Meteorologist Jesse Kelley is excited to join the talented staff at Weather Nation. Jesse spent most of his childhood in Birmingham, Alabama. The state of Alabama is prone to seeing various types of weather from severe thunderstorms, tornadoes, hurricanes, and winter weather. For college, Jesse attended the University of South Alabama where he received his degree in Broadcast Meteorology along with minors in Math and Geography. From Alabama, Jesse started his broadcast television working three years at KAVU-TV in Victoria. Recently, he finished a stint in Shreveport, LA. Jesse and his wife are looking forward to making the Rocky Mountains and Colorado home. If you would like to follow me, you can follow me on Twitter @JesseKelleywx and on Facebook at Meteorologist Jesse Kelley.

Jesse Kelley

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For the rest of the weekend, heavy rain and storms will push across Texas. Isolated severe storms are in the forecast into early Monday morning. The big story from this set-up will be all the heavy rain for Texas, and this includes cities like Dallas and Houston.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/1-1794712262857.png"><h1>SEVERE THREAT</h1>Sunday, a Marginal risk is in effect for parts of South Texas from the Rio Grande up to Interstate-10. The primary threat will likely be damaging winds, but a few isolated tornadoes can't be ruled out. Rain and storms will begin in West Texas tonight and push eastward into the Red River Valley during the day. On Sunday, the front sags toward the coast, bringing the severe risk.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 032952-1794652205474.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 033017-1794652226926.png">The rainfall will started early Saturday morning, and last until Monday. Check out the latest forecast timing.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/FORECAST2-1794686913572.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Weekend Storm Brings Soaking Rain and Severe Threat Across Texas

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Brittany Lockley

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Millions of Americans are getting a chilly reminder that winter is right around the corner as a surge of cold air spreads across the central and eastern United States this weekend.&nbsp;After weeks of unusually mild fall weather, temperatures are taking a sharp turn; some cities saw their first freeze of the season Saturday morning.&nbsp;<h1>Saturday Observed Low Temperatures</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 082450-1794669901832.png">The dramatic cooldown is being driven by a southward dip in the jet stream, allowing colder Canadian air to spill into the Plains, Midwest and Southeast. Temperatures in some areas could fall 10 to 15 degrees below seasonal averages.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 082611-1794669984519.png">The Midwest will experience some of the coldest conditions, with overnight temperatures dropping into the 20s across portions of Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri and surrounding states. Cities including Omaha and Kansas City could see their first significant freeze following an extended stretch of warmer-than-normal weather.&nbsp;Farther east, the cold air will reach communities around the Great Lakes, including Chicago and Detroit, where residents can expect a noticeable change from the mild temperatures experienced earlier this month.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 082832-1794670123886.png">The Southeast won’t escape the chill. Temperatures across Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas will tumble into the 30s and 40s, with some locations facing the possibility of frost or freezing conditions.&nbsp;Even the Sunshine State will get a taste of colder weather. Morning temperatures across Central Florida, including Orlando and Tampa, could dip into the 40s, while parts of North Florida may experience readings in the upper 30s. South Florida will remain warmer, although overnight lows could fall into the 50s.&nbsp;<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 082715-1794670145119.png">The arrival of freezing temperatures is particularly notable after an unusually warm autumn delayed the seasonal cooldown across portions of the country.&nbsp;Residents in areas expecting frost or freezing conditions should consider protecting sensitive plants and bringing pets indoors during the coldest overnight hours.&nbsp;Fortunately, this blast of cold air is expected to be relatively brief. Temperatures should begin climbing again early next week as the weather pattern shifts, bringing a return to milder conditions across much of the central and eastern United States.&nbsp;Tune into WeatherNation TV for more details.

Freezing Temperatures Across the Midwest and Southeast

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WeatherNation Meteorologists

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There are only a few weeks left in the Hurricane Season and it looks like it will be quiet end to the season. There is no tropical activity in either the Atlantic or the Eastern Pacific basins. <h1>ATLANTIC BASIN</h1>Not much is happening in the Atlantic Basin and that will continue for at least the next 7 days.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 4-1794617871577.png"><h1>Eastern Pacific Basin</h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 5-1794618538087.png">Although tropical activity typically decreases as fall progresses, the Atlantic hurricane season officially continues through November 30. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season also runs through November 30. For now, neither disturbance has developed into a tropical cyclone, but the Pacific system has the greater potential for organization this week.WeatherNation will continue monitoring both areas of interest and provide updates as new information becomes available from the National Hurricane Center.

Patrick Crawford

Tropics Update: All is Quiet

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The first in a line of several storms systems moved inland across the West on Friday with intense rain and wind impacts, including flash flooding issues around northern California. Hail even fell along the NW coast of the golden state, over the size of golf balls!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 053024-1794659469278.png">That first dynamic system will move through the Rockies Saturday before the next front moves onshore late Saturday into Sunday. That next wave will push into the Rockies to start the week, with another low moving in toward the mid-week timeframe.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/fsaaaaaassssss-1794363172414.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>SHORT RANGE FORECAST</h2>The first system will continue to bring snow and rain to parts of the Four Corners and Wyoming on Saturday night, with snow and rain tapering off Sunday morning as the low dives into Texas. The next front moves into the Pacific Northwest Saturday night, slowly sliding down the west coast and across the interior through Tuesday. This next system will bring much colder air, with temperatures in some areas dropping more than 10 degrees. This means more rain will turn to snow for lower elevations.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 060025-1794661618050.png"><h2>Winter Alerts</h2><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/pic6-1794698960044.png">Winter weather advisories are in place over the Sierra for the potential of up to 6 inches of additional snow. Traveling in these areas is not recommended as roads and visibility will be dangerous. <h1>Mid-Range</h1>Heading toward the weekend before Thanksgiving, the pattern looks wet still across the SW, while the NW could see drier conditions.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-14 063035-1794663068015.png">

Snow, Flooding, & Strong Winds Hit California, Active Pacific Pattern Persists

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Heavy snow is piling up across portions of the Northeast, especially in New York State where over a foot of snow has accumulated! Snow will continue through Friday morning before tapering off. Lake effect snow will continue around the Great Lakes while the southern Appalachians see a northwest flow snow event into Saturday morning.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-13 063936-1794577352746.png"><h2>Forecast Timing</h2>Snow will taper off through Friday morning in the Poconos, possibly lingering into the early afternoon. As cold NW flow kicks in, lake effect snow and upslope snow (Appalachians) will kick in, lasting into the weekend for some.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/FORECAST2-1794602135827.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h2>Snow Totals</h2>Additional snow totals could top 3-4 inches in a few areas thanks to lake effect that continues through Saturday, but overall an inch or two will fall still. Light totals are possible down through the Appalachian Mountains, with areas like Sams Gap on I-26 (NC/TN) likely seeing a few slick spots.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 4-1794602195163.png"><h2>Rain Totals</h2>The low elevations are expecting rainfall. Isolated few inches will be possible, especially near New York City as a stronger storm threat sets up for Thursday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-12 052706-1794486446791.png">For the latest update on this forecast, tune into WeatherNation.

More Snow Chances for the Northeast Into the Weekend

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Adrian Hernandez

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We've got a party getting started in the midweek with a strong low building in and heading east. It'll bring some heavy rain and maybe even snow to the Northeast; more on that <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/east-coast-snow-what-we-know-about-the-late-week-system">here</a>. Across the Great Lakes, however, we could be talking a different kind of setup.It goes without saying, we'll see a pretty big cooldown once this system kicks on out of here.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 4-1794515795154.png">If you get far enough north, we could be dealing with some of that lake effect stuff into the midweek. Moisture is expected to linger long enough to get some decent totals across the Upper Peninsula of Michigan!<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/FORECAST2-1794515865419.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>There are a few Winter Weather Advisories for the UP of Michigan. We could see up to 6"!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/PIC 4-1794516150521.png">Snowfall totals look highest in the UP with a few bands that could bring decent snowfall to northern Indiana.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-12 051823-1794485924432.png">Lake water temperatures themselves are also cooler to the north. They're warm enough, but the setup itself isn't going to lend itself much to a widespread lake effect event. It'll likely stay more isolated.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-10 045743-1794312721662.png">Stay tuned to the forecast here on WeatherNation. We've got you covered!

Lake Effect Machine May Fire Up Midweek

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Kevin Schneider

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An interesting setup is rolling through the Midwest and Ohio Valleys this week. It's the spark that lights the fuse to the powerful system bringing some snow chances out east.RELATED: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/east-coast-snow-what-we-know-about-the-late-week-system">Latest on the snow chances this week</a>As it's getting setup, however, severe storms will be possible over the heartland on Wednesday.<h1>SETUP</h1>A fast-moving disturbance will ripple through the middle of the week. That will be enough to trigger storms by the afternoon on Wednesday. Because it is such a potent disturbance, the storms feel like a relatively safe bet. There are more questions about where storms will fire, with some models liking areas north of the marginal outlook issued by the Storm Prediction Center.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-11 051307-1794399204727.png"><h1>IMPACTS</h1>Damaging winds are the biggest concern; There is plenty of wind shear to organize storms, and that wind energy could help spin up a tornado or two.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/Screenshot 2026-11-11 051345-1794399243165.png"><h1>TIMING</h1>With a fairly fast-moving system, these storms will be in and out of here pretty quickly. The severe window looks to shut shortly after sunset on Wednesday.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2026/11/2026-11-11 05-17-18-1794399461872.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Severe Threat Rolls Returns to the Ohio Valley

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The weekly <a href="https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/">Drought Monitor</a> was released Thursday morning, as it is every Thursday with data through Tuesday of each week, and it shows some pretty distinct changes in parts of the country. Let's take a look:

<img class="size-full wp-image-125943" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2020/07/07-30-US-Drought-Monitor.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" /> The Drought Monitor updated Thursday, July 30. The data in this image is valid through Tuesday, July 28

The national view of the Drought Monitor shows that a majority of the country is on the dry side. Roughly 75% of the Lower 48 is experiencing at least "abnormally dry" conditions, shaded in yellow. That means about one-quarter of the Contiguous U.S. is experiencing average or above-average soil moisture conditions.

Here are some highlights when we compare this week's data to last week's data:
<ul>
 	<li>No location is in Exceptional Drought (the worst ranking on the scale)</li>
 	<li>The West saw drought development in all categories (moderate, severe, and extreme drought)</li>
 	<li>There were many areas which had below-average precipitation during the past week</li>
 	<li>Looking ahead, the West will likely face the toughest conditions</li>
</ul>
<img class="size-full wp-image-125944" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2020/07/07-30-SW-Drought-Monitor.jpg" alt="" width="1920" height="1080" /> The weekly Drought Monitor for the Southwest U.S. released Thursday, July 30

Some of the biggest weekly changes were seen across the Southwest U.S. where states including Arizona, Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming experienced worsening drought. This is the time of the year when the monsoon showers and thunderstorms help replenish the water table, but unfortunately the monsoon has been weak in most areas. Take for instance, Arizona:

https://twitter.com/NWSPhoenix/status/1288672083149430784

The National Weather Service office in Phoenix, Arizona has been tracking the number of lightning strikes across the state as a way to monitor the strength of this year's monsoon. So far, it has been a very quiet wet season.

<img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-125947" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2020/07/Monthly-drought-outlook.png" alt="" width="792" height="612" />

The monthly drought outlook, going forward, shows drought continuing for much of the West with further drought development likely for parts of Arizona and New Mexico. Unfortunately in the near term, between July 31 and August 12, the precipitation outlook for the West favors higher chances of drier-than-average conditions. This is attributed to the massive area of heat parked over the West right now, not allowing many thunderstorms to pop up.

Drought Status Updated: How's Your Area?

Weekend Storm Brings Soaking Rain and Severe Threat Across Texas

For the rest of the weekend, heavy rain and s

Freezing Temperatures Across the Midwest and Southeast

Millions of Americans are getting a chilly re

Tropics Update: All is Quiet

There are only a few weeks left in the Hurric

Snow, Flooding, & Strong Winds Hit California, Active Pacific Pattern Persists

The first in a line of several storms systems

More Snow Chances for the Northeast Into the Weekend

Heavy snow is piling up across portions of th

Lake Effect Machine May Fire Up Midweek

We've got a party getting started in the midw

Severe Threat Rolls Returns to the Ohio Valley

An interesting setup is rolling through the M