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<div>Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Colorado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!</div>
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Lucy Bergemann

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<p>Already we have had multiple CONFIRMED tornadoes, including one in Little Rock, Arkansas, and near Memphis, Tennessee, producing damage. The tornado in Little Rock was caught on camera by our field crews. Please take all warnings very seriously today as storms have a history of damage. Another powerful tornado moved through Wynne, AR to the Northwest of Memphis this evening as well. We have two areas of focus for severe weather overnight - one through <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/particularly-dangerous-situation-expected-in-the-midwest-today"><strong><em>northern Iowa</em></strong></a> and another through the lower Mississippi River Valley. All modes of severe weather are possible and have occurred - damaging tornadoes, winds, and large hail. We have a HIGH risk (level 5 out of 5) for severe storms centered around Jonesboro, Memphis, and up into Paducah, KY. However, the severe weather threat extends far beyond into east Texas, the I-20 corridor, and south of Louisiana, Mississippi, and northern Alabama, into Tennessee and Kentucky.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1641895353019518988" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1641895353019518988"></div><p></p><p>A Tornado Watch is in place overnight; the Tennessee watch is a "Particularly Dangerous Situation" tornado watch, meaning that long-track, intense tornadoes will be possible. Take all warnings seriously this evening and overnight, and make sure you can get into your tornado-safe place as quickly as possible.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/Capture-1680323723301.JPG">Damaging winds and tornadoes are likely as the front moves through. During the event of a tornado move to a basement or interior room away from windows. There is a significant risk for tornadoes and damaging winds across the mid-South and we have already seen damage that is in line with EF-2 to EF-3. The most concerning areas for strong tornado formation are the yellow, red, and pink areas shaded below. However, if your location is highlighted at all on the map below, there is an elevated risk for tornadoes.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/Capture-1680323891755.JPG">Storms will continue overnight through the Deep South with tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail possible. The more individual a storm is the higher potential for tornadic rotation and large hail. As storms try and develop into a line, we will be watching for the threat of damaging winds tonight in Mississippi, central Tennessee, and Alabama.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/morestorms-1680323828410.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Please stay up-to-date with the latest weather watches and warnings. Prepare to take action, if needed! Stay with WeatherNation as we continue to update this developing situation!</p>

Severe Weather Threat Continues in the Deep South Overnight

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<p>A tornado watch continues overnight for parts of Ohio, Indiana, and Kentucky as this powerful low-pressure system and cold front continue moving east. Take all warnings seriously and seek shelter immediately - the storm risk is extremely dangerous. A MODERATE RISK of severe storms continues overnight, a very small downgrade from the earlier high risk. But this is still a level 4 out of 5 in terms of intensity, Strong winds, extremely large hail, and powerful tornadoes still possible with any storm that forms overnight. Be prepared to put your severe weather plan into action immediately if a warning is issued.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/3-31 RNC SPC-1680315169210.JPG">The tornado threat (in red and yellow below) is most elevated across Illinois, Indiana, and western Kentucky, where low-level rotation near the surface is strongest. This is also where stronger, longer-track tornadoes are possible. Storms could be moving as fast as 60 miles per hour, so you may not get a lot of lead time when a warning is issued. There is a significant tornado risk for Illinois, Kentucky, and Missouri. This means that the environment here is conducive for strong, longer-track tornadoes, EF-2 or greater. This is the same threat we had last Friday when tornadoes tore through Mississippi. Every storm is different, but this indicates the seriousness of the situation tonight.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/3-31 RNC tor-1680315407743.JPG">There is a significant risk for strong winds too (in blue). Wind gusts can reach over 75 mph, these are hurricane-strength winds! Additionally, there is the risk of significant hail, 2" in diameter or larger through similar areas. Move anything under cover that can be damaged by large ice.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/3-31 RNC wind-1680315597043.JPG">Storms will continue to have the capability of all severe hazards including strong tornadoes. As the night wears on, the severe threat will transition to primarily a gusty wind threat as the storms merge into a squall line with powerful winds. The line will continue to move east through cities like Detroit and Cincinnati overnight.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/stormsovernight-1680323658221.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Stay with WeatherNation on the latest severe weather threat in the central plains and Great Lakes region - the central regional forecast is :30 past the hour. We will be covering the severe weather situation with teams on the ground, bringing you the latest forecast, radar conditions, and storm reports.</p>

Numerous Tornadoes in the Midwest - Threat Continues Overnight

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<p>The same front that has brought widespread storms to the southern Plains is moving into the Southeast. While a lot of the energy and moisture for the severe weather will be used up with Friday's storms a few strong and severe storms will linger into the weekend. There is enough CAPE (convective available potential energy) for these storms to develop (shown above). As a result, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a SLIGHT risk mostly for damaging winds. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out, given the shear and spin in the atmosphere.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/se severe-1680289696620.JPG"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/spc tor sat-1680289712379.JPG">Showers and storms will develop along the cold front on Saturday morning, continuing to push to the east throughout the day. This is a fairly fast moving system, so we anticipate storms to be off the coast around dinner time on Saturday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/se severe sat-1680290175782.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Rainfall accumulations will be generally light - in the range of of 1-2" through the south and because storms are moving quickly we won't have the potential for repeated rounds of rainfall, or "training" of storms.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/rainfall-1680271567319.JPG">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest in the severe weather potential and rain chances in the South. Your Southeast regional forecast is always :10 past the hour.</p>

Saturday Features a Few Storms in the Southeast

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<p>A potent area of low pressure that produced numerous strong and severe storms in the Midwest and Southern Plains on Friday will impact the East coast with damaging winds and heavy rain along with the severe weather threat on Saturday.</p><h2>Severe Threat</h2><p>The severe weather threat on Saturday stretches from the Lower Great Lakes into the Northeast, with a SLIGHT (level 2 out of 5) risk from eastern Ohio, Pennsylvania and most of New England. New Jersey and Delaware are also included in the slight risk. The primary threat will be for damaging winds, but storms containing hail up to 1" will also be possible. The storm system moving through will continue to intensify at the surface and upper levels, drawing in wind and pressure. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/spc  north satu-1680288401514.JPG">Already the storm system will be windy, so any storm that develops will have the potential to reach severe criteria (gusts 58 mph) more quickly. Additionally, there is the tornado threat along the immediate coastline from southern New England to the DelMarVa peninsula.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/spc tor north-1680288424364.JPG"></p><h2>Wind Threat</h2><p>Widespread wind alerts are in effect through the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic this weekend as the surface low-pressure system and frontal boundaries move through. Wind gusts in the range of 30-40 mph with locally higher gusts are expected, especially along the lakeshores and on the east side of the Appalachians. Please make sure that you tie down anything that can blow away in the wind.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/wind alerts-1680314020160.JPG"></p><h2></h2><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/Wind Gusts for RNE-1680327862820.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Forecast</h2><p>Showers and storms push north overnight along the warm front, but most of these should be sub-severe. Still, pockets of heavy rain and gusty winds are likely through the nighttime hours. Another round of storms arrives when the surface low and associated cold front moves through Saturday afternoon and evening. Enough cold air gets wrapped into the system that we will even see some snow showers for northern Maine and New Hampshire. Showers and storms finally clear the area by sundown on Saturday night.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/2023-03-31 19-52-42-1680314059461.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Rain will be on the order of 1-2" for many with locally higher totals thanks to the elevation. Snow showers will follow the severe weather threat with the potential for a couple of inches of snow and icing through northern New England and New York.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/rne wet weather-1680267932157.JPG">Catch the eastern regional forecast always :10 past the hour and in your top weather headlines always streaming 24/7.</p>

Windy & Severe Storms Hit the Northeast Saturday

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<p>The same system that is producing severe weather is wrapping in cold air from Canada, creating heavy snow, gusty winds and blizzard warnings across the Northern Plains and Great Lakes. Just enough warm air will linger at the mid-levels of the atmosphere, producing the ice threat in Minnesota and Wisconsin. This system is so powerful, only miles separate the severe weather threat from the snow! Blizzard conditions are expected for South Dakota, Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Wind gusts could be up to 50 mph, with heavy snow and limited visibility. Please be careful driving, and stay home if you don't absolutely need to go out. Driving conditions are and will be nearly impossible at times.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/3-31 RNC Bliz-1680299823642.JPG"></p><p>All precipitation types will be possible, with freezing rain chances highest around the Great Lakes and Eastern South Dakota. Use caution when traveling, as road conditions and visibility will deteriorate quickly. The heaviest of the precipitation will be out of the region by mid morning Saturday. While the snow will stop actively falling, gusty winds will still cause blowing snow and visibility concerns in spots. Ice, then followed by snow will be a threat for slippery conditions. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/3-31 RNC Snow &amp; Bliz-1680299972168.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Heavy snow is likely with this system, and snow rates can reach 1 to 2 inches per hour. Some of the heaviest snowfall totals will be upwards of a foot. Lake enhanced snowfall will help to produce high snowfall potential through the U.P. of Michigan with upwards of a foot possible here.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/3-31 RNC accum-1680300769885.JPG">Freezing rain will also be possible. Ice accumulations of one tenth to four tenths of an inch will be possible, and snow accumulations of up to 9 inches, in the same areas with ice. Driving conditions can be slick especially on bridges and overpasses in conditions like this, so use caution if traveling.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/ice storm-1680268893996.JPG">Stay with WeatherNation for the most up-to-date conditions on the winter that won't end in the Central U.S. - your central regional forecast is always :30 past the hour.</p>

Blizzard Conditions, Ice and Snow for High Plains

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<p>Strong winds and dry air have combined once again Friday afternoon to heighten the fire danger across a large area of the country. Red Flag Warnings are in place for the southern High Plains east to the southern Plains of Kansas and Oklahoma. Numerous fires across multiple states have already been reported! </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/Capture-1680299846591.JPG">There is a high fire danger threat through the Southern Plains and eastern Four Corners into this weekend as an area of low pressure develops in the Lee of the Rockies, producing gusty winds and dry conditions for much of Colorado, New Mexico, Texas, and Oklahoma along with western Kansas today and even some alerts lingering into Saturday. The Storm Prediction Center, which produces outlooks for severe weather, also produces fire outlooks; they have highlighted today as the most critical fire risk. Winds will be quite gusty, in the range of 20-30 mph with locally stronger gusts. Tie down anything that could blow away and be prepared for pockets of blowing dust and dirt.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/Capture-1680300110967.JPG"></p><p>Areas of west Texas, central Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas are suffering under extreme and exceptional drought conditions. We will be concerned about any spark spreading quickly through dry brush and grass. Relative humidity values during the day will be in the single digits during the daytime hours, allowing flames to grow rather than dampen under the increased humidity of the atmosphere.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/windywind-1680300193543.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Here are some tips on preventing the spark of wildfires: Properly dispose of lit matches, cigarettes, or cigars. Avoid using equipment that causes a spark. Obey local burn bans by postponing any prescribed burns you may have had. If allowed to burn, make sure campfires are completely extinguished, cool to the touch!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/8-1680216396828.jpg">For the latest on the fire danger and wind in the Southern Plains, join WeatherNation, streaming 24/7.</p>

High Fire Danger Today

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<p>Yet another coast-to-coast storm is expected to move onshore and create issues from snow and wind in the northern tier of the country and severe weather through the Midwest and southern tier of the country. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has already highlighted the potential for severe weather on Tuesday of next week. Yet another powerful area of low pressure sweeps out of the Pacific and into the western U.S. this weekend, prompting mountain snowfall in the Rockies and Cascades. That upper-level energy then moves into the central and eastern U.S., drawing in moisture and building instability, prompting more snow in the northern tier and severe weather in the southern tier of the plains.</p><h2>Severe Weather Threat</h2><p>There is an outlook for severe weather on Tuesday encompassing much of Missouri, southern Iowa, northern Arkansas, and east toward the Ohio River Valley. These are similar areas to those with the severe threat from Friday. Plan ahead to Tuesday and the threat of severe weather - move plans indoors and think about your safe place in the event of severe weather.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/spc headlines-1680279729593.JPG"></p><h2>Snow Chances</h2><p>On the northern side of the system, we will see the opportunity for cold air to meet the area of low pressure in our upper atmosphere. Moisture from the Gulf of Mexico races north to meet the front and helps to produce snow chances.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/cold air setup-1680279002034.JPG">The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has highlighted the risk for heavy snowfall through the northern tier of Monday - Tuesday. This is still just an outlook and doesn't account for the amount of snowfall and the location is subject to change, but we have seen a very active winter through the northern Plains and this system is following suit.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2023/03/snow potential-1680279110860.JPG"></p><p>Stay with WeatherNation for the latest on the severe and snow forecast, streaming 24/7.</p>

Looking Ahead: Yet Another Coast to Coast Storm First Week of April

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Following an abnormally dry winter, the southwestern US was off to a rough start for the Spring and Summer months with drought categories climbing to extreme to exceptional conditions yielding the ignition of several fires now consuming thousands of acres.

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With dry fuels in place, this leaves the land vulnerable for wildfires as conditions continue to heat up across the area. Unfortunately, several states now contending with active wildfires in the region from parts of the western New Mexico in the Gila National Forest all the way north into parts of the San Juans around Durango, CO where the 416 Fire has already scorched 25,900 acres and only 15% contained.

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Thankfully, good news coming out of the Ute Park Fire in New Mexico which is nearly 100% contained but the charred land left behind will make much of the terrain susceptible to mudslides as the area is forecasted to receive heavy rain by the weekend.

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So where is the good news? The good news is there is rain in the forecast for the weekend. And not just any old rain. A surge of rich, tropical moisture associated with Tropical Storm Bud will bring relief to some of these locations by the weekend.

Bud is currently churning up the coast near Cabo San Lucas, MX.  Rough surf and and dangerous rip currents remains the only concern as Bud continues to weaken 150 miles offshore.

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Bud is forecasted to weaken as it nears landfall around the Baja Peninsula by Thursday. What is left of Bud will continue to track into the southwest reaching southern Arizona by Friday and New Mexico and southern Colorado by Saturday.

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As many of us know, even the best medicine comes with side effects. The medicine, in this case, is the moisture of course and the side effect will be the risk for flash flooding across the desert terrain by this weekend. Please exercise caution if you plan to be in these areas this weekend. The southwest floods very easily even with only .25-.50" of rainfall.  Arizona and New Mexico can expect the first showers and storms by Saturday with more widespread tropical moisture moving into New Mexico and southwestern Colorado by Sunday.

Meteorologist Merry Matthews

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