Dave Holder

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We've had a little break across Texas from active weather, but it will quickly come to an end as we see the next upper-level system emerge from the west.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/nmsevere-1746326704183.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>While the upper low moves closer, surface low pressure will deepen, bringing in plenty of moisture from the Gulf. As this occurs, instability will grow each afternoon as temperatures warm. As these ingredients come together, severe thunderstorms are expected to erupt, with all hazards possible. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-03 204742-1746326946035.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-03 204751-1746326952978.png">On Sunday afternoon, isolated severe storms will form across the High Plains of New Mexico, moving east into the Texas Panhandle by late in the day. For Monday, more widespread development is expected. With more time for moisture advection, instability will be stronger, and significant severe weather will be possible. This will be especially true across the southern Texas Panhandle south to the Rio Grande. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-03 204811-1746327091704.png">Unfortunately, further heavy rain is anticipated through Tuesday, with the highest totals across Oklahoma and the Arklatex. As we've had significant rain here as of late, the flooding threat will quickly rise.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/nmflood-1746327152754.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Stay with WeatherNation for the latest on this developing situation!

Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding Back in the Forecast for New Mexico and Texas

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Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

Jesse Kelley

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A huge digging upper level low is heading from the Pacific Ocean down into the Southwestern United States this weekend into next week. As the upper low moves onshore, it will bring an unsettled pattern to the West and drop high temperatures down big time. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-03 080101-1746280935870.png">Cities like Phoenix and Las Vegas will see temperatures dip below normal this weekend by at least ten degrees. I could imagine getting a break from the typical warmth this time of year is great news for the residents.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/1-1746326574164.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/2-1746326580558.png">On the precipitation side of things, the Southwest will scattered showers and storms and some snow showers starting this weekend and lasting into next week. On Saturday, there is a Marginal Risk for a few severe storms across parts of Nevada that could produce some damaging winds.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-03 110545-1746291954139.png">Some severe chances could be possible across the Eastern Plains of Colorado early next week. In addition, some heavy rain could cause some isolated flooding too. For the higher terrains, this event could bring in some much needed snow to keep the ski resorts open a little while longer across parts of the Rockies and Sierra. Keep up with the forecast as amounts will likely change daily.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/1-1746326656205.png">

Big Pattern Shake Up for the West Upcoming

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A frontal boundary stretched across half of the country will continue to bring episodes of severe thunderstorms and heavy rain as it stalls out. Significant hail has impacted Texas over the last few days, and last Friday was no different. Hail up to the size of baseballs was produced in severe storms Friday afternoon. The pattern will continue again heading into the rest of the weekend.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-03 055220-1746273171747.jpg"><h1>FORECAST</h1>Tonight, we continue to follow a line of showers and storms moving through the Deep South. The main hazards continue to be wind and hail. Weakening is likely as the sun sets. An isolated tornado can't be ruled out. Sunday, a Marginal Risk has been forecast for the East Coast from Miami to near Wilmington, NC.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/New Baron Video 3-1746326381193.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/1-1746314753515.png">More heavy rain and flooding are possible with these future storms.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/1-1746314878384.png">For the latest information, tune into WeatherNation.

Severe Thunderstorms Expected Across the South Sunday

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By the weekend, the risk for severe thunderstorms is again SLIGHT (level 2 out of 5) for the Mid Atlantic states, where instability will be greater and the front stalls. The greatest risk will be damaging winds and large hail potential.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/1-1746326191150.png"><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/New Baron Video 3-1746315226321.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>On Sunday, there is a Marginal risk for isolated severe thunderstorms across the Mid Atlantic.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/1-1746315421864.png">As we now focus on the heavy rain side, the low pressure will meander across the Northeast heading into next week. You can expect to see several inches of rain across the Northeast which isn't the worst thing for parts of Interstate 95. Severe drought is located for this region! Meanwhile cities along the Ohio River don't need more rain because of how wet April was.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/1-1746315492060.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/1-1746240366898.png">

Severe and Flood Continues For the Northeast

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Brittany Lockley

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Louisville is gearing up for the 151st Kentucky Derby this Saturday at Churchill Downs, but weather conditions leading up to the big race could put a damper on some of the festivities.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-03 111341-1746292431993.png">Derby Day Outlook: A Break in the Clouds&nbsp;Unfortunately, the forecast does not improve Saturday. While some lingering showers may still be around in the morning, forecasters expect any rain to pick up by midday headed into the evening. The Churchill Downs track will be extremely soggy ahead of the Derby’s scheduled post time at 6:57 p.m. ET.&nbsp;Still, after a soggy week, conditions underfoot are unlikely to be ideal. Do not expect the fast track surface seen in recent years—this year could see slower, wetter conditions like 2019, when a "sloppy" track followed light rainfall, or even 2018, which saw more than 3 inches of rain on race day.&nbsp;<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/2025-05-03 11-14-03-1746292475609.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Cooler Temperatures in the Mix&nbsp;Behind the departing rain, cooler air will settle in. Saturday's highs are expected to stay in the 60s, a touch below average for early May but comfortable for racegoers dressed for the occasion.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-03 044844-1746269565704.jpg">Heading to Churchill Downs Saturday? Pack an umbrella and prepare for changing conditions. While Derby Day looks mostly dry, the lead-up could be a wet one.Now the fun part, how will this weather affect the horses? From blazing sunshine to torrential rain, the conditions on Derby Day can significantly influence the race's outcome and the experience for horses, jockeys, trainers, and fans alike 🏇🏇 Precipitation: Track conditions are the most immediate and noticeable way weather affects the Derby. Rain can quickly turn the usually fast dirt track into a sloppy or muddy surface, altering the performance of certain horses and jockeys. Some horses, known as “mudders,” thrive in wet conditions, while others struggle. For instance, in the rain-soaked 2019 Derby, the muddy track played a role in a dramatic finish that included the controversial disqualification of Maximum Security. Handicappers and bettors pay close attention to forecasts, knowing that a change in weather could shift the odds significantly.🏇 Temperature is another critical factor. A warm &amp; humid race day can drain a horse's stamina, especially those not acclimated to the heat and humidity. Trainers often adjust their preparation and hydration strategies depending on the expected weather. Cooler temperatures, on the other hand, may benefit certain horses with more endurance and less speed.🏇 Wind also plays a subtle but real role in racing dynamics. A strong headwind down the backstretch can tire front-running horses earlier than expected, while a tailwind might benefit late closers. Though less obvious than mud or rain, wind direction and speed can change race strategies and even alter the pace of the race.In a race where every fraction of a second matters, weather isn’t just a background variable—it’s a potential game-changer. Whether the sun is shining or rain is pouring, the conditions on Derby Day can leave a lasting imprint.

Rainy Forecast Could Disrupt Kentucky Derby

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Alana Cameron was born and raised in Canada in the city of Mississauga, just outside of Toronto. Alana is the oldest of 4 siblings, all close in age, and grew up playing outside with them in all types of weather. After graduating high school, Alana moved to study at the University of British Columbia in Kelowna for a year before transferring to Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia where she completed a Bachelor of Science in Physics and Atmospheric Science. Upon completion, Alana moved back to Toronto where she completed a post-grad degree in Meteorology at York University. After her post-grad, she went on to complete another post-grad in Broadcast Journalism - TV News at Fanshawe College in London, Ontario. During her final year of studies she had the privilege of interning with the best in the business in Canada at The Weather Network. Once she finished her internship, she got the call from small-town Denison, Texas where she accepted a job as an on-air meteorologist at KTEN-TV, right in tornado alley, covering severe weather from Sherman/Denison (North Texas) to Ada (Southern Oklahoma). After the most active tornado season Oklahoma had seen in May 2019 (105 tornadoes!) Alana is excited to join WeatherNation to cover weather all across the nation. If you're interested in following her on social media she can be found @alanacameronwx!

Alana Cameron

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The forecast remains wet in the southern plains through the end of the week. The area is still recovering from the heavy rain last weekend. Parts of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas have seen 24-hour rainfall totals over half a foot.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1917692940794880495" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1917692940794880495"></div>A Flood Watch continues for parts of Central Oklahoma overnight and into Friday morning. With heavy thunderstorms moving across the area after midnight, we could see another round of severe weather and flash flooding.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-01 205855-1746154749731.png">Models continue to push heavy rainfall into parts of Texas, Oklahoma, and Arkansas through the end of the week. An additional 2-4" of rainfall will be possible by Friday afternoon, with the heaviest focused across Oklahoma and Arkansas. A Slight Risk of flooding is possible through Friday across the Southern Plains.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-01 205941-1746154787653.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/1-1746140121576.png">Many areas have already seen significant rainfall. These locations will be more susceptible to flooding. Please listen to any flash flood warning that is issued for your area and seek higher ground immediately.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/Screenshot 2025-04-30 044641-1746010008579.png">As we wrapped up April, Oklahoma City, after last Wednesday's rainfall, bumped the city up to having the wettest April on record!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/05/Screenshot 2025-05-01 065455-1746104105945.png">For more details, be sure to join us on WeatherNation!

Flooding Threat Continues in Oklahoma Friday Morning

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Chris Tomer

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A cold front and area of low pressure slide through Colorado 4/30 into 5/1. Rain and snow are likely.<h1>How Much Accumulation?</h1>Rain hits Denver and the Front Range between Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning. Up to six inches of snow is possible above 9,000ft.<h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/tomer co rain snow-1746059165407.jpg">Timing</h1><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/tomer west futurecast-1746059278789.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>Closing Dates</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/04/tomer ski closing dates-1745778957875.jpg">Enjoy the slopes while you can! Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Severe and Flood Continues For the Northeast

Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding Back in the Forecast for New Mexico and Texas

We've had a little break across Texas from ac

Big Pattern Shake Up for the West Upcoming

A huge digging upper level low is heading fro

Severe Thunderstorms Expected Across the South Sunday

A frontal boundary stretched across half of t

Severe and Flood Continues For the Northeast

By the weekend, the risk for severe thunderst

Rainy Forecast Could Disrupt Kentucky Derby

Louisville is gearing up for the 151st Kentuc

Flooding Threat Continues in Oklahoma Friday Morning

The forecast remains wet in the southern plai

Rain For Denver, Snow For The Mountains

A cold front and area of low pressure slide t