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<div>Lucy is originally from the Boston area but has spent the last four years forecasting and living in Colorado! She stayed in the northeast for her education, graduating Summa Cum Laude from SUNY Oswego with a B.S. in Meteorology. Just a few days after graduation, she made the cross country move to Colorado Springs, CO to begin her career at KKTV, the CBS affiliate. Lucy has covered historic blizzards, tornadoes, windstorms, the largest wildfires in Colorado state history and dust storms ... they truly "get it all" in Colorado! Lucy is excited to forecast on a national level and continue her passion of explaining the science behind the weather!</div>
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Lucy Bergemann

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<p>A potentially dangerous situation is setting up over east Texas and Louisiana today with a <strong>HIGH</strong>&nbsp;risk (level 4 out of 4) for flash flooding in eastern Texas and through Louisiana (see above). High-level risk days account for, on average, only 14 days per year but result in 80% of all flood damages. As of Thursday afternoon, the Bryan-College Station, TX area was already getting inundated with heavy rainfall and flooding.</p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1791226131892347320" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1791226131892347320"></div><p>The grounds are highly saturated in much of eastern Texas and into Louisiana contributing to the high flood risk. In fact, Lufkin, TX has had its wettest start to a calendar year. Through May 15, Lufkin has had about 32 inches of rainfall, which is about 14 inches above average for the date, and #1 for wettest start to a year. Stay weather-aware and reschedule activities that take you away from home or to flood-prone areas on Thursday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/Screenshot 2024-02-25 110543-1715690709436.jpg">The heaviest rain will be in areas recently impacted by flooding and evacuations just a few days ago. East Texas and central Louisiana could see over 7" of rainfall through Friday, greatly increasing the flood threat over the saturated soils. Flash flooding at night is very difficult to see and increasingly dangerous. Due to the overnight threat of storms, have multiple ways to get alerts that can wake you up.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/Screenshot 2024-05-16 062457-1715862610916.png">As mentioned above, some storms will be severe with large hail, damaging winds, and an isolated tornado or two possible. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a severe weather outlook with a level 3 out of 5 threat across much of central and east Texas. Showers are widespread through the evening, continuing overnight.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-16 14-04-51-1715889914820.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>The trailing edge of our front and low-pressure system will impact coastal Texas on Thursday with a few lingering storms. These will pose the risk of large hail and damaging winds from Houston to Corpus Christi. As a result the storm prediction center has issued a SLIGHT risk for the Texas and Louisiana coast on Friday.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-16 13-58-21-1715889758656.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Steve Glazier

Flash Flooding Expected in East Texas, Louisiana Today

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<p><em>Boeing’s Starliner spacecraft approaches the International Space Station on May 20, 2022. Credit: NASA</em></p><p>In just a few days Boeing's Starliner Crewed test flight is hoping to launch from Kennedy Space Center in Florida. The Starliner was originally supposed to launch on Monday, May 6th but has been delayed two weeks due to a mechanical issue. According to Boeing, "Starliner teams are working to resolve a small helium leak detected in the spacecraft’s service module traced to a flange on a single reaction control system thruster. Helium is used in spacecraft thruster systems to allow the thrusters to fire and is not combustible or toxic." </p><p>This mission is the second of the Boeing-NASA contract which included one uncrewed mission in May 2022, this first test crew mission and six more trips to the ISS. </p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1787689554905833889" src="https://twitter.com/BoeingSpace/status/1787689554905833889"></div><p>The launch was then rescheduled for May 10th and then May 17th but crews needed additional time to test the spacecraft and ensure it was safe. The Starliner will launch carrying two astronauts - Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams - to the International Space Station, now set for 4:43 PM ET on Tuesday, May 21st. The Saturn IV rocket and Starliner remain on the launchpad awaiting their next opportunity to launch. According to Boeing, "about 15 minutes after launch, Atlas' Centaur upper stage shuts down, sending Starliner on its way to the International Space Station."</p><p>So how is the forecasting looking for launch? Right now skies look to be clear around Cape Canaveral so weather won't be a huge interrupter for the forecast. For Starliner to be able to launch the weather must have winds below 31 mph, no thunderstorms or lightning in the landing area or waves above 13.1 feet. Right now, none of that is in the forecast. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/forecast-1715891895033.jpg">If you're planning to watch the launch, temperatures in and around the Space Coast will be in the low and mid 80s. Be sure to pack water and wear sunscreen!</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/tuesday-1715891895031.jpg"></p>

Starliner Spacecraft Set to Launch Tuesday from Florida

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<p>Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season began May 15th and we already have an area of interest in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. There are two areas of potential development in the eastern Pacific that could become tropical. The first is Medium chance of development (orange) near the Mexico coastline that could become a tropical depression this weekend as north/northwest paralleling the Mexico coastline. If this becomes strong enough to be a tropical storm (winds 39+ mph) then the first name on the list is Aletta. The second area (in yellow) has a lower potential for development as it barely moves over the next few days and merges with the system to the east. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2 areas-1715890872192.jpg">Eastern Pacific Hurricane season has two peaks, one in early August and another in mid-September. This year we will be transitioning into a La Nina pattern which typically spells below-average hurricane activity in the eastern Pacific. This follows the busy 2023 Hurricane Season that brought Hurricane Otis, a category 5 storm that hit Acapulco, and Hurricane Hilary into the Southwest U.S. along with Hurricane Dora which contributed to strong winds and deadly wildfires on the Hawaiian Island of Maui.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/e pac chart-1715795559710.jpg">Meanwhile, there is no tropical development in the Atlantic, which is not uncommon for May. Atlantic Hurricane season starts on May 1 and runs through November 30th. The peak of Atlantic Hurricane season is early September when the waters are at their warmest and there are typically waves of energy off the coast of Africa that can develop into tropical systems.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/tropical outlook-1715795559713.jpg">This year is expected to be an above-average hurricane season in the Atlantic due to a transition to La Nina conditions. La Nina results in lowered wind shear (turning of wind with height) over the Atlantic reducing the amount that upper-level winds can tear apart hurricanes. Still, it only takes one hurricane to impact you and we highly recommend preparing ahead of time.</p>

Hurricane Season Starts in the Eastern Pacific

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<p>A low-pressure system <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/flood-threat-targets-texas"><strong><em><u>sliding out of Texas</u></em></strong></a> will arrive in the Central Gulf on Friday with severe weather and flash flooding. With so much rain falling into Mississippi and Alabama on Friday, another <strong>MODERATE</strong> risk for Excessive Rainfall was issued to end the week. Upwards of 4" of rainfall could fall in areas already saturated by heavy rain this week, elevating the flood threat.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/wpc friday-1715865967175.jpg">There is a <strong>SLIGHT</strong> risk of severe weather - a level 2 out of 5 - through much of Mississippi, Louisiana, and western Alabama to account for strong storms early Friday morning and additional storm development through the afternoon and evening hours along a lifting warm front. These storms contain the threat of tornadic development along with large hail. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-16 13-08-53-1715887082363.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>The severe weather threat continues into Saturday across the South as a low-pressure system slides across the region. Gusty winds and heavy rain will be the primary threats.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-16 07-19-34-1715865901912.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

More Heavy Rain & Storms for the Soaked Gulf Coast

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<p>Yet another severe weather chance is ahead for the central Plains with a large swath of Nebraska and Kansas highlighted by the Storm Prediction Center [SPC] on Sunday for the severe weather potential. All modes of severe weather are possible as storms develop through the heat of the day. May is the busiest month of the year for severe weather with most storms setting up over the Great Plains of Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and northern Texas. Already 2024 has been one of the busiest severe weather seasons with the second most tornadoes on record (2011 still holds the record). </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/sunday severe-1715879361880.jpg">This latest round of severe weather is thanks to a shortwave (piece of energy) that sneaks between a ridge of high pressure over Texas and the Gulf Coast and an upper-level low-pressure system over the Northwest. At the surface, moisture builds along with instability which will support storm development. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-16 10-10-21-1715879211644.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Showers and storms start in Wyoming and Colorado before moving east as a surface trough slides to the east. Individual supercell storms are likely to form during the afternoon and evening hours which will pose the risk of large hail and tornadoes. In addition to the severe weather threat, we will also have the opportunity for heavy rainfall across Iowa, northern Missouri, and Nebraska on Sunday and Monday. These areas have been generally wet during the Spring months so additional rainfall could lead to localized flooding and high-running rivers, creeks, and streams. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-16 10-11-02-1715876058298.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Stay with WeatherNation for the latest storm timing and threats ahead of the severe weather threat. </p>

Sunday Forecast: Storms in the High Plains

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<p>We have seen a very active day in the plains with multiple severe warned storms, and that threat will continue overnight. Damaging winds and large hail have been the primary threats today, with hail up to 1.75" reported for parts of Texas and Kansas. (above graphic) In Texas, we saw a gust of 79 mph in Sunray and a 78 mph gust in Plainview! Storms now move into the Ozarks and MidSouth over the next few days with the opportunity for a few severe storms both days. However, the primary concern with any thunderstorm that develops will be heavy rainfall. </p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/spc-1715867869650.jpg">Most showers and storms will hit the Ozarks during the first part of the day with just a few showers and storms later in the day. Storms move east on Friday with Tennessee, northern Alabama, Mississippi, and Georgia all at risk for a few stronger thunderstorms. Elsewhere across the Mid-South, we expect heavy rainfall and localized flooding concerns. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/2024-05-16 07-38-24-1715867922400.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>

Storms Move from Plains to the Ozarks

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Originally born in Spokane, Washington,  Jackie's Dad was in the Air Force which led her to a life of travel. She has lived in Wichita, Okinawa, Japan, Baltimore, New Jersey, Indiana and South Carolina.  After graduating from Kadena High School, in Okinawa Japan, she got a full basketball scholarship to Coppin State College. On the court she was a 4-year starter and reached over 1000 points in her basketball career. She was also named Athlete of the Year for the whole university in 2002. Off the court, she earned a degree in Broadcast Production/English.

After college, she landed a job as a radio personality. Jackie went on to have a successful career for 12 years working at KXLY broadcast center. While on the radio, she decided to change career. Jackie went back to school, graduating from the Mississippi State Meteorology Broadcast Program. From snow, to tornadoes, to hurricanes, she has had experience forecasting all these events.

Jackie Brown

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<p>We have had severe storms move through the Carolinas today bringing gusty winds, hail, and even tornado warned storms. Lake City, South Carolina saw hailstones up to 1.50". Tonight, we have a marginal risk for a few severe storms with damaging winds and hail being the primary concern. The storms will continue to die down tonight as the system moves off-shore. Isolated storms will be possible through the evening hours.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/few storms leftr-1715823298407.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>Any storms that develop may have a few heavy downpours but overall an isolated inch to a quarter of an inch of rain will be possible.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/rainfall totals -1715823424695.png">As we look ahead we will see a brief lull in any activity for the Carolinas on Thursday. We start to see things ramp up again as an area of low pressure moves through, bringing rain and storms for your Friday and Saturday.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/fri sat-1715823436635.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/05/religh duram-1715823529687.png"></p>

Isolated Storm Threat In Carolinas

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Kevin Schneider

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<p>Torrential rain fell overnight around the city of Groveton, TX. Businesses and homes were inundated after more than 10" of rain fell overnight. </p><div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1784876454930415800" src="https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1784876454930415800"></div><p>Watch back the radar loop from last night - notice when the rain starts and stops. </p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/04/Reflectivity Loop Groveton-1714394174198.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p>A sensor just outside of Groveton by Caney Creek recorded 10.72" of rain overnight.</p><p><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/04/6 hr rainfall ffe-1714394201020.png">All of that rain overwhelmed streets and drains leaving roads impassible in many locations. Just look at how high the water was on some cars our field correspondents saw late Sunday night.</p><video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2024/04/VO_042824_RSC_GROVETON, TX_DIFFERENT VIEWS OF CARS DRIVING THROUGH FLOODED WATERS_BRANDON CLEMENT_WHATSAPP_MR_E042924-1714394604232.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><p></p>

Flash Flood Emergency 30 Miles Outside of Lufkin Overnight

Flash Flooding Expected in East Texas, Louisiana Today

A potentially dangerous situation is setting

Starliner Spacecraft Set to Launch Tuesday from Florida

Boeing’s Starliner spacecraft approaches the

Hurricane Season Starts in the Eastern Pacific

Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season began May 15

More Heavy Rain & Storms for the Soaked Gulf Coast

A low-pressure system sliding out of Texas wi

Sunday Forecast: Storms in the High Plains

Yet another severe weather chance is ahead fo

Storms Move from Plains to the Ozarks

We have seen a very active day in the plains

Isolated Storm Threat In Carolinas

We have had severe storms move through the Ca