4th of July 4Cast; Extreme Florida Flooding
Thursday, July 4th, 2013
Happy 4th of July! Whether you’re enjoying time with family, friends and just hanging out… thanks for checking in! Weather conditions across the nation, for the most part, look fairly decent. There is one caveat, though, as heavy rain and thunder are expected to make for a not-so-nice 4th from the Gulf Coast of the Florida Panhandle to the Ohio Valley and Eastern Great Lakes.
Do you have plans to catch any fireworks displays this evening? The image below shows where some of the best/worst viewing will take place tonight.
A stubborn upper level low pressure system over the Middle Mississippi Valley and a stationary Bermuda High are working in tandem to draw in copious amounts of tropical moisture across parts of the Southeast.
4th Rainfall Potential
According to NOAA’s HPC rainfall forecast for today, there could be 1″ to 3″ of rainfall possible in that narrow swath mentioned above. This is on top of an already saturated ground, so additional flooding certainly can’t be ruled out! Also note a few spotty areas of rainfall accumulation in the west, where isolated (monsoonal) thunderstorms will blossom during the afternoon/evening hours.
4th 4Cast High Temps
Here’s a look at some appropriately named cities and their forecast high temps for the day today.
As many people plan their day ahead, keep in mind that some of the heat out there may be a little excessive. The National Weather Service has issued HEAT ADVISORIES and EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS for a few locations today.
Heat Safety Tips
Just a reminder… Here are some heat safety tips as you enjoy your 4th of July!
Significant Southeast Rainfall
We’ve already received several reports of flooding in the Southeast thanks to all the recent heavy rain, but there’s more on the way! Thanks to Whitney Day Fowle for the flooding picture below out of Bonifay, FL
Past 7 Day Rainfall
According to NWS radar rain estimates, some spots have see 5″ to 8″+ rainfall over the past 7 days. Keep in mind that the ground is already saturated in many spots, so additional heavy rainfall could lead to more flash flooding!
Additional Heavy Rainfall
According to NOAA’s HPC 5 day rainfall forecast, there could be an additional 3″ to 6″ (Isolated 6″ to 12″+) of rainfall through early next week. Flooding could be a serious concern over the next few days. Keep that in mind if you’re traveling for the long holiday weekend, especially if you come to flooded roadways/etc. Monsoon thunderstorm could also bring flash flooding concerns to parts of the Southwest over the coming days.
2ft. Hail Drifts?
Thanks to the Santa Rosa Fire Department Facebook page for the image below, where hail accumulated to 2ft. Wednesday! It almost looks like snow doesn’t it?!? YIKES!! I don’t even want to think about snow yet, let’s move on…
Thanks for checking in on this Thursday, have a wonderful 4th of July and rest of your holiday weekend!
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