heavy Rain and Flood Threat Along For The Gulf Coast

Deep tropical moisture streaming north from t

Record Heat Returns to the West

An area of high pressure will remain locked o

Tropical Update: EPAC Remains Active

Pacific BasinThe Pacific Ocean has been incre

Fall Temperatures for the Northeast

A noticeable change in the weather is on the

Plains & Midwest: Slow Moving Storms Increase Flood Threat

WHAT TO EXPECTTropical moisture from the remn

Another Round of Flooding Possible for the Southwest

In the last month, the southwestern states of