Brittany Lockley

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Hurricane Erin is not expected to make direct landfall in the U.S., but dangerous conditions will still impact the eastern seaboard, including high surf and strong rip currents. Currently a Category 2 hurricane, Erin has maximum sustained winds of 100 mph and a central pressure of 954 mb. The storm is located about 455 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and is large, with tropical storm-force winds extending well outward. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Outer Banks of North Carolina, and a Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for coastal areas of Virginia to the north.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-20 090215-1755702174322.png">Storm surge will be one of the significant impacts from Erin, as the storm pushes large swells toward the coast. Storm surge and tropical storm conditions are expected on the North Carolina Outer Banks as early as Wednesday afternoon. The large waves may cause beach erosion, and some roads could become impassable. Evacuation orders are currently in effect for both Hatteras Island and Ocracoke Island. Tropical storm conditions are also likely on Thursday along the southeastern coast of Virginia. Up to 4 feet of storm surge is possible along the Carolinas' coast, accompanied by waves reaching 15 to 25 feet.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-20 090939-1755702587625.png">Multiple tropical alerts have been issued for the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Remember, from the <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT5+shtml/182044.shtml">National Hurricane Center</a>:<blockquote><ul><li>Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.</li><li>Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.</li><li>For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="http://hurricanes.gov">hurricanes.gov</a>."</li></ul></blockquote><div data-youtube-video=""><iframe width="640" height="480" allowfullscreen="false" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Ad6MxSe0890" start="0"></iframe></div>Erin will continue to track Northwest and stay a Category 2, potentially re-strengthening to a major hurricane. Erin is forecast to track Northwest then turn North. The strength of the ridge of high pressure over the Atlantic will determine when Erin takes this turn northward. Jet stream energy will also help kick Erin further out into the Atlantic as a trough moves east.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/2025-08-20 04-06-41-1755684831151.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>While most of the heavy rainfall will be over the Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center is still forecasting that parts of North Carolina could gather up 1 to 4 inches of rain in outer rainbands from Erin Wednesday night into Thursday. Flooding is a possibility, especially when factoring in the storm surge at high tide.Venturing into the water as a beachgoer is extremely dangerous along the East Coast this week. So far, Numerous rip current rescues have been reported, just in the Tar Heel State alone.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/2025-08-20 04-14-32-1755684904716.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>RELATED ARTICLE: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/csu-issues-final-2025-atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast">CSU, NOAA UPDATE Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast</a>

Jackie Brown

Hurricane Erin Targets East Coast: Tropical Storm Alerts and Evacuations Underway

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Chris Tomer

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Hot temperatures, a front, and Monsoon moisture will create a stormy pattern for Montana, the Dakotas, and parts of Minnesota through Thursday.The atmosphere will have enough energy to generate afternoon thunderstorms.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer rnc energy-1755655993222.jpg"><h2>Severe Weather Outlook</h2>The risk for severe t-storms will shift east each day through Friday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/daa-1755708284815.png"><h1>Forecast</h1>Watch the thunderstorms bubble up each afternoon. Some might turn severe with hail, strong wind, and heavy rain.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/fls-1755708346507.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>A few of the thunderstorms might generate up to 1-2 inches of rainfall. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/TOMER RNC RAIN FORECAST-1755656062409.jpg">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest updates on the forecast. You can always find your full Central Regional Forecast:30 past the hour.

Stormy Pattern For Montana and Dakotas

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Tropical waves continue to spill off the coast of Africa. The latest shows signs of development over the next 7 days.RELATED ARTICLE: <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.weathernationtv.com/news/an-area-to-monitor-in-the-atlantic">Latest on Hurricane Erin</a>The next tropical wave has a 60% chance of development and may follow Erin's track closely.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-20 070538-1755695154051.png">Additionally, a third tropical wave emerging off the coast of Africa has a 40% chance of development over the next week.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-20 070641-1755695209214.png">This tropical wave will ingest Saharan Dust, which tends to dampen growth.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer saharan dust-1755551899366.jpg">Now is the time to prepare. Even if this tropical wave misses the United States - there is always another one coming. Don't freak out. Don't fall for the clickbait. Either or both of these waves could never develop - that's what we'll root for over the coming days.

Kevin Schneider

Two Additional Tropical Waves Emerge Behind Erin

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Taban Sharifi grew up in Southern California between Los Angeles and San Diego. She is a Certified Broadcast Meteorologist (CBM) with the American Meteorological Society (AMS). She has a B.S. in Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Environmental Sciences with a minor in Environmental Systems and Society from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA). Go Bruins! While in school, Taban was a meteorology intern with NBC LA. There she helped forecast daily weather for the greater Los Angeles region and created a playbook to deploy weather sensors for NBC owned-and-operated stations across the country. Her first on-air job took her to San Angelo, Texas, where she was a morning meteorologist and co-anchor. Working in West Texas gave her knowledge and experience covering severe storms. From there, she moved to Palm Springs, California. People think forecasting in California is sunshine all the time, but with temperatures in the 120’s, wildfires, damaging winds, floodings, and earthquakes, the forecasting kept her very busy! She also worked there as a general assignment reporter and told community stories. Taban is excited for the challenge and opportunity to forecast nationally with WeatherNation. She also looks forward to exploring all that Colorado has to offer!

Taban Sharifi

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Widespread heat alerts are in place for much of the Southwest. This includes cities like Los Angeles, Las Vegas, and Phoenix. Some of these numbers are looking to set new records for the area this week, especially by Thursday and Friday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-20 091515-1755702933170.png">Remember that city centers can feel significantly hotter due to the urban heat island effect. While temperatures in the LA area are expected to be in the 90s, it could still feel 9 degrees hotter or more.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-19 082032-1755613277811.png">The heat will also be felt up in the Northwest, especially across Montana. Several records will be in jeopardy again this afternoon. Some places are aiming at the century mark yet again. <img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-19 082204-1755613356298.png">Cities like Billings, Glasgow, and Miles City in Montana remain under heat alerts through Wednesday.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-19 082241-1755613396350.png">The longer range temperature trend towards the end of August holds a higher confidence that these same areas will remain above average.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-19 082323-1755613436721.png">Tune in to WeatherNation for the latest on your forecast.

Scorching Temperatures This Week Out West

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Temperatures in the Northeast are running 15-30 degrees cooler behind a cold front. And, temps stay in the 70s through Thursday!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer ne 24hr temp change-1755551204059.jpg"><h1><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer ne forecast temps-1755562674833.jpg">Timing</h1>A few storms will linger into the overnight hours, but most will be dry as the front continues to move out.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/jfjakaka-1755572078674.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>The next cold front will move into the focus by Tuesday and Wednesday. This front will give a helping hand at keeping Hurricane Erin away from the East Coast and force it back north of Bermuda!<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer ne cold front erin-1755551383055.jpg">The next cold front delivers pockets of heavy rain to the Northeast through Thursday morning.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/tomer ne rain forecast-1755551452543.jpg">

Northeast 20 Degrees Cooler; Next Cold Front Inbound

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Numerous wildfires continue to burn across the western United States, including three "Megafires," or fires burning over 100,000 acres: The Lee Wildfire, Dragon Bravo Wildfire, and Gifford Wildfire. In addition to the warm weather and dry fuels, fire spread could be accelerated in the next few days with more dry thunderstorms and gusty conditions.<h1>GIFFORD FIRE</h1>Burning as California's largest wildfire in 2025, the Gifford Fire has torched over 132k acres. The good news has been the containment numbers in recent days. That has increased to 89% as of Sunday morning.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/VON_081125_RSW_SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY, CA_3 OF 3 BEST ONE CLOSE UP VIDEO OF CREWS WORKING THE GIFFORD FIRE_TW_@SBCFIREINFO_MS_E081225-1755015460725.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video><h1>LEE FIRE</h1>A large fire erupted on the western slope of the Rocky Mountains, known as the Lee Fire. It has burned over 137k acres. Most of the poor air quality has been locked up in western Colorado, fluctuating at times. This fire is likely soon to become Colorado's third-largest wildfire in state history, needing fewer than 2k additional acres to top the size of the Pine Gulch Fire, which burned during the historic 2020 season in the Centennial State.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-17 093907-1755445152104.png"><h1>DRAGON BRAVO FIRE</h1>One of the largest fires in Arizona history, the Dragon Bravo Fire, has continued to smolder along the northern rim of the Grand Canyon. It has burned more than 144k acres, making it the 7th largest in state history.<div class="twitter-tweet" style="display: flex; justify-content: center" data-twitt-post-id="1953931727044223408" src="https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1953931727044223408"></div><h1></h1><h1>FORECAST</h1>Dry and gusty conditions will still have the potential to lead to rapid rates of fire spread through Sunday. Elevated fire weather conditions are expected across portions of Nevada and Utah.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/jfjfd-1755458154077.png">Lightning will still have the potential to spark more fires. Isolated dry thunderstorms are possible through tonight across the Northwest, specifically much of Idaho.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/through slsls-1755458167205.png">Stay with WeatherNation for the latest.

Several Megafires Burning in the West, More Dry T-Storms Possible

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The heat dome that affected the southwest for a while has moved over to the plains. Low pressure has shifted over the west, and the flow around the high pressure out east is pulling monsoonal moisture into the Four Corners, leading to showers and thunderstorms. Friday brought some monsoon storms and a daily maximum rainfall record for Prescott, AZ where over a half inch of rain fell down. More storms are expected this weekend.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/Screenshot 2025-08-16 052858-1755343754239.jpg">The best chance for showers and storms will come during the afternoon and evening hours. It is possible for a few overnight storms in the Desert Southwest. The main threats from the storms will be some gusty winds and heavy rainfall.<video src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/New Baron Video 3-1755397803756.mp4" controls="true" width="100%"></video>Over the next seven days, we are forecasting approximately one to two inches of rain in some locations. Some isolated flooding could be possible, especially if heavy rain falls over burn scar areas.<img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755313439177.png"><img src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2025/08/1-1755313475552.png">Tune into WeatherNation TV for more details.

Jesse Kelley

Monsoonal Moisture Returns to the Southwest

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Lightning started three fires in Glacier National Park on Saturday. The Howe Ridge Fire is currently burning near Lake McDonald and prompted evacuations. Evacuations are in effect for campgrounds near Lake McDonald and roads are closed near the fire.

https://twitter.com/GlacierNPS/status/1028697252028530688

Glacier National Park estimates that roughly 87 campsites and 82 rooms were evacuated Sunday.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-95361 size-large" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/08/FIRE-3-728x408.jpg" alt="Wildfire in Glacier National Park Prompts Evacuations" width="728" height="408" />

https://twitter.com/KentLuetzen/status/1029086476766593024

As of Monday evening, the fire was 1,500 acres. Winds around Lake McDonald will be on the lighter side for the rest of the week but the area will remain dry with no rain chances.

<img class="alignnone wp-image-95362 size-large" src="https://media.weathernationtv.com/app/uploads/2018/08/fire-2-728x408.jpg" alt="Wildfire in Glacier National Park Prompts Evacuations" width="728" height="408" />

For more on this, make sure to tune into WeatherNation.

For WeatherNation, Meteorologist <a href="https://media.weathernationtv.com/team/kate-mantych/">Kate Mantych</a>.